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Moldova vs Bulgaria prediction 05.06.2026 | Friendly match

Moldova

Moldova

Kick off:

Date:

Bulgaria

Bulgaria

1

3.87

X

3.50

2

2.09

  • Competition: Friendly match
  • Date: Friday, 5th June 2026
  • Kickoff: 18:00 UK / 19:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stadionul Zimbru (Chişinău)

Two teams that will not participate in the World Cup, Moldova and Bulgaria, will meet on Friday evening in another friendly game. Both sides will have their next official matches in September in the Nations League, and the upcoming tie in Chisinau will be a good opportunity for the head coaches to test some new things. Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

The only two H2H matches between Moldova and Bulgaria were in the qualifying rounds for the 1996 European Championship. Bulgaria won 4-1 and 3-0, but that was Hristo Stoichkov's era, when the Balkan team had a significantly bigger role in continental football. 

Moldova

Moldova team overview

Moldova are still waiting for its first appearance in the major tournament. Although the EURO and World Cup expanded the number of teams, it still seems pretty unlikely that Moldova could qualify. They have been terrible lately with 11 defeats in the last 12 matches. In the most recent outing, Moldova lost 3-2 on the road against Cyprus. That was another embarrassing display, especially in defense, and the head coach, Lilian Popescu, has an extremely hard task to make Moldova even competitive. 

Moldova have an 8:41 goal difference in the last 12 matches, including friendlies. It is hard to choose whether they are worse in the attack or defense. The head coach, Lilian Popescu, called up some new players to test them in June, but neither of them is at the level Moldova needs. 

Last matches of Moldova

  1. Cyprus

    3 : 2

    Moldova

    Friendly International

  2. Moldova

    0 : 2

    Lithuania

    Friendly International

  3. Israel

    4 : 1

    Moldova

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Moldova

    0 : 2

    Italy

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Estonia

    1 : 1

    Moldova

    WC Qualification Europe

Moldova lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Emil Timbur

Defenders

  • 4

    Vladyslav Baboglo

  • 3

    Mihail Stefan

  • 5

    Catalin Cucos

Midfielders

  • 15

    Ion Bors

  • 8

    Teodor Lungu

  • 18

    Victor Bogaciuc

  • 6

    Mihail Gherasimencov

Forwards

  • 21

    Sergiu Perciun

  • 17

    Virgilie Postolachi

  • 7

    Stefan Bodisteanu

Bulgaria

Bulgaria team overview

Bulgaria haven't played at a major tournament since 2004. In the last few qualifying cycles, they were not even close, and Bulgaria have to make significant changes to be competitive again. Some positive moves have been made recently, with Aleksandar Dimitrov's team winning three games in a row. However, a positive streak ended a few days ago when Bulgaria lost 1-0 to Montenegro in a friendly.

Bulgaria's head coach, Aleksandar Dimitrov, talked about what was lacking for his team to secure a better result against Montenegro. He commented, "In modern football, goals have to be scored. A lot of guys got a chance to perform; we have to give everyone a chance in these matches, as we did in the previous window of the tournament in Indonesia. There is potential; we have to have better concentration in the final phase. Maybe we lacked concentration and class."

The biggest problem for Bulgaria is the attack. In six of the last ten matches, they ended goalless. Also, Bulgaria scored 2+ goals only twice in those ten games. The two strikers Dimitrov called up for June are Tonislav Yordanov (Kisvarda) and Vladimir Nikolov (Korona Kielce). Those two players scored together only five goals in the previous season for their clubs.

Last matches of Bulgaria

  1. Bulgaria

    0 : 1

    Montenegro

    Friendly International

  2. Indonesia

    0 : 1

    Bulgaria

    Friendly International

  3. Solomon Islands

    2 : 10

    Bulgaria

    Friendly International

  4. Bulgaria

    2 : 1

    Georgia

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Turkey

    2 : 0

    Bulgaria

    WC Qualification Europe

Bulgaria lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Daniel Naumov

Defenders

  • 19

    Ivan Turitsov

  • 2

    Rosen Bozhinov

  • 20

    Martin Georgiev

  • 21

    Dimitar Velkovski

Midfielders

  • 12

    Efe Ali

  • 7

    Borislav Tsonev

  • 8

    Andrian Kraev

Forwards

  • 11

    Georgi Rusev

  • 9

    Vladimir Nikolov

  • 10

    Zdravko Dimitrov

Prediction

Both these teams are struggling in the attack. Moldova scored only three goals in the last four matches, while Bulgaria were goalless in six of the previous ten road games. With both teams lacking quality up front, we are unlikely to see more than two goals in the upcoming friendly. 

4 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match

  1. Moldova scored only three goals in the last four matches
  2. Three of the previous five Moldova games have gone under 2.5 goals
  3. Bulgaria were goalless in six of the last ten matches
  4. The previous two Bulgaria games have gone under 2.5 goals

Main prediction Moldova - Bulgaria

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.66

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Moldova vs Bulgaria – FAQ

? How much was the average xG for Moldova in the World Cup qualifications?

The average xG for Moldova in the World Cup qualifications was 1.06.

? How much was the average xG for Bulgaria in the World Cup qualifications?

The average xG for Bulgaria in the World Cup qualifications was 0.52.