Free betting tips and reviews by experts 2026

City’s defensive record at home this season has been exceptional, with just 12 goals conceded in 18 matches, while under 3.5 goals has landed in six of their last seven home outings. What's more, Under 3.5 Goals has landed in three consecutive meetings between Manchester City and Aston Villa.

Pressure can do strange things late in a season. Sometimes it freezes players, sometimes it drags extra energy out of them. De Zerbi’s side know relegation is still hanging there, therefore the atmosphere at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium should feel tense from the first whistle against a Toffees side still searching for an away win.

Both teams are scoring goals pretty regularly. Crystal Palace scored at least one goal in five of the last seven matches, while Arsenal scored in every one of the previous seven games. We should expect goals on both sides on Sunday afternoon.

This bet carries immense value based purely on desperate, do-or-die survival motivation as West Ham United hosts this final-day Premier League showdown at the London Stadium. Currently sitting 18th and trailing safe territory by two points, Nuno Espirito Santo’s team is forced to secure all three points to have any mathematical hope of escaping relegation. While 14th-placed Leeds United has eased completely clear of danger following an impressive eight-game unbeaten run, they enter this match with zero pressure and a heavily depleted roster, missing key tactical assets like Ilia Gruev and Pascal Struijk. Backing a highly desperate home side to win against an opponent already in holiday mode provides an incredibly strong angle.

Given how tight and cautious the semi-final between FC Porto and Sporting turned out to be (with only a single goal scored across two matches), this final could also be on the lower end of the goal spectrum. Interestingly, two of the last five Portuguese Cup finals have featured under 2.5 total goals.

Villarreal scored only three goals in the past three games, while Atletico Madrid have scored three goals in the past four matches. Moreover, we saw only two goals in the first H2H game this season (2:0 for Atletico Madrid).