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Tottenham vs Leeds prediction 11.05.2026 | Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham Hotspur

Kick off:

Date:

Leeds United

Leeds United

1

1.94

X

4.04

2

3.96

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Monday, 11th May, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

In the last game of the 36th round of the English Premier League, Tottenham will welcome Leeds in probably one of the most interesting games of the round. The Spurs are coming to the game after a massive 2:1 win over Aston Villa, which helped them to move to a safe zone. Meanwhile, Leeds have been really good for some time now, keeping a six-game unbeaten streak alive. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Premier League tie.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Leeds United

    1 : 2

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  2. Leeds United

    1 : 4

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  3. Tottenham Hotspur

    4 : 3

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  4. Leeds United

    0 : 4

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  5. Tottenham Hotspur

    2 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  6. Leeds United

    3 : 1

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

In the first H2H game, Tottenham won 2:1 at Elland Road in Leeds. The Spurs have dominated h2h games, winning the past five matches with a combined goal difference of 16:6. 

When it comes to the number of goals, each of those five H2H games ended with three or more goals. Meanwhile, we saw both teams scoring in four of those.

Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham team overview

Tottenham had another disastrous season. Last season, they finished 17th but won the EL title, somewhat saving the season. This year, the Spurs once again did well in Europe (Champions League), reaching the 1/8 Finals. However, they were atrocious in the Premier League and even spent a few rounds in the danger zone. However, after back-to-back wins over Aston Villa and Wolves, they managed to escape it for now. Right now, they are in 17th place, only one point behind 18th-placed West Ham. So, with three rounds left, they are still far away from securing survival. 

The Spurs have had constant injury problems this season, and that is surely a part of their atrocious season. Two new players have popped up on the injury list - Richarlison and Rodrigo Bentacur. However, according to credible sources, they will be ready for the Leeds game. 

On the other hand, eight other players who missed the previous game(s) should remain sidelined - Guglielmo Vicario, Dominic Solanke, Xavi Simons, Cristian Gabriel Romero, Wilson Odobert, Dejan Kulusevski, Mohammed Kudus, and Ben Davies.

Last matches of Tottenham Hotspur

  1. Aston Villa

    1 : 2

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  2. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    0 : 1

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  3. Tottenham Hotspur

    2 : 2

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  4. Sunderland

    1 : 0

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  5. Tottenham Hotspur

    0 : 3

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Antonín Kinský

Defenders

  • 23

    Pedro Porro

  • 4

    Kevin Danso

  • 37

    Micky van de Ven

  • 13

    Destiny Udogie

Midfielders

  • 8

    Yves Bissouma

  • 22

    Conor Gallagher

  • 6

    João Palhinha

Forwards

  • 39

    Randal Kolo Muani

  • 9

    Richarlison

  • 11

    Mathys Tel

Leeds United

Leeds team overview

Leeds returned to the Premier League this year after winning the Championship dominantly last season, having won 100 points. This year, the goal was only to survive, and even though it seemed challenging at times, the Whites delivered when it mattered the most, in the final part of the season. After winning three of the past four league games, they created a comfortable six-point gap between them and the danger zone. 

Noah Okafor picked up a calf strain in the previous game against Burnley and will miss the next two games. The 25-year-old has been amazing lately, scoring four goals and assisting two in the past six games. He has been one of their best players during that stretch, and his absence will definitely be a factor. Moreover, Gabriel Gudmundsson and Ilia Gruev should remain sidelined with their injuries. 

Last matches of Leeds United

  1. Leeds United

    3 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  2. Chelsea

    1 : 0

    Leeds United

    FA Cup

  3. AFC Bournemouth

    2 : 2

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  4. Leeds United

    3 : 0

    Wolverhampton Wanderers

    Premier League

  5. Manchester United

    1 : 2

    Leeds United

    Premier League

Leeds United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 26

    Karl Darlow

Defenders

  • 15

    Jaka Bijol

  • 5

    Pascal Struijk

  • 6

    Joe Rodon

Midfielders

  • 2

    Jayden Bogle

  • 18

    Anton Stach

  • 22

    Ao Tanaka

  • 4

    Ethan Ampadu

  • 24

    James Justin

Forwards

  • 14

    Lukas Nmecha

  • 9

    Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Prediction

Tottenham won back-to-back games against Aston Villa and Wolves and are undefeated in the past three. They are playing better lately, and have been pretty efficient, scoring five goals during that period - 1.7 per game. Also, at home, they have scored at least one goal in 21 of 25 (84%) games, despite mixed results. 

Leeds have been excellent offensively in recent matches, scoring 12 goals in 6 games across competitions - 2.0 per game. Therefore, it is fair to expect at least one goal against Tottenham, which have had just one clean sheet in the last 14 games across competitions. 

Moreover, both teams scored in five of the past six H2H games (83%). Considering the trend in the previous H2H games and all the above, we expect an exciting game with both teams scoring at least once. 

4 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Tottenham scored five goals in the past three goals
  2. Tottenham scored a goal in 21 out of 25 home games
  3. Leeds averaged two goals in the past six matches
  4. Five of the past six H2H games ended with both teams scoring

Main prediction Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.66

Bet here

Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 35 23 7 5 67 - 26 +41 76
2 Manchester City 35 22 8 5 72 - 32 +40 74
3 Manchester United 36 18 11 7 63 - 48 +15 65
4 Liverpool 36 17 8 11 60 - 48 +12 59
5 Aston Villa 35 17 7 11 48 - 44 +4 58
6 AFC Bournemouth 36 13 16 7 56 - 52 +4 55
7 Brighton & Hove Albion 36 14 11 11 52 - 42 +10 53
8 Brentford 36 14 9 13 52 - 49 +3 51
9 Chelsea 36 13 10 13 55 - 49 +6 49
10 Everton 35 13 9 13 44 - 44 0 48
11 Fulham 36 14 6 16 44 - 50 -6 48
12 Sunderland 36 12 12 12 37 - 46 -9 48
13 Newcastle United 35 13 6 16 49 - 51 -2 45
14 Leeds United 35 10 13 12 47 - 52 -5 43
15 Crystal Palace 34 11 10 13 36 - 42 -6 43
16 Nottingham Forest 35 11 9 15 44 - 46 -2 42
17 Tottenham Hotspur 35 9 10 16 45 - 54 -9 37
18 West Ham United 35 9 9 17 42 - 61 -19 36
19 Burnley 35 4 8 23 35 - 71 -36 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 36 3 9 24 25 - 66 -41 18

Tottenham vs Leeds – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Tottenham this season?

The average xG for Tottenham in the Premier League this season is 1.32.

? How much is the average xG for Leeds this season?

The average xG for Leeds in the Premier League this season is 1.42.