AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction 10.05.2026 | Serie A
AC Milan
Kick off:
Date:
Atalanta
1
2.17
X
3.48
2
3.74
Contents
- Competition: Serie A
- Date: 10th May, 2026
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
- Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan host Atalanta in one of the standout fixtures of Serie A Round 36. With only three league matches remaining, both sides still have significant objectives to fight for: the Rossoneri are seeking to preserve their place in the top four, which would secure UEFA Champions League qualification, while Atalanta could theoretically still climb into the top six and qualify for Europe, although they would need favourable results elsewhere.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Atalanta
1 : 1
AC Milan
Serie A
-
AC Milan
0 : 1
Atalanta
Serie A
-
Atalanta
2 : 1
AC Milan
Serie A
-
AC Milan
1 : 1
Atalanta
Serie A
-
AC Milan
1 : 2
Atalanta
Coppa Italia
-
Atalanta
3 : 2
AC Milan
Serie A
Recent meetings between AC Milan and Atalanta have often been closely contested. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in a 1-1 draw in Bergamo, extending a trend of balanced encounters between the Lombardy rivals.
Historically, Milan hold a slight edge in the overall head-to-head record, particularly at San Siro, although Atalanta have become significantly more competitive in this fixture during the Gian Piero Gasperini era (two wins from their last three meetings with AC Milan).
AC Milan team overview
AC Milan enter this match in relatively solid form despite suffering a disappointing 2-0 defeat against Sassuolo last weekend. Prior to that result, the Rossoneri had recorded a 1-0 win over Verona and a goalless draw against Juventus, continuing a generally stable run during the closing phase of the season.
Milan remain one of the league’s strongest defensive units. Their overall structure under Massimiliano Allegri has made them difficult to break down, and they continue to concede fewer than one goal per game on average this season.
However, Milan are still dealing with several availability concerns. Veteran midfielder Luka Modrić remains out injured, while defender Fikayo Tomori was sent off within the first half-hour against Sassuolo and will miss Sunday’s fixture due to suspension.
Last matches of AC Milan
-
Sassuolo
2 : 0
AC Milan
Serie A
-
AC Milan
0 : 0
Juventus
Serie A
-
Hellas Verona
0 : 1
AC Milan
Serie A
-
AC Milan
0 : 3
Udinese
Serie A
-
Napoli
1 : 0
AC Milan
Serie A
AC Milan lineup
Goalkeeper
-
16
Mike Maignan
Defenders
-
5
Koni De Winter
-
46
Matteo Gabbia
-
31
Strahinja Pavlović
-
33
Davide Bartesaghi
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers
Midfielders
-
30
Ardon Jashari
-
12
Adrien Rabiot
-
19
Youssouf Fofana
Forwards
-
10
Rafael Leão
-
11
Christian Pulišić
Atalanta team overview
Atalanta arrive in mixed form but remain a dangerous opponent capable of troubling any side in Serie A. Their recent performances have included both strong attacking displays and frustrating results, with inconsistency continuing to affect their push for European qualification. Heading into this fixture, Atalanta are winless in their last four league outings.
La Dea have struggled to consistently convert performances into victories away from home. However, they still possess one of the most dangerous attacking units in the division, led by Ademola Lookman and Mateo Retegui.
Defensively, Atalanta have suffered several setbacks due to injuries. Giorgio Scalvini and Sead Kolašinac remain unavailable, significantly weakening their back line ahead of a difficult trip to Milan.
Last matches of Atalanta
-
Atalanta
0 : 0
Genoa
Serie A
-
Cagliari
3 : 2
Atalanta
Serie A
-
Atalanta
1 : 2
Lazio
Coppa Italia
-
AS Roma
1 : 1
Atalanta
Serie A
-
Atalanta
0 : 1
Juventus
Serie A
Atalanta lineup
Goalkeeper
-
29
Marco Carnesecchi
Defenders
-
42
Giorgio Scalvini
-
4
Isak Hien
-
69
Honest Ahanor
-
77
Davide Zappacosta
-
59
Nicola Zalewski
Midfielders
-
15
Marten de Roon
-
13
Éderson
-
17
Charles De Ketelaere
Forwards
-
9
Gianluca Scamacca
-
18
Giacomo Raspadori
Prediction
Direct meetings between these teams are frequently competitive and entertaining, with both sides usually capable of finding the net. However, Milan’s immensely resilient defensive system often denies opponents many goalscoring chances while simultaneously limiting their own attacking output, which naturally results in fewer total goals across both sides (under 2.5 goals has landed in eight of Milan’s last ten league fixtures).
Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals Total.
Three reasons we expect Under 2.5 Goals Total
- Under 2.5 goals has been the outcome in eight of Milan’s last 10 matches.
- Under 2.5 goals has landed in four of Atalanta’s last five matches.
- Under 2.5 goals has occurred in three of the last four meetings between Milan and Atalanta.
Main prediction AC Milan - Atalanta
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
22bet
2.08
AC Milan vs Atalanta standings in Serie A
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 82 - 31 | +51 | 82 |
| 2 | Napoli | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 52 - 33 | +19 | 70 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 35 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 48 - 29 | +19 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 58 - 30 | +28 | 65 |
| 5 | Roma | 35 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 52 - 29 | +23 | 64 |
| 6 | Como | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59 - 28 | +31 | 62 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 47 - 32 | +15 | 55 |
| 8 | Lazio | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 39 - 34 | +5 | 51 |
| 9 | Bologna | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 42 - 41 | +1 | 49 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 44 - 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 11 | Udinese | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 43 - 46 | -3 | 47 |
| 12 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 41 - 59 | -18 | 44 |
| 13 | Parma | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 25 - 42 | -17 | 42 |
| 14 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 40 - 48 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 36 - 49 | -13 | 37 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 38 - 49 | -11 | 37 |
| 17 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 24 - 47 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 27 - 53 | -26 | 28 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 24 - 57 | -33 | 20 |
| 20 | Pisa | 35 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 25 - 63 | -38 | 18 |