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Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction 10.05.2026 | La Liga

FC Barcelona

FC Barcelona

Kick off:

Date:

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

1.68

X

4.92

2

4.57

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Sunday, 10th May, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Camp Nou (Barcelona)

On Sunday evening, another El Clásico will take place at Camp Nou in Barcelona. The Catalan team has an 11-point advantage over Real Madrid, and this match can hardly change anything with only four rounds to go. In fact, with a potential win in this game, Barcelona will have the opportunity to clinch the La Liga title in front of their fans against the arch-rivals.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this La Liga tie.

FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. FC Barcelona

    3 : 2

    Real Madrid

    Super Cup

  2. Real Madrid

    2 : 1

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

  3. FC Barcelona

    4 : 3

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  4. Real Madrid

    2 : 5

    FC Barcelona

    Super Cup

  5. Real Madrid

    0 : 4

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

  6. Real Madrid

    3 : 2

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

These teams have met twice this season. Real Madrid won 2:1 at home in La Liga, while Barcelona won the head-to-head game in the Super Cup 3:2. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, Barcelona have won five times, and Real Madrid have won four. In total, there have been 263 El Clásicos; Barcelona have won 105 and Real Madrid 106.

When it comes to the number of goals, we saw only high-scoring games, with all ten H2H games going over 2.5 goals. Meanwhile, both teams have scored in nine of the past ten H2H games. 

FC Barcelona

Barcelona team overview

Barcelona's excellent season was somewhat ruined by Atlético Madrid, which eliminated them from the Copa del Rey and the Champions League Quarter-Finals. Besides that, the Catalan team have been amazing, especially in the last part of the season. The fact that Barcelona won the title last season with 88 points, and that they already have 88 points at the moment with four rounds left, shows just how good the Catalan team has been this year.

In the previous days, there have been speculations that Raphinha will leave the club soon. However, the 29-year-old Brazilian denied such talk and said he will stay. Raphinha also just recovered from his thigh injury and was on the bench in the previous game against Osasuna. He will most likely play limited minutes against RM. Additionally, Andreas Christensen and Lamine Yamal should remain sidelined with their injuries.

Last matches of FC Barcelona

  1. Osasuna

    1 : 2

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

  2. Getafe

    0 : 2

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

  3. FC Barcelona

    1 : 0

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

  4. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 2

    FC Barcelona

    Champions League

  5. FC Barcelona

    4 : 1

    Espanyol

    La Liga

FC Barcelona lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Joan García

Defenders

  • 24

    Eric García

  • 5

    Pau Cubarsí

  • 18

    Gerard Martín

  • 2

    João Cancelo

Midfielders

  • 6

    Gavi

  • 20

    Dani Olmo

  • 8

    Pedri

Forwards

  • 7

    Ferran Torres

  • 9

    Robert Lewandowski

  • 16

    Fermín López

Real Madrid

Real Madrid team overview

Real Madrid will finish their second season without a single big trophy, which is unacceptable. While Los Blancos were solid throughout the season, they completely crumbled in April. During that time, they won only once in six matches, dropped many points in La Liga, and were eliminated from the Champions League by Bayern Munich. 

The biggest news surrounding Real Madrid recently is the fight on the training ground between Valverde and Tchouameni. The Uruguayan sustained a cut during the fight and was taken to the hospital. The club eventually suspended both players and will miss El Clásico. Before that situation, there was a similar one in which Rudiger (reportedly) slapped Álvaro Carreras. Moreover, Dani Ceballos had a severe falling-out with coach Arbeloa and would not play for the remainder of the season. The situation at the club is getting out of control and is beyond fixing, according to many football experts. 

Besides suspended Valverde and Tchouameni, the team will miss a few players due to injuries - Rodrygo, Ferland Mendy, Arda Guler, Eder Militao, Thibaut Courtois, and Daniel Carvajal. On the other hand, Kylian Mbappé should be available for the upcoming El Clásico.

Last matches of Real Madrid

  1. Espanyol

    0 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  2. Real Betis

    1 : 1

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Real Madrid

    2 : 1

    Alaves

    La Liga

  4. Bayern Munich

    4 : 3

    Real Madrid

    Champions League

  5. Real Madrid

    1 : 1

    Girona

    La Liga

Real Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Andriy Lunin

Defenders

  • 12

    Trent Alexander-Arnold

  • 22

    Antonio Rüdiger

  • 24

    Dean Huijsen

  • 18

    Alvaro Carreras

Midfielders

  • 45

    Thiago Pitarch

  • 5

    Jude Bellingham

  • 6

    Eduardo Camavinga

Forwards

  • 10

    Kylian Mbappé

  • 7

    Vinicius Junior

  • 21

    Brahim Díaz

Prediction

Barcelona are in excellent form, having won five in a row and won nine of the past ten games. On the other hand, Real Madrid won just against Espanyol and Alaves in the past seven matches across competitions.

There is a significant difference in form, but the biggest difference between these teams is in the atmosphere. Real Madrid are currently in chaos, with petitions calling for the sale of Kylian Mbappé, reported fights among teammates, criticism of the coach, and more. So, believing they can secure a positive result against red-hot Barcelona on the road seems completely unrealistic. 

Considering all the above, we firmly believe Barcelona should win the El Clásico and seal the La Liga title.

3 Reasons why Barcelona should win

  1. Barcelona won five in a row
  2. Barcelona have won 19 of the past 20 home games
  3. Real Madrid won just once in the past four road games

Main prediction FC Barcelona - Real Madrid

FC Barcelona to win

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.68

Bet here

FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 34 29 1 4 89 - 31 +58 88
2 Real Madrid 34 24 5 5 70 - 31 +39 77
3 Villarreal 34 21 5 8 64 - 39 +25 68
4 Atlético Madrid 34 19 6 9 58 - 37 +21 63
5 Real Betis 34 13 14 7 52 - 41 +11 53
6 Celta de Vigo 34 12 11 11 48 - 44 +4 47
7 Getafe 34 13 5 16 28 - 36 -8 44
8 Athletic Club 34 13 5 16 40 - 50 -10 44
9 Real Sociedad 34 11 10 13 52 - 53 -1 43
10 Osasuna 35 11 9 15 42 - 45 -3 42
11 Rayo Vallecano 34 10 12 12 35 - 41 -6 42
12 Valencia 34 10 9 15 37 - 50 -13 39
13 Espanyol 34 10 9 15 37 - 51 -14 39
14 Elche 34 9 11 14 45 - 53 -8 38
15 Mallorca 34 10 8 16 42 - 51 -9 38
16 Girona 34 9 11 14 36 - 51 -15 38
17 Sevilla 34 10 7 17 41 - 55 -14 37
18 Deportivo Alavés 34 9 9 16 40 - 53 -13 36
19 Levante 35 9 9 17 41 - 57 -16 36
20 Real Oviedo 34 6 10 18 26 - 54 -28 28

Barcelona vs Real Madrid – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Barcelona this season?

The average xG for Barcelona in La Liga this season is 2.14.

? How much is the average xG for Real Madrid this season?

The average xG for Real Madrid in La Liga this season is 2.09.