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Hamburger SV vs Freiburg prediction 10.05.2026 | Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

Kick off:

Date:

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

2.79

X

3.78

2

2.55

  • Competition: Bundesliga
  • Date: 10th May 2026
  • Kick-off: 14:30 UK / 15:30 CEST
  • Venue: Volksparkstadion

Freiburg travel to Hamburg on Sunday with far more pressure hanging over the fixture. The visitors are still fighting for a European place, and with Frankfurt sitting just one point behind, there is not much room for mistakes now. Hamburger have already done the hard part by securing survival. After seven frustrating years outside the Bundesliga, simply staying up probably feels like a small victory in itself. Still, home supporters will want a stronger finish because recent performances at Volksparkstadion have been, well, slightly worrying.

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. SC Freiburg

    2 : 1

    Hamburger SV

    Bundesliga

  2. SC Freiburg

    2 : 1

    Hamburger SV

    DFB Pokal

  3. SC Freiburg

    5 : 2

    Hamburger SV

    Club Friendlies 3

  4. Hamburger SV

    1 : 3

    SC Freiburg

    DFB Pokal

  5. Hamburger SV

    1 : 0

    SC Freiburg

    Bundesliga

  6. SC Freiburg

    0 : 0

    Hamburger SV

    Bundesliga

Hamburger and Freiburg have met 10 times competitively since 2014. Freiburg hold the advantage with four victories and have won the last three meetings in a row. HSV managed two wins, while four matches ended level. Goals have not exactly been rare either, with an average of 2.8 per game.

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV team overview

Hamburger returned to the Bundesliga this season after finally escaping the second division with a second-place finish last year. For most supporters, avoiding an immediate return to the 2. Bundesliga would always have been the main target. Die Rothosen have now achieved that with two matches still left to play.

Merlin Polzin’s side sit eight points clear of the relegation places and come into this fixture after a valuable 2-1 comeback win against Eintracht Frankfurt. That result ended a rough run of three consecutive defeats and probably settled a few nerves around the club.

Even so, home form remains a concern. HSV are without a win in five matches at Volksparkstadion, losing three of those games. Fábio Vieira scored again last weekend and now has six goals for the season.

He is expected to continue alongside Robert Glatzel and Ransford Königsdörffer in attack. Fernando Dickes, Miro Muheim, Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit and William Mikelbrencis remain unavailable through injury.

Last matches of Hamburger SV

  1. Eintracht Frankfurt

    1 : 2

    Hamburger SV

    Bundesliga

  2. Hamburger SV

    1 : 2

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  3. Werder Bremen

    3 : 1

    Hamburger SV

    Bundesliga

  4. Stuttgart

    4 : 0

    Hamburger SV

    Bundesliga

  5. Hamburger SV

    1 : 1

    Augsburg

    Bundesliga

Hamburger SV lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Daniel Heuer Fernandes

Defenders

  • 17

    Warmed Omari

  • 25

    Jordan Torunarigha

  • 24

    Nicolás Capaldo

Midfielders

  • 23

    Albert Grønbæk

  • 6

    Albert Sambi Lokonga

  • 21

    Nicolai Remberg

  • 18

    Bakery Jatta

Forwards

  • 11

    Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer

  • 9

    Robert Glatzel

  • 20

    Fábio Vieira

SC Freiburg

Freiburg team overview

Freiburg arrive in Hamburg with a mixture of relief and exhaustion after their dramatic 3-1 win over Braga in the Europa League semi-final.

The Breisgau-Brasilianer went behind early, looked uncomfortable for long spells, then suddenly found another level after the break. It was their first win in five matches and also the first time in six games that Schuster’s side managed to score three goals.

Still, the away form is difficult to ignore. Freiburg have lost each of their last three away matches, conceding eight goals across that stretch while scoring only twice themselves. That imbalance has become a real issue lately.

With the Europa League final now sitting in the background, Julian Schuster may rotate a few names here. Igor Matanović could still keep his place in attack after a strong recent display. Max Rosenfelder, Patrick Osterhage and Yuito Suzuki are all expected to miss out through injury.

Last matches of SC Freiburg

  1. SC Freiburg

    3 : 1

    Braga

    Europa League

  2. SC Freiburg

    1 : 1

    VfL Wolfsburg

    Bundesliga

  3. Braga

    2 : 1

    SC Freiburg

    Europa League

  4. Borussia Dortmund

    4 : 0

    SC Freiburg

    Bundesliga

  5. Stuttgart

    1 : 0

    SC Freiburg

    DFB Pokal

SC Freiburg lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Noah Atubolu

Defenders

  • 17

    Lukas Kübler

  • 28

    Matthias Ginter

  • 3

    Philipp Lienhart

  • 29

    Philipp Treu

Midfielders

  • 8

    Maximilian Eggestein

  • 44

    Johan Manzambi

  • 27

    Nicolas Höfler

Forwards

  • 19

    Jan-Niklas Beste

  • 31

    Igor Matanović

  • 32

    Vincenzo Grifo

Prediction

A 2-2 draw feels like a reasonable reading of this one, even if neither defence fully agrees. Hamburger have failed to win any of their last five home matches, yet still score enough to stay awkward. Freiburg’s away form has dipped badly with three straight losses and eight goals conceded, though their attack rarely stays quiet for long.

Three reasons we expect over 2.5 goals

  1. Five of the last six games of Hamburger finished with three or more goals.
  2. Only two of the last 12 games of Freiburg produced less than three goals.
  3. Each of the last four meetings between Hamburger and Freiburg produced 3+ goals.

Main prediction Hamburger SV - SC Freiburg

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.76

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Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg standings in Bundesliga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 32 26 5 1 116 - 35 +81 83
2 Borussia Dortmund 33 21 7 5 68 - 34 +34 70
3 RB Leipzig 32 19 5 8 63 - 42 +21 62
4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 32 17 7 8 66 - 43 +23 58
5 VfB Stuttgart 32 17 7 8 66 - 46 +20 58
6 TSG Hoffenheim 32 17 7 8 64 - 48 +16 58
7 SC Freiburg 32 12 8 12 45 - 53 -8 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 33 11 10 12 59 - 63 -4 43
9 FC Augsburg 32 11 7 14 42 - 56 -14 40
10 FSV Mainz 05 32 9 10 13 41 - 50 -9 37
11 Borussia Mönchengladbach 32 8 11 13 37 - 50 -13 35
12 Hamburger SV 32 8 10 14 36 - 51 -15 34
13 FC Union Berlin 32 8 9 15 37 - 57 -20 33
14 FC Köln 32 7 11 14 47 - 55 -8 32
15 Werder Bremen 32 8 8 16 37 - 57 -20 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 32 6 8 18 42 - 67 -25 26
17 St. Pauli 32 6 8 18 27 - 55 -28 26
18 Heidenheim 32 5 8 19 38 - 69 -31 23

Hamburger SV vs Freiburg – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Sunday’s Bundesliga game.

? How many corners do Freiburg usually win on the road this season?

Around 4.20 per Bundesliga away match, which feels modest. 

? What about bookings for Merlin Polzin’s men at home?

About 2.13 yellow cards on average in their Bundesliga home games.