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Fiorentina vs Genoa prediction 10.05.2026 | Serie A

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Kick off:

Date:

Genoa

Genoa

1

2.17

X

3.42

2

3.80

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Sunday, 10th May 2026
  • Kickoff: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

Both Fiorentina and Sevilla had stressful moments and relegation worries in the 2025/26 season, but with three games left, both sides will play only for pride. Can the team from Florence continue their good home form? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Fiorentina vs Genoa Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Genoa

    2 : 2

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  2. Fiorentina

    2 : 1

    Genoa

    Serie A

  3. Genoa

    0 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  4. Fiorentina

    1 : 1

    Genoa

    Serie A

  5. Genoa

    1 : 4

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  6. Fiorentina

    6 : 0

    Genoa

    Serie A

Fiorentina are usually dominant against their next opponent, having won five of the last seven H2H matches, while two ended in draws. In the only meeting this season, it was 2-2 in Genoa. 

Fiorentina

Fiorentina team overview

For a large portion of the season, Fiorentina spent in the relegation zone. However, a big turnaround in form was enough for the team from Florence to secure another year in Serie A. Fiorentina returned to their worst form of the season in the last three matches, in which they collected only two points. In the most recent outing, Vanoli's team lost 4-0 on the road against AS Roma. The guests ended with xG of 0.13 and would feel pretty unfair if they found a way to avoid defeat. 

Although Paolo Vanoli, who was appointed in November, saved Fiorentina from relegation, the board will likely part ways with the head coach. They feel that the teams had to do even better, especially in Coppa Italia and the Conference League. The primary candidates to replace Vanoli are Genoa's Daniele De Rossi and Fabio Grosso of Sassuolo. 

Fiorentina could have almost the full squad for Sunday afternoon. Tariq Lamptey is unavailable due to injury, while Luis Balbo, Niccolo Fortini, Moise Kean, and Roberto Piccoli are questionable, and their statuses will get clearer closer to the kickoff. 

Last matches of Fiorentina

  1. AS Roma

    4 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  2. Fiorentina

    0 : 0

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

  3. Lecce

    1 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  4. Fiorentina

    2 : 1

    Crystal Palace

    Europa Conference League

  5. Fiorentina

    1 : 0

    Lazio

    Serie A

Fiorentina lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 43

    David de Gea

Defenders

  • 2

    Dodo

  • 5

    Marin Pongracic

  • 6

    Luca Ranieri

  • 21

    Robin Gosens

Midfielders

  • 4

    Marco Brescianini

  • 44

    Nicolo Fagioli

  • 27

    Cher Ndour

Forwards

  • 17

    Jack Harrison

  • 10

    Albert Gudmundsson

  • 19

    Manor Solomon

Genoa

Genoa team overview

Genoa's story for the 2025/26 season is not much different than Fiorentina's. They spent some time at the bottom of the standings, but Daniele De Rossi's team was good enough in the previous months to calmly wait for the end of the campaign. Genoa lost only one of the last four matches. In the previous game, they played 0-0 on the road against Atalanta. The hosts dominated, but the visitors defended well and found a way to one point. 

There is a lot of talk about Daniele De Rossi's future in Genoa. However, the head coach said that he is willing to stay in the club if the squad is strong enough. 

Genoa will be without Munior Messias on Sunday in Florence. Also, Tomasso Baldanzi and Brooke Norton-Cuffy are questionable for the upcoming clash. 

Last matches of Genoa

  1. Atalanta

    0 : 0

    Genoa

    Serie A

  2. Genoa

    0 : 2

    Como

    Serie A

  3. Pisa

    1 : 2

    Genoa

    Serie A

  4. Genoa

    2 : 1

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

  5. Juventus

    2 : 0

    Genoa

    Serie A

Genoa lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Justin Bijlow

Defenders

  • 5

    Leo Ostigard

  • 27

    Alessandro Marcandalli

  • 22

    Johan Vasquez

Midfielders

  • 77

    Mikael Egill Ellertsson

  • 4

    Amorim

  • 32

    Morten Frendrup

  • 20

    Stefano Sabelli

Forwards

  • 9

    Vitinha

  • 29

    Lorenzo Colombo

  • 21

    Jeff Ekhator

Prediction

Both these teams have problems with scoring goals lately. Actually, neither of them scored in the previous two Serie A games. Also, two of the previous three Fiorentina games ended with two or fewer goals, while five of the last seven Genoa matches have gone under 2.5 goals. Although the only meeting between these two teams this season ended 2-2, we shouldn't expect more than two goals in the upcoming tie, as both teams are struggling offensively. 

4 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match

  1. Fiorentina didn't score in the last two matches
  2. Two of the previous three Fiorentina games have gone under 2.5 goals
  3. Genoa didn't score in the last two Serie A rounds, either
  4. Five of the previous seven Genoa games went under 2.5 goals

Main prediction Fiorentina - Genoa

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.80

Bet here

Fiorentina vs Genoa standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 35 26 4 5 82 - 31 +51 82
2 Napoli 35 21 7 7 52 - 33 +19 70
3 AC Milan 35 19 10 6 48 - 29 +19 67
4 Juventus 35 18 11 6 58 - 30 +28 65
5 Roma 35 20 4 11 52 - 29 +23 64
6 Como 35 17 11 7 59 - 28 +31 62
7 Atalanta 35 14 13 8 47 - 32 +15 55
8 Lazio 35 13 12 10 39 - 34 +5 51
9 Bologna 35 14 7 14 42 - 41 +1 49
10 Sassuolo 36 14 7 15 44 - 46 -2 49
11 Udinese 35 13 8 14 43 - 46 -3 47
12 Torino 36 12 8 16 41 - 59 -18 44
13 Parma 35 10 12 13 25 - 42 -17 42
14 Genoa 35 10 10 15 40 - 48 -8 40
15 Cagliari 35 9 10 16 36 - 49 -13 37
16 Fiorentina 35 8 13 14 38 - 49 -11 37
17 Lecce 35 8 8 19 24 - 47 -23 32
18 Cremonese 35 6 10 19 27 - 53 -26 28
19 Hellas Verona 35 3 11 21 24 - 57 -33 20
20 Pisa 35 2 12 21 25 - 63 -38 18

Fiorentina vs Genoa – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Fiorentina this season?

The average xG for Fiorentina in Serie A this season is 1.35.

? How much is the average xG for Genoa this season?

The average xG for Genoa in Serie A this season is 1.27.