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Al Taawoun vs Al Ahli prediction 11.05.2026 | Saudi Pro League

Al Taawoun

Al Taawoun

Kick off:

Date:

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

1

4.20

X

3.60

2

1.76

  • Competition: Saudi Pro League
  • Date: Monday, 11th May, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:00 UK / 20:00 CEST
  • Venue: Al Taawon Arena (Buraidah)

The Saudi Professional League is slowly coming to an end with only three rounds to go. One of the most interesting games of the round should be between Al Taawoun and Al Ahli SC, which will face off at Al Taawon Arena in Buraidah. Both teams are coming into the match after big wins in their previous games: Al Taawon 5:1 over Al Shabab, and Al Ahli SC 3:1 over Al Fateh. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Saudi Professional League tie.

Al Taawoun vs Al Ahli Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Al Ahli

    2 : 1

    Al Taawoun

    Pro League

  2. Al Ahli

    2 : 0

    Al Taawoun

    Pro League

  3. Al Taawoun

    2 : 4

    Al Ahli

    Pro League

  4. Al Taawoun

    0 : 1

    Al Ahli

    Pro League

  5. Al Ahli

    3 : 2

    Al Taawoun

    Pro League

  6. Al Ahli

    1 : 1

    Al Taawoun

    Pro League

In the first H2H game, Al Ahli SC won 2:1 at home, sealing the win in the stoppage time from the penalty spot. Looking further back, over the past 10 H2H games, Al Taawoun have won three times, while Al Ahli SC have secured five. 

Regarding the number of goals, five of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in six of those.

Al Taawoun

Al Taawoun team overview

Al Taawon came to this season after a pretty underwhelming one last year, when they finished 8th. This season, the Wolves are having much more success and have already earned seven more points than last year, with three more rounds left. Right now, they are in 5th place with 52 points - three points more than 6th-placed Al Ittihad. Since 6th place leads to the AFC Champions League Two only, and the 5th spot to the AFC Champions League Qualifications, the Wolves will definitely want that fifth spot. 

After a 5:1 win over Al Shabab in the previous game, coach Péricles Chamusca spoke to the media. He praised the team for their reaction after conceding first and was really satisfied with the level of discipline. The coach also said they were really efficient in attacking transition.

Last matches of Al Taawoun

  1. Al Shabab

    1 : 5

    Al Taawoun

    Pro League

  2. Al Taawoun

    0 : 2

    Al Ittihad

    Pro League

  3. Al Najma

    1 : 2

    Al Taawoun

    Pro League

  4. Al Taawoun

    1 : 2

    Al Kholood

    Pro League

  5. Al Hilal

    2 : 2

    Al Taawoun

    Pro League

Al Taawoun lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Mailson

Defenders

  • 5

    Mohammed Mahzari

  • 3

    Andrei Girotto

  • 87

    Qasem Lajami

  • 55

    Mohammed Waleed Al-Dossary

Midfielders

  • 8

    Flávio

  • 18

    Aschraf El Mahdioui

  • 11

    Angelo Fulgini

Forwards

  • 7

    Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi

  • 10

    Roger Martínez

  • 88

    Marin Petkov

Al Ahli

Al Ahli team overview

Al Ahli won the AFC Champions League in late April, securing back-to-back titles in Asia's best club competition! Interestingly, despite their amazing AFC Champions League campaign, they are once again not too close to winning the domestic title, trailing Al Nassr by 16 points, even though they have played one game fewer. At the moment, they sit in 3rd spot with 72 points from 31 rounds. Since the title is out of reach and they qualified for the AFC CL as defending champs, they can enter these remaining matches in a much more relaxed tone. 

After a 3:1 win over Al Fateh, coach Matthias Jaissle spoke to the media. The coach was satisfied with the control and the number of chances they created. He also added that they need to continue their good momentum in the remaining games after winning the AFC Champions League.

Last matches of Al Ahli

  1. Al Ahli

    3 : 1

    Al Fateh

    Pro League

  2. Al Ahli

    4 : 0

    Al Okhdoud

    Pro League

  3. Al Nassr

    2 : 0

    Al Ahli

    Pro League

  4. Al Ahli

    1 : 0

    Machida Zelvia

    AFC Champions League Elite

  5. Vissel Kobe

    1 : 2

    Al Ahli

    AFC Champions League Elite

Al Ahli lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Edouard Mendy

Defenders

  • 27

    Ali Majrashi

  • 3

    Roger Ibañez

  • 46

    Rayan Hamed

  • 2

    Zakaria Hawsawi

Midfielders

  • 10

    Enzo Millot

  • 20

    Matheus Gonçalves

  • 6

    Valentin Atangana

Forwards

  • 7

    Riyad Mahrez

  • 17

    Ivan Toney

  • 9

    Firas Al-Buraikan

Prediction

Al Taawoun just played their best offensive game of the season, scoring five goals against a solid Al Shabab team. They have also been really good offensively, scoring two or more goals in five of the past seven games. Due to those great offensive performances, they went over 2.5 goals in six of the past seven matches - 86%.

Al Ahli scored seven goals in the previous two games against Al Fateh and Al Okhdood. Considering how well they played, we believe they can score a couple of goals fairly easily against Al Taawoun, which haven't kept a clean sheet in the past 13 games. 

We have also seen three goals in the first H2H game (2:1 win for Al Ahli). Considering all the above, we expect a high-scoring game, likely with both teams scoring. 

3 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Al Taawoun went over 2.5 goals in six of the past seven games
  2. Al Ahli scored seven goals in the previous two games
  3. The first H2H game this season ended 2:1 in Al Ahli's favor

Main prediction Al Taawoun - Al Ahli

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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1.76

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Al Taawoun vs Al Ahli standings in Pro League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 32 27 1 4 86 - 26 +60 82
2 Al Hilal 31 23 8 0 81 - 26 +55 77
3 Al Ahli 31 22 6 3 62 - 23 +39 72
4 Al-Qadsiah 32 21 8 3 76 - 33 +43 71
5 Al Taawoun 31 15 7 9 57 - 41 +16 52
6 Al Ittihad 30 14 7 9 47 - 38 +9 49
7 Al Ettifaq 32 14 7 11 49 - 51 -2 49
8 NEOM SC 31 11 8 12 40 - 44 -4 41
9 Al Hazm 32 10 9 13 36 - 55 -19 39
10 Al-Fayha 32 10 8 14 41 - 50 -9 38
11 Al Khaleej 32 10 7 15 52 - 55 -3 37
12 Al Fateh 31 8 9 14 39 - 54 -15 33
13 Al Shabab 31 7 11 13 40 - 52 -12 32
14 Al Kholood 31 9 4 18 39 - 58 -19 31
15 Damac FC 31 5 11 15 27 - 49 -22 26
16 Al Riyadh 31 5 8 18 32 - 62 -30 23
17 Al Okhdoud 31 4 4 23 24 - 68 -44 16
18 Al Najma 32 2 7 23 31 - 74 -43 13

Al Taawoun vs Al Ahli – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on Onefootball.

? How much is the average xG for Al Taawoun this season?

The average xG for Al Taawoun in the Saudi Professional League this season is 1.60.

? How much is the average xG for Al Ahli this season?

The average xG for Al Ahli in the Saudi Professional League this season is 1.28.