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Toulouse vs Olympique Lyon Prediction 10.05.2026 | Ligue 1

Toulouse

Toulouse

Kick off:

Date:

Lyon

Lyon

1

4.51

X

4.16

2

1.81

  • Competition: France - Ligue 1
  • Date: Sunday, 10th, May 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Seeking to cement their place in the Champions League qualification spots, Olympique Lyon travel to the Stadium de Toulouse this Sunday to face a mid-table Toulouse side in a crucial Ligue 1 encounter.

The visitors currently occupy 3rd place in the standings with 60 points, while Toulouse sit comfortably in 10th, having recently arrested a period of domestic turbulence with a morale-boosting away victory.

Toulouse vs Lyon Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lyon

    1 : 2

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  2. Lyon

    0 : 0

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  3. Toulouse

    1 : 2

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  4. Toulouse

    2 : 3

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  5. Lyon

    3 : 0

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  6. Toulouse

    1 : 2

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

Lyon’s remarkable 18-match unbeaten streak in this fixture, which included as many as 15 victories, came to an end earlier this season after Toulouse handed them a 2-1 defeat.

Toulouse

Toulouse team overview

Toulouse FC approach Sunday’s clash sitting in a respectable mid-table position, currently 10th in the Ligue 1 standings with 41 points, having established themselves as a competitive and stable presence in France’s top flight this season.

Les Violets travel into this fixture buoyed by a morale-boosting 2-1 away victory over Strasbourg, a result that not only halted a minor dip in form but also highlighted their resilience and ability to grind out points despite notable squad absences.

However, a key concern for the home side remains their uncharacteristic fragility on home soil, where a defensive unit conceding an alarming average of 2.3 goals per game across their last ten outings must find a way to contain one of Ligue 1’s more productive attacking setups.

Head coach Carles Martinez Novell also faces selection headaches in wide areas, with right-back Rafik Messali and midfielder Abu Francis both ruled out due to serious injuries, while Mario Sauer is unavailable through suspension after accumulating too many yellow cards.

Last matches of Toulouse

  1. Strasbourg

    1 : 2

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  2. Toulouse

    2 : 2

    Monaco

    Ligue 1

  3. RC Lens

    4 : 1

    Toulouse

    Coupe de France

  4. RC Lens

    3 : 2

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  5. Toulouse

    0 : 4

    Lille

    Ligue 1

Toulouse lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Guillaume Restes

Defenders

  • 4

    Charlie Cresswell

  • 2

    Rasmus Nicolaisen

  • 3

    Mark McKenzie

Midfielders

  • 24

    Dayann Methalie

  • 18

    Pape Demba Diop

  • 23

    Cristian Cásseres Jr.

  • 15

    Aron Dønnum

Forwards

  • 11

    Santiago Hidalgo

  • 10

    Yann Gboho

  • 20

    Emersonn

Lyon

Lyon team overview

Lyon travel to the south of France firmly aware of the stakes, sitting third in the table on 60 points and knowing that Sunday’s clash carries major significance in their bid to maintain a slender two-point cushion over Lille OSC in the increasingly intense race for automatic UEFA Champions League qualification.

Encouragingly, Paulo Fonseca’s side have emerged as one of the division’s most relentless attacking forces in recent weeks, underlined by a convincing 4-2 victory over Rennes, a result that extended their winning run to four consecutive league matches and further strengthened their momentum at a crucial stage of the campaign.

However, Les Gones have not always translated that form onto their travels, with inconsistency away from home still a concern, although a notable 2-1 win over giants Paris Saint-Germain remains their only away success in the last six outings, offering a timely confidence boost ahead of this demanding fixture.

Lyon will once again be without influential midfielder Orel Mangala, who remains sidelined with a muscular issue, while youngster Remy Himbert also continues his recovery in the treatment room, limiting Fonseca’s options in midfield depth.

Last matches of Lyon

  1. Lyon

    4 : 2

    Rennes

    Ligue 1

  2. Lyon

    3 : 2

    Auxerre

    Ligue 1

  3. PSG

    1 : 2

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  4. Lyon

    2 : 0

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  5. Angers

    0 : 0

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

Lyon lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Dominik Greif

Defenders

  • 16

    Abner

  • 22

    Clinton Mata

  • 19

    Moussa Niakhaté

  • 98

    Ainsley Maitland-Niles

Midfielders

  • 8

    Corentin Tolisso

  • 23

    Tyler Morton

  • 17

    Afonso Moreira

  • 44

    Khalis Merah

  • 9

    Endrick

Forwards

  • 77

    Roman Yaremchuk

Prediction

While Toulouse have historically demonstrated the tactical grit required to frustrate the league's elite, their current defensive frailty—conceding over two goals in five of their last six—makes them vulnerable against an Olympique Lyon side operating at peak offensive fluidity.

Paulo Fonseca’s men are riding a wave of immense momentum in their pursuit of automatic Champions League qualification, and the dual-threat partnership of Roman Yaremchuk and the clinical Endrick should provide far too much firepower for a depleted hosts' rearguard.

We anticipate an expansive encounter where Lyon's superior technical quality and high-stakes motivation will ultimately overwhelm a resilient but injury-hit Toulouse side, resulting in a decisive away victory that cements the visitors' podium status.

Four Reasons we expect Lyon to Win

  1. Toulouse have suffered defeat in four of their last six competitive outings.
  2. Toulouse have conceded at least two goals in 5 of their last 6 matches.
  3. Lyon are in excellent form, coming into this clash on a four-match winning streak in Ligue 1.
  4. Lyon have beaten Toulouse away from home in seven of their last eight encounters.

Main prediction Toulouse - Lyon

Lyon to win

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

don_andres is the professional football and basketball tipster who can give you deep analytic for each match 

Best Odds:

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1.81

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Toulouse vs Lyon standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 31 22 4 5 70 - 27 +43 70
2 Lens 32 21 4 7 62 - 33 +29 67
3 Olympique Lyonnais 32 18 6 8 52 - 34 +18 60
4 LOSC Lille 32 17 7 8 51 - 35 +16 58
5 Rennes 32 16 8 8 56 - 46 +10 56
6 Monaco 32 16 6 10 56 - 48 +8 54
7 Olympique Marseille 32 16 5 11 59 - 44 +15 53
8 Strasbourg 31 13 7 11 50 - 41 +9 46
9 Lorient 32 10 12 10 44 - 49 -5 42
10 Toulouse 32 11 8 13 45 - 45 0 41
11 Paris 32 10 11 11 44 - 47 -3 41
12 Brest 31 10 8 13 41 - 51 -10 38
13 Angers SCO 32 9 7 16 27 - 46 -19 34
14 Le Havre 32 6 14 12 30 - 43 -13 32
15 Nice 32 7 10 15 36 - 58 -22 31
16 Auxerre 32 6 10 16 30 - 43 -13 28
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 29 - 52 -23 23
18 Metz 32 3 7 22 32 - 72 -40 16

Toulouse vs Lyon – FAQ

? Who is Toulouse's player to watch?

With eight goals and two assists, Yann Gboho is Toulouse’s most productive attacking player.

? Who is Lyon's player to watch?

Pavel Sulc is enjoying a brilliant season, having scored 11 goals and provided 3 assists for Lyon.