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Sunderland vs Manchester United prediction 09.05.2026 | Premier League

Sunderland

Sunderland

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Manchester United

Manchester United

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  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Saturday, 9th May, 2026
  • Kickoff: 15:00 UK / 16:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

The Premier League is slowly coming to an end with only three rounds remaining. On Saturday afternoon, we will see a duel between Sunderland and Manchester United. The hosts hope to end their three-game winless streak and move into European spots. Meanwhile, Manchester United just secured a Champions League appearance next season with their latest win over Liverpool. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Premier League tie.

Sunderland vs Manchester United Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Manchester United

    2 : 0

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  2. Sunderland

    0 : 3

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  3. Manchester United

    3 : 1

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  4. Sunderland

    2 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  5. Manchester United

    3 : 0

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  6. Manchester United

    2 : 0

    Sunderland

    Premier League

In the first H2H game this season, Manchester United won 2:0 at Old Trafford. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, Sunderland have won three times, while Manchester United have won six times.

When it comes to the number of goals, six of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in five of them.

Sunderland

Sunderland team overview

Sunderland returned to the Premier League after winning the Championship Playoffs last season. In the first part of this season, the Black Cats were amazing, and it seemed that they could even secure Europe. Unfortunately, their performances have dropped as the season progressed. After winning just one point in the past three games, they pretty much ruined their chances of securing a spot in Europe. After 35 rounds, the Black Cats are in 12th place with 47 points - four rounds away from European spots. 

Central defender Daniel Ballard received a red card in the previous game against Wolves and will serve his suspension. The 26-year-old is one of their best defenders, and his absence will be a factor. Moreover, Romaine Mundle should remain sidelined with an injury, while Nilson Angulo and Bertrand Traore are listed as questionable.

Last matches of Sunderland

  1. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    1 : 1

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  2. Sunderland

    0 : 5

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  3. Aston Villa

    4 : 3

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  4. Sunderland

    1 : 0

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  5. Newcastle United

    1 : 2

    Sunderland

    Premier League

Sunderland lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Robin Roefs

Defenders

  • 20

    Nordi Mukiele

  • 13

    Luke O'Nien

  • 15

    Omar Alderete

  • 17

    Reinildo Mandava

Midfielders

  • 34

    Granit Xhaka

  • 28

    Enzo Le Fée

  • 27

    Noah Sadiki

Forwards

  • 32

    Trai Hume

  • 9

    Brian Brobbey

  • 7

    Chemsdine Talbi

Manchester United

Manchester United team overview

Manchester United bounced back this year after an atrocious 2024/25 season, when they finished 15th. This season, the Red Devils started poorly but have blossomed after Michael Carrick's appointment in mid-January. If we take a look at their results since his appointment, the Red Devils have been the best team in England! According to credible sources, it is only a matter of time before they sign Carrick to a permanent deal. Now, after 35 rounds, they are in 3rd place with 64 points, and their main goal of reaching the Champions League is fulfilled. So, considering how they looked in the first part of this season, the Red Devils must be satisfied.

Lisandro Martinez served his suspension against Liverpool and will be available for the upcoming game. However, Benjamin Sesko suffered an injury in the previous game and had to leave the field after the first half. It seems he suffered a shin injury and will most likely miss the match, along with Matthijs de Ligt, who is out with a long-term injury.

Last matches of Manchester United

  1. Manchester United

    3 : 2

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  2. Manchester United

    2 : 1

    Brentford

    Premier League

  3. Chelsea

    0 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  4. Manchester United

    1 : 2

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  5. AFC Bournemouth

    2 : 2

    Manchester United

    Premier League

Manchester United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Senne Lammens

Defenders

  • 2

    Diogo Dalot

  • 5

    Harry Maguire

  • 6

    Lisandro Martínez

  • 23

    Luke Shaw

Midfielders

  • 18

    Casemiro

  • 8

    Bruno Fernandes

  • 37

    Kobbie Mainoo

Forwards

  • 19

    Bryan Mbeumo

  • 10

    Matheus Cunha

  • 16

    Amad Diallo

Prediction

Sunderland have really struggled defensively in recent matches, conceding ten goals in the past three games. And since they will miss one of their best central defenders (Daniel Ballard), it is completely unrealistic to expect a sudden change against one of the hottest teams in the PL. That poor defense could make this game high-scoring.

Manchester United went over 2.5 goals in back-to-back games against Liverpool and Brentford, while scoring five goals. They have also gone over 2.5 goals in seven of the past eight games. That is hardly a surprise, considering they are one of the best for this type in the Premier League. Throughout the season, they went over 2.5 goals in 63% of their matches, and on the road, that number is even higher (71%).

Considering all the above, an over 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this Premier League tie.

4 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Sunderland went over 2.5 goals in two of the last three games
  2. Sunderland have allowed ten goals in the past three matches
  3. Manchester United went over 2.5 goals in seven of the past eight games
  4. Manchester United have gone over 2.5 goals in 71% road PL matches

Main prediction Sunderland - Manchester United

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Sunderland vs Manchester United standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71 - 27 +44 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 77 - 35 +42 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69 - 50 +19 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56 - 49 +7 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63 - 53 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58 - 54 +4 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42 - 48 -6 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion 38 14 11 13 52 - 46 +6 53
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55 - 52 +3 53
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58 - 52 +6 52
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47 - 51 -4 52
12 Newcastle United 38 14 7 17 53 - 55 -2 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47 - 50 -3 49
14 Leeds United 38 11 14 13 49 - 56 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41 - 51 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 48 - 51 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur 38 10 11 17 48 - 57 -9 41
18 West Ham United 38 10 9 19 46 - 65 -19 39
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38 - 75 -37 22
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 3 11 24 27 - 68 -41 20

Sunderland vs Manchester United – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Sunderland this season?

The average xG for Sunderland in the Premier League this season is 1.20.

? How much is the average xG for Manchester United this season?

The average xG for Manchester United in the Premier League this season is 1.74.