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Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction 09.05.2026 | Bundesliga

Stuttgart

Stuttgart

Kick off:

Date:

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

1

2.24

X

4.16

2

3.04

  • Competition: Bundesliga 
  • Date: Saturday, 9th May, 2026
  • Kickoff: 14:30 UK / 15:30 CEST
  • Venue: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

On Saturday afternoon, two teams trying to secure a Champions League next season, Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen, will face off in the Bundesliga's 33rd round. With only two rounds left, this game is crucial for both sides. Bayer Leverkusen are coming to the game in a much better form, having won back-to-back games vs RB Leipzig and FC Koln, while Stuttgart drew with Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen in the past two.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Bundesliga tie.

Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Bayer Leverkusen

    1 : 4

    Stuttgart

    Bundesliga

  2. Stuttgart

    3 : 4

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

  3. Bayer Leverkusen

    0 : 0

    Stuttgart

    Bundesliga

  4. Bayer Leverkusen

    4 : 3

    Stuttgart

    Super Cup

  5. Bayer Leverkusen

    2 : 2

    Stuttgart

    Bundesliga

  6. Bayer Leverkusen

    3 : 2

    Stuttgart

    DFB Pokal

In the first H2H game this season, Stuttgart dominated, winning 4:1 on the road. That is Stuttgart's only win in the past ten H2H games. On the other hand, Bayer Leverkusen managed to win four times, at least in regular time. 

When it comes to the number of goals, six of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals. Meanwhile, both teams scored in eight of the past ten H2H games. 

Stuttgart

Stuttgart team overview

Stuttgart have played an overall good season across competitions. The Reds reached the Europa League 1/8 Finals and will also play in the DFB Pokal Finals with Bayern Munich after the Bundesliga ends. Besides those two good campaigns, the Reds are on the brink of securing a top-four finish and a Champions League appearance next season. At the moment, they sit in 5th place with 58 points and are on level with points with Bayer Leverkusen and Hoffenheim. So, we are expecting a really interesting battle for the Champions League.

Midfielder Atakan Karazor received a red card in the previous game against Hoffenheim and will serve his suspension. Meanwhile, Lazar Jovanovic and Finn Jeltsch will remain sidelined with their injuries.

Last matches of Stuttgart

  1. Hoffenheim

    3 : 3

    Stuttgart

    Bundesliga

  2. Stuttgart

    1 : 1

    Werder Bremen

    Bundesliga

  3. Stuttgart

    1 : 0

    SC Freiburg

    DFB Pokal

  4. Bayern Munich

    4 : 2

    Stuttgart

    Bundesliga

  5. Stuttgart

    4 : 0

    Hamburger SV

    Bundesliga

Stuttgart lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 33

    Alexander Nübel

Defenders

  • 4

    Josha Vagnoman

  • 14

    Luca Jaquez

  • 24

    Jeff Chabot

  • 3

    Ramon Hendriks

Midfielders

  • 6

    Angelo Stiller

  • 11

    Bilal El Khannouss

  • 7

    Maximilian Mittelstädt

Forwards

  • 18

    Jamie Leweling

  • 26

    Deniz Undav

  • 10

    Chris Führich

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen team overview

Bayer Leverkusen have had a pretty good season thus far, reaching the Champions League 1/8 Finals and the DFB-Pokal Semi-Finals. However, just like Stuttgart, Bayer Leverkusen desperately wants that 4th place and the Champions League appearance next season. After they were eliminated from the DFB-Pokal in late April, many questioned how well they would respond. And indeed, the Black and Reds answered the call with great back-to-back wins against FC Koln and RB Leipzig and are entering the finish of the season in good form. 

According to credible sources, Lucas Vázquez was close to making a return to the pitch after dealing with calf problems. However, the latest reports indicate that the 34-year-old suffered a setback and will most likely miss additional time. Moreover, Martin Terrier should remain sidelined with his hamstring injury. 

Last matches of Bayer Leverkusen

  1. Bayer Leverkusen

    4 : 1

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  2. FC Koln

    1 : 2

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

  3. Bayer Leverkusen

    0 : 2

    Bayern Munich

    DFB Pokal

  4. Bayer Leverkusen

    1 : 2

    Augsburg

    Bundesliga

  5. Borussia Dortmund

    0 : 1

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Mark Flekken

Defenders

  • 8

    Robert Andrich

  • 4

    Jarell Quansah

  • 12

    Edmond Tapsoba

Midfielders

  • 24

    Aleix García

  • 30

    Ibrahim Maza

  • 42

    Montrell Culbreath

  • 20

    Alejandro Grimaldo

  • 25

    Exequiel Palacios

Forwards

  • 23

    Nathan Tella

  • 14

    Patrik Schick

Prediction

Stuttgart are one of the best teams in the league for this type of bet, with 50% of their Bundesliga games finishing with four or more goals. Only Bayern Munich had more such games this season! Also, in recent games, they had some really good offensive performances, and managed to score 16 goals in the past seven games - 2.3 per game!

Bayer Leverkusen were really good offensively in the past two games, scoring six goals against RB Leipzig and FC Koln. They also played mostly high-scoring games recently, going over 2.5 goals in five of the past seven, while they have gone over 3.5 goals on three occasions. The primary reason for that is their excellent offense. Throughout the season, these teams impressed offensively, scoring 66 goals in 32 rounds, and are tied for the second-best offense in the Bundesliga.

Also, five of the past six H2H games ended with four or more goals. Considering the trend in the previous H2H games and all the above, we expect a high-scoring game, likely with both teams scoring.

4 Reasons why we should see four or more goals

  1. Stuttgart have scored 2+ goals in three of the past five games
  2. Stuttgart went over 3.5 goals in half of their Bundesliga games
  3. These teams are tied for the second-best offense in the Bundesliga with 66 goals scored
  4. Five of the past six H2H games ended with four or more goals.

Main prediction Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen

Over 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

1xBet

1.91

Bet here

Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen standings in Bundesliga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 32 26 5 1 116 - 35 +81 83
2 Borussia Dortmund 32 20 7 5 65 - 32 +33 67
3 RB Leipzig 32 19 5 8 63 - 42 +21 62
4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 32 17 7 8 66 - 43 +23 58
5 VfB Stuttgart 32 17 7 8 66 - 46 +20 58
6 TSG Hoffenheim 32 17 7 8 64 - 48 +16 58
7 SC Freiburg 32 12 8 12 45 - 53 -8 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 32 11 10 11 57 - 60 -3 43
9 FC Augsburg 32 11 7 14 42 - 56 -14 40
10 FSV Mainz 05 32 9 10 13 41 - 50 -9 37
11 Borussia Mönchengladbach 32 8 11 13 37 - 50 -13 35
12 Hamburger SV 32 8 10 14 36 - 51 -15 34
13 FC Union Berlin 32 8 9 15 37 - 57 -20 33
14 FC Köln 32 7 11 14 47 - 55 -8 32
15 Werder Bremen 32 8 8 16 37 - 57 -20 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 32 6 8 18 42 - 67 -25 26
17 St. Pauli 32 6 8 18 27 - 55 -28 26
18 Heidenheim 32 5 8 19 38 - 69 -31 23

Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Stuttgart this season?

The average xG for Stuttgart in the Bundesliga this season is 1.77.

? How much is the average xG for Bayer Leverkusen this season?

The average xG for Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga this season is 1.69.