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Middlesbrough vs Southampton prediction 09.05.2026 | Championship

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Kick off:

Date:

Southampton

Southampton

1

2.33

X

3.38

2

3.30

  • Competition: Championship
  • Date: Saturday, 9th May 2026
  • Kickoff: 12:30 UK / 13:30 CEST
  • Venue: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)

The most exciting part of the Championship season, the promotion playoffs, is here. Both Middlesbrough and Southampton worked hard for the opportunity to return to the Premier League. Which team will secure an advantage in the first leg of the semifinal? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Middlesbrough vs Southampton Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Middlesbrough

    4 : 0

    Southampton

    Championship

  2. Southampton

    1 : 1

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  3. Southampton

    1 : 1

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  4. Middlesbrough

    2 : 1

    Southampton

    Championship

  5. Middlesbrough

    1 : 2

    Southampton

    Premier League

  6. Southampton

    1 : 0

    Middlesbrough

    Premier League

Middlesbrough won two of the last four H2H matches, while two games ended in draws. This season in Southampton, it was 1-1, while in Middlesbrough, the hosts won 4-0. 

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough team overview

After nine seasons in the Championship, Middlesbrough have the opportunity to return to the English top flight. They ended fifth in the standings and are now two steps away from their goal. Middlesbrough are in solid form, as they are unbeaten in the last four matches and have something to build their optimism on. In the final game of the regular season, Kim Hellberg's team played 2-2 on the road against Wrexham. Both teams had more than enough chances to secure victory, but in the end, splitting points seemed the fairest outcome.

Middlesbrough's manager, Kim Hellberg, is excited ahead of the first leg against Southampton. He said, "It will be two very good games of football, I'm really looking forward to it. It's between two attack-minded teams and two teams that want to press and play. It will be two great games of football."

Alfie Jones and Darragh Lenihan are injured and will not play on Saturday afternoon. Also, Hayden Hackney is questionable.

Last matches of Middlesbrough

  1. Wrexham

    2 : 2

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  2. Middlesbrough

    5 : 1

    Watford

    Championship

  3. Middlesbrough

    1 : 0

    Sheffield Wednesday

    Championship

  4. Ipswich Town

    2 : 2

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  5. Middlesbrough

    0 : 1

    Portsmouth

    Championship

Middlesbrough lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Sol Brynn

Defenders

  • 12

    Luke Ayling

  • 29

    Adilson Malanga

  • 6

    Dael Fry

Midfielders

  • 2

    Callum Brittain

  • 16

    Alan Browne

  • 18

    Aidan Morris

  • 3

    Matt Targett

Forwards

  • 11

    Morgan Whittaker

  • 13

    David Strelec

  • 9

    Tommy Conway

Southampton

Southampton team overview

Last season, Southampton were terrible in the Premier League, but now have a chance to bounce back and return to the strongest English competition. The Saints ended one position above Middlesbrough, but with the same number of points as their next opponent. Southampton were in terrific form in the previous months, losing only once in their last 23 matches. In the most recent outing, Southampton won 3-1 on the road against Preston. The guests didn't dominate, but their excellent efficiency was enough for all three points that time.

Southampton's boss, Tonda Eckert, is optimistic about the upcoming game in Middlesbrough. He said, "If they catch a good day and they start to flow, I think they are a good team in certain aspects of the game. (But) we come from some good weeks and months. In the end, it is about getting our strengths on the pitch like we have been doing for many, many weeks now."

Southampton will be without Alex McCarthy, Mads Roerslev Rasmussen, and Jack Stephens on Saturday afternoon, while Kuryu Matsuki is questionable and his status will be clearer closer to the kickoff.

Last matches of Southampton

  1. Preston North End

    1 : 3

    Southampton

    Championship

  2. Southampton

    2 : 2

    Ipswich Town

    Championship

  3. Manchester City

    2 : 1

    Southampton

    FA Cup

  4. Southampton

    2 : 2

    Bristol City

    Championship

  5. Swansea City

    1 : 2

    Southampton

    Championship

Southampton lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 41

    Daniel Peretz

Defenders

  • 24

    Shea Charles

  • 15

    Nathan Wood

  • 6

    Taylor Harwood-Bellis

  • 34

    Welington

Midfielders

  • 20

    Caspar Jander

  • 19

    Cameron Archer

  • 48

    Cameron Bragg

Forwards

  • 18

    Tom Fellows

  • 11

    Ross Stewart

  • 13

    Leo Scienza

Prediction

Both teams are outstanding on offense lately. Middlesbrough scored ten goals in the last four matches. On the other hand, Southampton scored 20 goals in the previous eight games. Also, Middlesbrough won 4-0 in the most recent meeting with their next opponent. We will likely see another high-scoring clash on Saturday afternoon. 

5 Reasons why we should expect at least three goals in this match

  1. Middlesbrough scored ten goals in the last four matches
  2. Three of the previous four Middlesbrough games have gone over 2.5 goals
  3. Southampton scored 20 goals in the last eight matches
  4. Every one of the previous nine Southampton games ended with at least three goals
  5. Middlesbrough won 4-0 in the last H2H match against Southampton

Main prediction Middlesbrough - Southampton

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Melbet

2.10

Bet here

Middlesbrough vs Southampton standings in Championship

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Coventry City 46 28 11 7 97 - 45 +52 95
2 Ipswich Town 46 23 15 8 80 - 47 +33 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 64 - 49 +15 83
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 82 - 56 +26 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 72 - 47 +25 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 70 - 66 +4 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69 - 65 +4 71
8 Derby County 46 20 9 17 67 - 59 +8 69
9 Norwich City 46 19 8 19 63 - 56 +7 65
10 Birmingham City 46 17 13 16 57 - 56 +1 64
11 Swansea City 46 18 10 18 57 - 59 -2 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59 - 59 0 62
13 Sheffield United 46 18 6 22 66 - 66 0 60
14 Preston North End 46 15 15 16 55 - 62 -7 60
15 Queens Park Rangers 46 16 10 20 61 - 73 -12 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53 - 65 -12 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51 - 56 -5 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49 - 64 -15 55
19 Charlton Athletic 46 13 14 19 44 - 58 -14 53
20 Blackburn Rovers 46 13 13 20 42 - 56 -14 52
21 West Bromwich Albion 46 13 14 19 48 - 58 -10 51
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 45 - 59 -14 47
23 Leicester City 46 12 16 18 58 - 68 -10 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 29 - 89 -60 0

Middlesbrough vs Southampton – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Middlesbrough this season?

The average xG for Middlesbrough in the Championship this season is 1.79.

? How much is the average xG for Southampton this season?

The average xG for Southampton in the Championship this season is 1.64.