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Poland vs Ukraine prediction 31.05.2026 | Friendlies

Poland

Poland

Kick off:

Date:

Ukraine

Ukraine

1

2.23

X

3.44

2

3.54

  • Competition: Friendlies
  • Date: 31st May 2026
  • Kick-off: 16:30 UK / 17:30 CEST
  • Venue: Tarczyński Arena

Poland and Ukraine meet in Wrocław on Sunday afternoon with both sides trying to recover from painful World Cup qualifying disappointments. The timing probably makes this friendly more competitive than usual because neither camp ended the campaign feeling satisfied. Poland came painfully close before losing to Sweden in the playoff final, while Ukraine never recovered from a difficult semi-final defeat against the same opponent. Even so, both teams still carry plenty of quality, which should make this a fascinating early summer test.

Poland vs Ukraine Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Poland

    3 : 1

    Ukraine

    Friendly International

  2. Poland

    2 : 0

    Ukraine

    Friendly International

  3. Ukraine

    0 : 1

    Poland

    European Championship

  4. Ukraine

    1 : 0

    Poland

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Poland

    1 : 3

    Ukraine

    WC Qualification Europe

  6. Poland

    1 : 1

    Ukraine

    Friendly International

Poland and Ukraine have faced each other 10 times since 1998, with the Eagles holding a slight advantage after five victories. Ukraine have won three meetings, while two ended level. Interestingly, recent history favours Poland quite clearly because the hosts have won each of the last three encounters between the sides.

Poland

Poland team overview

Poland actually finished their qualifying campaign in fairly strong form despite the heartbreak at the end. The Eagles went five matches unbeaten during the run-in and even handled difficult games against the Netherlands impressively. That momentum helped Jan Urban’s side overcome Albania in the playoff semi-final before the dramatic defeat against Sweden in Stockholm.

The frustrating part for supporters was probably how close Poland came. The Eagles led the playoff final after half an hour but slowly lost control as the match opened up. Still, performances at home remain encouraging. Poland have won six of their last seven matches on home soil and generally look far more settled playing in front of their own supporters.

Robert Lewandowski naturally remains the headline name in attack, although Poland’s creativity increasingly comes from deeper areas now. Piotr Zieliński and Sebastian Szymański should again carry much of that responsibility through midfield as Urban looks for a balanced response after the playoff disappointment.

Last matches of Poland

  1. Sweden

    3 : 2

    Poland

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Poland

    2 : 1

    Albania

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Malta

    2 : 3

    Poland

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Poland

    1 : 1

    Netherlands

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Lithuania

    0 : 2

    Poland

    WC Qualification Europe

Poland lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Kamil Grabara

Defenders

  • 3

    Przemysław Wiśniewski

  • 5

    Jan Bednarek

  • 14

    Jakub Kiwior

Midfielders

  • 15

    Arkadiusz Pyrka

  • 21

    Nicola Zalewski

  • 10

    Piotr Zieliński

  • 20

    Sebastian Szymański

Forwards

  • 7

    Karol Świderski

  • 9

    Robert Lewandowski

  • 13

    Jakub Kamiński

Ukraine

Ukraine team overview

Ukraine also produced a respectable qualifying campaign overall, losing only once across their final five matches before the playoffs began. The bigger issue was the manner of the defeat against Sweden. The Blue and Yellows looked second best for long periods and struggled badly once the tempo increased in midfield.

Andrea Maldera’s side at least responded positively afterward with a narrow friendly victory over Albania. It was not a spectacular performance by any means, however clean sheets and compact displays have become increasingly important for this Ukrainian side lately. Away form still creates some concern though, with four defeats in the last nine road matches.

Maldera has leaned heavily toward players performing strongly in the domestic league. Dynamo Kyiv provide several key names in the squad, including Ruslan Neshcheret and Taras Mykhavko.

The visitors still possess plenty of international experience too, with Andriy Lunin, Illia Zabarnyi and Artem Dovbyk expected to form the spine of the side.

Last matches of Ukraine

  1. Ukraine

    1 : 0

    Albania

    Friendly International

  2. Ukraine

    1 : 3

    Sweden

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Ukraine

    2 : 0

    Iceland

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. France

    4 : 0

    Ukraine

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Ukraine

    2 : 1

    Azerbaijan

    WC Qualification Europe

Ukraine lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Andriy Lunin

Defenders

  • 5

    Valeriy Bondar

  • 2

    Yukhym Konoplya

  • 22

    Mykola Matviyenko

  • 16

    Vitaliy Mykolenko

Midfielders

  • 18

    Volodymyr Brazhko

  • 10

    Mykola Shaparenko

  • 7

    Andriy Yarmolenko

Forwards

  • 11

    Artem Dovbyk

  • 9

    Roman Yaremchuk

  • 19

    Matviy Ponomarenko

Prediction

Poland and Ukraine feel quite evenly matched heading into this friendly, especially with both sides still carrying frustration from failed World Cup qualification campaigns. Poland should control possession slightly more at home, however Ukraine remain organised and dangerous on transitions. Neither team looks fully convincing defensively or sharp enough to dominate elite opposition right now. A tense, balanced contest seems likely in Wrocław, and a 1-1 draw honestly feels like the most sensible outcome.

Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals

  1. Poland have conceded under 1.5 goals in each of their last seven home games.
  2. Ukraine kept a clean sheet in two of their last four matches.
  3. Only two of the last eight meetings between Poland and Ukraine produced 3+ goals.

Main prediction Poland - Ukraine

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

59% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

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1.80

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Poland vs Ukraine – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Sunday’s Friendly game.

? How many corners do Poland usually win in their home friendly encounters?

Around 5.20 per friendly home match, which feels huge. 

? What about bookings for Andrea Maldera’s men away?

About 1.50 yellow cards on average in their away friendly games.