Gremio vs Corinthians prediction 30.05.2026 | Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio come into this weekend’s Brasileirão Betano encounter after a surprising 2:2 draw against Torque in the Copa Sudamericana earlier this week. 

Carlos Vinícius bagged a last minute equaliser before picking up a red card in stoppage time after Luis Castro’s side had twice fought back to claim a point at Arena do Grêmio.

The hosts have enjoyed a strong run of form in the past month or so, picking up six wins while losing just one of their last 11 fixtures since mid-April. 

Home fixtures have been low-scoring in recent weeks, with only one of their last six games at Arena do Grêmio seeing more than two goals scored. Under 2.5 goals landed in 13 of 16 previous meetings between these sides.

Head coach Castro has a lengthy list of absentees this weekend. Weverton is away on international duty, while Cristian Pavón (thigh), Fabián Balbuena (thigh), Gustavo Martins (thigh), João Pedro (thigh), Luis Guedes (thigh), Marlon (ankle) and Roger (muscle) are all ruled out through injury.

Corinthians arrive at Arena do Grêmio after a surprise 2:0 home defeat against Platense in the Copa Libertadores earlier this week. Franco Zapiola’s brace secured a fine road victory for the Argentines. 

Time do Povo have been in mixed form over the past month, recording three wins and three defeats in their eight previous fixtures. However, they have been tough to beat domestically, losing just two of their last 11 matches (excluding Copa Libertadores).

Low-scoring outcomes have been relatively frequent. Five of their last seven league fixtures finished with under 2.5 goals scored, with an average of exactly two goals per game scored in eight away league matches this season.

Head coach Fernando Diniz has two players missing this weekend. Hugo is ruled out with a meniscus injury, while Vitinho is sidelined with a hip issue.