Contents
- Competition: Championship
- Date: Monday, 16th March, 2026
- Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
- Venue: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)
On Monday evening, the last game of the 38th round will take place. One of the relegation candidates, Portsmouth, will welcome Derby County, which are trying to secure a playoff spot this season. The hosts are trying to end their three-game home losing streak, while the visitors are hoping to snap their three-game road losing streak.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Championship tie.
Portsmouth vs Derby County Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Derby County
1 : 1
Portsmouth
Championship
-
Portsmouth
2 : 2
Derby County
Championship
-
Derby County
4 : 0
Portsmouth
Championship
-
Portsmouth
2 : 2
Derby County
League One
-
Derby County
1 : 1
Portsmouth
League One
-
Derby County
1 : 1
Portsmouth
League One
In the first H2H game this season, we saw a 1:1 draw in a match where Derby County were a better team and probably deserved a win. Looking further back, in the past ten H2H games, Portsmouth won just once, while Derby secured three victories.
Regarding the number of goals, six of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in eight of them.
Portsmouth team overview
Portsmouth began their season intending to only survive. Despite having massive injury problems throughout the season, the popular Pompey put themselves in a very good position. However, after winning only one point in the previous four rounds, we can safely say they have complicated their lives tremendously and are under pressure to finally win a game. At the moment, they are in 19th spot with 40 points from 36 rounds - just two points away from the danger zone, although with fewer games played.
After a 2:1 loss to Swansea, coach John Mousinho spoke to the media. He said they started the game poorly and were really bad in the first half. The coach was really disappointed with their performance and said they lacked aggression, but noted they improved in the second half and almost came back into the game
Last matches of Portsmouth
-
Portsmouth
1 : 2
Swansea City
Championship
-
Blackburn Rovers
1 : 1
Portsmouth
Championship
-
Portsmouth
0 : 1
Hull City
Championship
-
Wrexham
2 : 1
Portsmouth
Championship
-
Millwall
1 : 3
Portsmouth
Championship
Portsmouth lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Nicolas Schmid
Defenders
-
24
Terry Devlin
-
55
Madiodio Dia
-
3
Connor Ogilvie
-
22
Zak Swanson
Midfielders
-
7
Marlon Pack
-
40
Jacob Brown
-
38
Ebou Adams
Forwards
-
47
Gustavo Caballero
-
9
Colby Bishop
-
27
Millenic Alli
Derby County team overview
Derby County had a bad season last year, almost being relegated from the Championship. This season, the Rams were projected to be around the middle of the table and have overachieved, putting them in a position to reach the playoffs. After 37 rounds, the Rams are in 8th place, six points away from the desired sixth place. Even though we believe they lack the quality to be in the top six, the Rams will have a pretty favorable schedule and definitely have a chance to reach the playoffs.
After a 1:0 loss to Millwall, coach John Eustace spoke to the media. He was disappointed with the result but said there are a few positives about the performance. The coach added they did well in the second half, saying they created two or three big chances to change the result.
Last matches of Derby County
-
Millwall
1 : 0
Derby County
Championship
-
Derby County
2 : 1
Sheffield Wednesday
Championship
-
Derby County
3 : 1
Blackburn Rovers
Championship
-
Hull City
4 : 2
Derby County
Championship
-
Watford
2 : 0
Derby County
Championship
Derby County lineup
Goalkeeper
-
31
Josh Vickers
Defenders
-
23
Joe Ward
-
28
Dion Sanderson
-
5
Matt Clarke
-
2
Derry Murkin
Midfielders
-
27
Lewis Travis
-
19
Sammie Szmodics
-
42
Bobby Clark
Forwards
-
25
Ben Brereton Díaz
-
7
Patrick Agyemang
-
10
Rhian Brewster
Prediction
Portsmouth have won just once in their last four games and are struggling to secure positive results. To be fair, they aren't playing as poorly as the results suggest, but they keep making mistakes on defense, which eventually costs them points. Also, at home, Pompey have really struggled, winning just once in the past six games.
Derby County have been inconsistent lately, but still managed to win two of the past three games. Their only loss came against Millwall, one of the best teams in the league. However, they played well against Millwall and should have at least earned a point.
Moreover, Portsmouth haven't won in the past seven H2H games, with their last win being more than a decade ago - in August 2015. Considering the trend in the previous H2H games and all the above, we believe Derby County will secure at least one point from this Championship tie.
3 Reasons why Derby County should win or draw
- Portsmouth have won one point in the past four games
- Derby County won two of the past three games
- Portsmouth haven't won in the past seven H2H games
Main prediction Portsmouth - Derby County
Derby County win or draw (X2)
Best Odds:
Portsmouth vs Derby County standings in Championship
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 78 - 40 | +38 | 77 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 59 - 37 | +22 | 70 |
| 3 | Ipswich Town | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 66 - 38 | +28 | 68 |
| 4 | Millwall | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 52 - 43 | +9 | 68 |
| 5 | Hull City | 38 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 59 - 56 | +3 | 63 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 57 - 47 | +10 | 60 |
| 7 | Southampton | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 60 - 48 | +12 | 57 |
| 8 | Derby County | 37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 54 - 48 | +6 | 54 |
| 9 | Birmingham City | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 48 - 48 | 0 | 53 |
| 10 | Watford | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 47 - 45 | +2 | 52 |
| 11 | Swansea City | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44 - 46 | -2 | 52 |
| 12 | Norwich City | 37 | 15 | 6 | 16 | 51 - 45 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 | Stoke City | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 45 - 40 | +5 | 51 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 49 - 49 | 0 | 51 |
| 15 | Sheffield United | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 53 - 52 | +1 | 50 |
| 16 | Queens Park Rangers | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49 - 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 17 | Preston North End | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 42 - 48 | -6 | 49 |
| 18 | Charlton Athletic | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 36 - 45 | -9 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn Rovers | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 36 - 49 | -13 | 42 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 36 - 47 | -11 | 40 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 39 - 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 22 | Oxford United | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 36 - 49 | -13 | 39 |
| 23 | Leicester City | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 51 - 60 | -9 | 38 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday | 38 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 23 - 76 | -53 | -6 |