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Valerenga vs Aalesund prediction 16.07.2026 | Eliteserien

Valerenga

Valerenga

Kick off:

Date:

Aalesunds FK

Aalesunds FK

1

1.73

X

4.24

2

4.30

  • Competition: Eliteserien 
  • Date: Thursday, 16th July, 2026
  • Kickoff: 18:00 UK / 19:00 CEST
  • Venue: Intility Arena (Oslo)

After a roughly month-long break in June, Eliteseriean teams were back in action last week. Valerenga suffered a big 4:0 loss to Tromso in their return, while Aalesund drew 2:2 with Molde after the restart. Now, Valerenga and Aalesund will face off, with a similar short-term goal - to avoid dropping into the danger zone.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Eliteserien tie.

Valerenga vs Aalesunds FK Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Valerenga

    4 : 1

    Aalesunds FK

    1. Division

  2. Aalesunds FK

    0 : 2

    Valerenga

    1. Division

  3. Valerenga

    3 : 1

    Aalesunds FK

    Eliteserien

  4. Aalesunds FK

    0 : 1

    Valerenga

    Eliteserien

  5. Valerenga

    4 : 0

    Aalesunds FK

    Eliteserien

  6. Aalesunds FK

    2 : 2

    Valerenga

    Eliteserien

The last meeting between these two teams was in 2024, when both competed in OBOS-Ligaen. That time, Valerenga won both games, 4:1 at home and 2:0 away. Looking further back, over the past ten h2h games, Valerenga were a much better team, winning seven times, while the remaining three ended in draws. 

When it comes to the number of goals, six out of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (seven).

Valerenga

Valerenga team overview

Valerenga suffered an unexpected relegation in 2023 but managed to return instantly. Then, in the last season, they had a really good campaign, finishing 6th. When everyone expected them to build on that momentum, they completely disappointed this year. After opening with two Eliteserien wins, they were atrocious and are looking worse and worse as the season progresses. The main issue this year is their road record, which is why these home games against teams near the bottom of the league table are particularly important. 

After a 4:0 loss to Tromso in the previous game, coach Johannes Moesgaard spoke to the media. He admitted that he believed the team had gone past their previous defensive issues. The coach called the result unacceptable and said there are no excuses, saying they need to improve in every aspect of the game. 

Last matches of Valerenga

  1. Tromso

    4 : 0

    Valerenga

    Eliteserien

  2. IFK Goteborg

    1 : 1

    Valerenga

    Club Friendlies 3

  3. Valerenga

    3 : 1

    Kristiansund

    Eliteserien

  4. IK Start

    2 : 0

    Valerenga

    Eliteserien

  5. Valerenga

    3 : 2

    Sarpsborg 08

    Eliteserien

Valerenga lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Oscar Hedvall

Defenders

  • 3

    Håkon Sjåtil

  • 4

    Aaron Kiil Olsen

  • 39

    Ivan Näsberg

  • 2

    Kolbeinn Finnsson

Midfielders

  • 8

    Henrik Bjørdal

  • 29

    Fidel Brice Ambina

  • 28

    Magnus Westergaard

  • 10

    Carl Lange

  • 24

    Petter Strand

Forwards

  • 17

    Mathias Grundetjern

Aalesunds FK

Aalesund team overview

Aalesund constantly traveled between Eliteserien and OBOS-Ligaen in the past few seasons. Last season, they managed to return to Eliteserien, and are only looking to survive this year. However, unlike Valerenga, who are in poor form, Aalesund are only getting better and better as the season progresses and are currently on a five-game unbeaten run. Still, they are on level with points with teams in the danger zone and have to continue with good performances.

After a 2:2 draw with Molde in the previous game, coach Kjetil Rekdal spoke to the media. He was pleased with the character his team showed, especially as they secured an equalizer in stoppage time. The coach praised the late response, the team's work rate, and their fighting spirit. Coach Rekdal noted there is still room for improvement, especially in possession.

Last matches of Aalesunds FK

  1. Aalesunds FK

    2 : 2

    Molde

    Eliteserien

  2. Kristiansund

    0 : 3

    Aalesunds FK

    Club Friendlies 3

  3. Aalesunds FK

    2 : 2

    HamKam

    Eliteserien

  4. Tromso

    1 : 1

    Aalesunds FK

    Eliteserien

  5. Aalesunds FK

    2 : 1

    Brann

    Eliteserien

Aalesunds FK lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 26

    Tor Erik Larsen

Defenders

  • 14

    Uba Charles

  • 4

    Simen Haram

  • 5

    Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen

  • 3

    Ólafur Gudmundsson

Midfielders

  • 7

    Kristoffer Nessø

  • 8

    Henrik Melland

  • 18

    Elias Hagen

  • 21

    Mathias Christensen

Forwards

  • 15

    Endre Osenbroch

  • 39

    Kristian Lonebu

Prediction

Valerenga just suffered a massive 4:0 loss to Tromso, their biggest loss of the season, following a 5:1 loss to Molde earlier this season. They have massive problems defensively, and beating teams with 2+ goals seems very challenging. This season, in 12 Eliteserien games, they only had two wins by two or more goals. 

On the other hand, Aalesund are on a five-game unbeaten run. This season, including the NM Cup, Aalesund lost just twice by two or more goals in 15 games - a mere 13%. Also, on the road, they lost only three out of nine games across competitions.

Considering all the above, we believe that we should see a lot closer game than the odds suggest, and a road team to cover +1 AH seems like a very good option for this Eliteserien tie.

3 Reasons why Aalesund should cover the +1 AH spread

  1. Valerenga lost their last game 4:0 to Tromso
  2. Valerenga have a 33% win rate this season
  3. Aalesund lost just twice by 2+ goals in 15 games across competitions

Main prediction Valerenga - Aalesunds FK

AH2 (+1)

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.66

Bet here

Valerenga vs Aalesunds FK standings in Eliteserien

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Tromsø 14 8 4 2 22 - 14 +8 28
2 Viking 11 9 0 2 29 - 11 +18 27
3 Bodø / Glimt 12 8 2 2 30 - 11 +19 26
4 Lillestrøm 12 7 1 4 19 - 11 +8 22
5 Molde 12 6 2 4 20 - 15 +5 20
6 HamKam 11 5 3 3 19 - 18 +1 18
7 Sarpsborg 08 12 5 2 5 14 - 16 -2 17
8 Brann 13 5 1 7 26 - 21 +5 16
9 Sandefjord 12 4 3 5 12 - 15 -3 15
10 Fredrikstad 12 4 2 6 15 - 22 -7 14
11 Vålerenga 12 4 2 6 13 - 21 -8 14
12 Aalesund 12 2 6 4 17 - 22 -5 12
13 Rosenborg 12 3 3 6 12 - 18 -6 12
14 KFUM 12 3 3 6 12 - 19 -7 12
15 Kristiansund 12 3 2 7 11 - 21 -10 11
16 Start 13 1 4 8 14 - 30 -16 7

Valerenga vs Aalesund – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on TV2 Play.

? How much is the average xG for Valerenga this season?

The average xG for Valerenga in the Eliteserien this season is 1.70.

? How much is the average xG for Aalesund this season?

The average xG for Aalesund in the Eliteserien this season is 1.55.