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Turkey vs Italy prediction 28.09.2026 | Nations League

Turkey

Turkey

Kick off:

Date:

Italy

Italy

1

2.95

X

3.35

2

2.30

  • Competition: Nations League - League A
  • Date: Monday, 28th September 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Altındağ Atatürk Spor Kompleksi (Izmir)

Two teams that opened the Nations League with defeats, Turkey and Italy, will meet on Monday night in another intriguing tie. France and Belgium are also in the same group, and every point could be decisive. Can Turkey win in Izmir and pile even more pressure on Italy? Let's find the best betting option for the upcoming clash. 

Turkey vs Italy Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Italy

    0 : 0

    Turkey

    Friendly International

  2. Turkey

    2 : 3

    Italy

    Friendly International

  3. Turkey

    0 : 3

    Italy

    European Championship

  4. Italy

    1 : 1

    Turkey

    Friendly International

Interestingly, Turkey never won against their next opponent. On the other hand, Italy triumphed seven times in 11 H2H matches, with four draws. The previous meeting was two years ago, when it was 0-0 in a friendly in Bologna. The teams were pretty even that time. 

Turkey

Turkey team overview

Turkey are making progress in recent years. After three campaigns in lower levels of the Nations League, Vincenzo Montella's team finally qualified for the strongest tier. Also, Turkey returned to the World Cup, where they finished with three points in three matches and failed to qualify for the knockout phase. Turkey are probably the weakest team in the Nations League group, but they surely see a chance of reaching the knockout phase. A few days ago, Turkey opened the competition with a 1-0 home defeat to France. The teams were pretty even at that time, and it wouldn't be undeserved if Turkey secured one point.

Although Turkey lost, the head coach, Vincenzo Montella, was satisfied. He stated, "It was a very close fight. We put in a very good performance. I'm very disappointed with the score. We played bravely and showed our spirit on the court. We deserved more."

Turkey's goalkeeper received a red card late in the previous match and will miss the upcoming tie against Italy. In his absence, Altay Bayindir should start.

Last matches of Turkey

  1. Turkey

    0 : 1

    France

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Turkey

    3 : 2

    United States

    World Cup

  3. Turkey

    0 : 1

    Paraguay

    World Cup

  4. Australia

    2 : 0

    Turkey

    World Cup

  5. Venezuela

    1 : 2

    Turkey

    Friendly International

Turkey lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Altay Bayindir

Defenders

  • 2

    Zeki Celik

  • 14

    Abdulkerim Bardakci

  • 3

    Merih Demiral

Midfielders

  • 18

    Oguy Aydin

  • 5

    Salih Ozcan

  • 16

    Ismail Yuksek

  • 20

    Ferdi Kadioglu

Forwards

  • 10

    Arda Guler

  • 21

    Baris Alper Yilmaz

  • 11

    Can Uzun

Italy

Italy team overview

Italy are in the biggest crisis ever. Although they are regular in the Euros, it is shocking that the Azzurri missed the previous three World Cups. Now they are at the start of a new chapter and need a strong Nations League campaign to get back on track. However, in the opening round, Italy lost 2-0 at home against Belgium. The hosts had good spells, but their inefficiency cost them the match.

After a defeat against Belgium, Italy's head coach, Roberto Mancini, was understandably disappointed. He commented, "The first half was below expectations, but the second was not. The team played very well until the counterattack that made it 2-0. We had five or six chances to equalize. When you lose, no one is happy."

Probably Italy's best defender, Alessandro Bastoni, skipped the previous match due to suspension. He should return to the starting lineup on Monday in Izmir, replacing Diego Coppola.

Last matches of Italy

  1. Italy

    0 : 2

    Belgium

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Greece

    0 : 1

    Italy

    Friendly International

  3. Luxembourg

    0 : 1

    Italy

    Friendly International

  4. Bosnia and Herzegovina

    4 : 1

    Italy

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Italy

    2 : 0

    Northern Ireland

    WC Qualification Europe

Italy lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 22

    Giovanni Di Lorenzo

  • 23

    Gianluca Mancini

  • 24

    Alessandro Bastoni

  • 5

    Riccardo Calafiori

Midfielders

  • 8

    Sandro Tonali

  • 4

    Alessandro Romano

  • 18

    Nicolo Barella

Forwards

  • 9

    Moise Kean

  • 7

    Pio Esposito

  • 21

    Nicolo Cambiaghi

Prediction

Both teams opened the Nations League with defeats. However, Turkey were even with one of the best in the world, France, while Italy lost at home against Belgium. Turkey have never beaten Italy in 11 H2H matches, but they should be closer to victory on Monday in Izmir. 

3 Reasons why Turkey should win against Italy

  1. Turkey played well in defeat against France
  2. Turkey won four of the previous five home matches
  3. Italy lost against Belgium in the first round

Main prediction Turkey - Italy

AH1 (0)

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.00

Bet here

Turkey vs Italy standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 1 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Belgium 1 1 0 0 2 - 0 +2 3
2 France 1 1 0 0 1 - 0 +1 3
3 Türkiye 1 0 0 1 0 - 1 -1 0
4 Italy 1 0 0 1 0 - 2 -2 0

Turkey vs Italy – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much was the average xG for Turkey at the World Cup?

The average xG for Turkey at the World Cup was 2.52.

? How much was the average xG for Italy in the World Cup qualifications?

The average xG for Italy in the World Cup qualifications was 2.18.