Contents
- Competition: Nations League
- Date: 15th November 2026
- Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
- Venue: King Baudouin Stadium
Group A1 leaders Italy travel to Brussels this Sunday for a massive showdown against third-placed Belgium. With just a single point separating these two heavyweights, a home victory would dramatically flip the table on the final matchday. Let's dive into the stats to find the best betting angles.
Belgium vs Italy Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
UEFA Nations League
-
Belgium
0 : 1
Italy
UEFA Nations League
-
Italy
2 : 2
Belgium
UEFA Nations League
-
Belgium
1 : 2
Italy
European Championship
-
Belgium
0 : 2
Italy
European Championship
-
Belgium
3 : 1
Italy
Friendly International
History favors the Azzurri. Italy holds a clear historical edge with 4 wins across their last 6 meetings, though the Red Devils pulled off a stunning 2-0 victory in Rome back in September. Goals per game during this spell stands at 2.5.
Belgium team overview
Belgium enters this one on the back of a gritty 2-1 away victory over Türkiye on Thursday, keeping them third in Group A1 with nine points.
The Red Devils reached the 2026 World Cup quarter-finals before losing 2-1 to eventual champions Spain, and watching that late collapse still stings for me as an admirer of their fluid attacking football.
Shifting back to Nations League action, Mark van Bommel's men also beat Italy 2-0 and Türkiye 3-0, while losing 1-0 and 4-1 to France.
On home soil, they're tough to beat, winning five of their last seven competitive home fixtures across all competitions despite falling 1-0 to France in Brussels back in September.
Kevin De Bruyne drives the midfield with three goals and an assist in this Nations League campaign. A hip injury sidelines Romelu Lukaku, while Roméo Lavia remains absent from the matchday squad.
Last matches of Belgium
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Turkey
1 : 2
Belgium
UEFA Nations League
-
France
4 : 1
Belgium
UEFA Nations League
-
Belgium
3 : 0
Turkey
UEFA Nations League
-
Belgium
0 : 1
France
UEFA Nations League
-
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
UEFA Nations League
Belgium lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Senne Lammens
Defenders
-
21
Timothy Castagne
-
4
Brandon Mechele
-
15
Nathan Ngoy
-
5
Maxim De Cuyper
Midfielders
-
23
Nicolas Raskin
-
8
Youri Tielemans
-
7
Kevin De Bruyne
Forwards
-
19
Diego Moreira
-
17
Charles De Ketelaere
-
11
Jérémy Doku
Italy team overview
Italy enters this one on the back of a stunning 3-1 home victory over France on Thursday, lifting them top of Group A1 with 10 points.
The Azzurri missed out on the 2026 World Cup after falling to Bosnia and Herzegovina on penalties in March's play-off final, and watching them sit out a third straight finals still hurts as a longtime Serie A fan.
Shifting back to Nations League action, Roberto Mancini's men also beat Türkiye 4-1 and 3-1, drew 1-1 with France, and lost 2-0 to Belgium.
On the road, they currently boast a five match unbeaten run across all competitions, picking up four wins and a draw.
Twenty-one-year-old striker Pio Esposito leads the charge after bagging a brace against France on Thursday. Injuries and withdrawals sideline Gianluca Mancini and Nicolò Zaniolo.
Last matches of Italy
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Italy
3 : 1
France
UEFA Nations League
-
Italy
3 : 1
Turkey
UEFA Nations League
-
France
1 : 1
Italy
UEFA Nations League
-
Turkey
1 : 4
Italy
UEFA Nations League
-
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
UEFA Nations League
Italy lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Defenders
-
2
Michael Kayode
-
3
Giorgio Scalvini
-
6
Alessandro Bastoni
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5
Riccardo Calafiori
Midfielders
-
16
Davide Frattesi
-
8
Sandro Tonali
-
18
Nicolò Barella
Forwards
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19
Nicolò Cambiaghi
-
7
Sebastiano Esposito
-
9
Pio Esposito
Prediction
Brussels will be electric. Both backlines look leaky right now, with Italy conceding in six straight matches while Belgium kept just two clean sheets across their last nine outings. I've always trusted Kevin De Bruyne to unlock stubborn defenses on home soil, especially with automatic qualification hanging in the balance after the 2-1 win over Turkey last time out. Back the Red Devils to edge a 2-1 victory.
Three reasons we expect both teams to score in this game
- Italy are without a clean sheet in their last six matches.
- Belgium finished only two of their last nine games without conceding.
- Five of the last eight meetings between Belgium and Italy produced over 2.5 goals.
Main prediction Belgium - Italy
Over 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Belgium vs Italy standings in UEFA Nations League
| Group 1 | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Italy | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 - 6 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | France | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 - 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 | Belgium | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 - 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 4 | Türkiye | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 - 13 | -10 | 0 |