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Latvia vs Armenia prediction 15.11.2026 | Nations League

Latvia

Latvia

Kick off:

Date:

Armenia

Armenia

1

3.02

X

3.35

2

2.49

  • Competition: Nations League
  • Date: 15th November 2026
  • Kick-off: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CET
  • Venue: Skonto Stadium

Basement dwellers Latvia welcome third-placed Armenia to Riga this Sunday in a battle to dodge the League C relegation play-offs. Sitting on just a single point, the hosts must win to have any hope of climbing off the foot of Group C2. I'm still baffled by how easily Armenia picked them apart 2-0 back in September. Pride is on the line. Let's dive into the stats to find the best betting angles.

Latvia vs Armenia Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Armenia

    2 : 0

    Latvia

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Latvia

    1 : 2

    Armenia

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Armenia

    4 : 1

    Latvia

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Latvia

    2 : 0

    Armenia

    Euro Qualification

  5. Armenia

    2 : 1

    Latvia

    Euro Qualification

  6. Latvia

    2 : 0

    Armenia

    Friendly International

History favors the visitors. Armenia holds a clear upper hand with four wins across their last five meetings, including September's 2-0 triumph in Yerevan. I've always found their Baltic clashes surprisingly lively, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

Latvia

Latvia team overview

Latvia enters this one on the back of a painful 2-1 stoppage-time defeat in Montenegro on Thursday, leaving them bottom of Group C2 with just one point.

The 11 Wolves haven't reached a major tournament since Euro 2004, where they drew 0-0 with Germany, and watching them concede late in Podgorica felt all too familiar as a follower of Baltic football.

In the Nations League, Paolo Nicolato's men also lost 2-0 to Armenia, 2-1 to Montenegro, and 2-1 to Cyprus, while drawing 0-0 with Cyprus.

On home soil, they've managed just one win across their last eight competitive fixtures, recording three draws and four losses.

Midfielder Deniss Meļņiks arrives with confidence after scoring against Montenegro on Thursday. Injuries rule out Renārs Varslavāns and Kristers Penkevics.

Last matches of Latvia

  1. Montenegro

    2 : 1

    Latvia

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Cyprus

    2 : 1

    Latvia

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Latvia

    1 : 2

    Montenegro

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Latvia

    0 : 0

    Cyprus

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Armenia

    2 : 0

    Latvia

    UEFA Nations League

Latvia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Rihards Matrevics

Defenders

  • 13

    Raivis Jurkovskis

  • 21

    Deniss Meļņiks

  • 5

    Antonijs Černomordijs

  • 4

    Oskars Vientiess

Midfielders

  • 3

    Dennis Cirkin

  • 7

    Eduards Dašķevičs

  • 17

    Lūkass Vapne

Forwards

  • 15

    Dmitrijs Zelenkovs

  • 14

    Andrejs Cigaņiks

  • 20

    Roberts Uldriķis

Armenia

Armenia team overview

Armenia enters this one on the back of a frustrating 1-1 home draw against Cyprus on Thursday, leaving them third in Group C2 with five points.

Havakakan have never qualified for a major tournament in their history, and seeing them drop points despite registering 64% possession and 20 shots in Yerevan felt like a missed opportunity.

Looking at their current Nations League campaign, Yeghishe Melikyan's men started strong by beating Latvia 2-0, though they've failed to win any of their four games since, settling for two draws and two defeats.

On the road, they're currently enduring a six-match competitive winless run, picking up just one draw and five losses.

Twenty-year-old forward Artur Gharibyan leads the attack after scoring against Cyprus and Latvia in this campaign. Injuries rule out star captain Eduard Spertsyan, Sergey Muradyan, and Henri Avagyan.

Last matches of Armenia

  1. Armenia

    1 : 1

    Cyprus

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Montenegro

    0 : 0

    Armenia

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Cyprus

    2 : 0

    Armenia

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Armenia

    2 : 3

    Montenegro

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Armenia

    2 : 0

    Latvia

    UEFA Nations League

Armenia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Aleksandr Mishiev

Defenders

  • 2

    Artyom Bandikyan

  • 4

    Georgy Arutyunyan

  • 5

    Styopa Mkrtchyan

  • 21

    Nair Tiknizyan

Midfielders

  • 8

    Karlen Hovhannisyan

  • 6

    Ugochukwu Iwu

  • 22

    Narek Grigoryan

Forwards

  • 10

    Zhirayr Shaghoyan

  • 9

    Artur Serobyan

  • 18

    Artur Garibyan

Prediction

Riga won't see a goal fest. Both attacks look completely toothless right now, with Armenia netting just once across their last five competitive road trips while Latvia managed only two goals in their last four home outings. Even without injured captain Eduard Spertsyan, I still trust Armenia's superior quality in this matchup after winning four of their last five meetings against the hosts. Expect a cagey battle. Back Armenia to grind out a 1-0 win.

Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Armenia scored only once across their last five competitive away games.
  2. Latvia scored only twice in their last four home competitive encounters.
  3. Four of the last seven meetings between Latvia and Armenia finished with under 2.5 goals.

Main prediction Latvia - Armenia

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

59% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.58

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Latvia vs Armenia standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 2 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Montenegro 5 4 1 0 9 - 5 +4 13
2 Cyprus 5 2 2 1 6 - 4 +2 8
3 Armenia 5 1 2 2 5 - 6 -1 5
4 Latvia 5 0 1 4 3 - 8 -5 1

Latvia vs Armenia – FAQ

? Where can I watch this match?

You can stream the match live in the US on FOX Sports, FOX Soccer Plus, FuboTV, and ViX, while local viewers can watch on LTV7 in Latvia and FAST TV in Armenia.

? How many corners does Latvia average per game in the Nations League group stage?

Latvia averages 3.50 corners per match overall, dropping to 3.00 per game when playing on home soil.

? What about bookings for Armenia in this competition?

Armenia averages 2.20 yellow cards per match, collecting 11 yellows and zero red cards across their first five group games.