Contents
- Competition: Nations League
- Date: 15th November 2026
- Kick-off: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CET
- Venue: Skonto Stadium
Basement dwellers Latvia welcome third-placed Armenia to Riga this Sunday in a battle to dodge the League C relegation play-offs. Sitting on just a single point, the hosts must win to have any hope of climbing off the foot of Group C2. I'm still baffled by how easily Armenia picked them apart 2-0 back in September. Pride is on the line. Let's dive into the stats to find the best betting angles.
Latvia vs Armenia Head to Head (H2H) stats
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Armenia
2 : 0
Latvia
UEFA Nations League
-
Latvia
1 : 2
Armenia
UEFA Nations League
-
Armenia
4 : 1
Latvia
UEFA Nations League
-
Latvia
2 : 0
Armenia
Euro Qualification
-
Armenia
2 : 1
Latvia
Euro Qualification
-
Latvia
2 : 0
Armenia
Friendly International
History favors the visitors. Armenia holds a clear upper hand with four wins across their last five meetings, including September's 2-0 triumph in Yerevan. I've always found their Baltic clashes surprisingly lively, averaging 3.0 goals per game.
Latvia team overview
Latvia enters this one on the back of a painful 2-1 stoppage-time defeat in Montenegro on Thursday, leaving them bottom of Group C2 with just one point.
The 11 Wolves haven't reached a major tournament since Euro 2004, where they drew 0-0 with Germany, and watching them concede late in Podgorica felt all too familiar as a follower of Baltic football.
In the Nations League, Paolo Nicolato's men also lost 2-0 to Armenia, 2-1 to Montenegro, and 2-1 to Cyprus, while drawing 0-0 with Cyprus.
On home soil, they've managed just one win across their last eight competitive fixtures, recording three draws and four losses.
Midfielder Deniss Meļņiks arrives with confidence after scoring against Montenegro on Thursday. Injuries rule out Renārs Varslavāns and Kristers Penkevics.
Last matches of Latvia
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Montenegro
2 : 1
Latvia
UEFA Nations League
-
Cyprus
2 : 1
Latvia
UEFA Nations League
-
Latvia
1 : 2
Montenegro
UEFA Nations League
-
Latvia
0 : 0
Cyprus
UEFA Nations League
-
Armenia
2 : 0
Latvia
UEFA Nations League
Latvia lineup
Goalkeeper
-
23
Rihards Matrevics
Defenders
-
13
Raivis Jurkovskis
-
21
Deniss Meļņiks
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5
Antonijs Černomordijs
-
4
Oskars Vientiess
Midfielders
-
3
Dennis Cirkin
-
7
Eduards Dašķevičs
-
17
Lūkass Vapne
Forwards
-
15
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
-
14
Andrejs Cigaņiks
-
20
Roberts Uldriķis
Armenia team overview
Armenia enters this one on the back of a frustrating 1-1 home draw against Cyprus on Thursday, leaving them third in Group C2 with five points.
Havakakan have never qualified for a major tournament in their history, and seeing them drop points despite registering 64% possession and 20 shots in Yerevan felt like a missed opportunity.
Looking at their current Nations League campaign, Yeghishe Melikyan's men started strong by beating Latvia 2-0, though they've failed to win any of their four games since, settling for two draws and two defeats.
On the road, they're currently enduring a six-match competitive winless run, picking up just one draw and five losses.
Twenty-year-old forward Artur Gharibyan leads the attack after scoring against Cyprus and Latvia in this campaign. Injuries rule out star captain Eduard Spertsyan, Sergey Muradyan, and Henri Avagyan.
Last matches of Armenia
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Armenia
1 : 1
Cyprus
UEFA Nations League
-
Montenegro
0 : 0
Armenia
UEFA Nations League
-
Cyprus
2 : 0
Armenia
UEFA Nations League
-
Armenia
2 : 3
Montenegro
UEFA Nations League
-
Armenia
2 : 0
Latvia
UEFA Nations League
Armenia lineup
Goalkeeper
-
16
Aleksandr Mishiev
Defenders
-
2
Artyom Bandikyan
-
4
Georgy Arutyunyan
-
5
Styopa Mkrtchyan
-
21
Nair Tiknizyan
Midfielders
-
8
Karlen Hovhannisyan
-
6
Ugochukwu Iwu
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22
Narek Grigoryan
Forwards
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10
Zhirayr Shaghoyan
-
9
Artur Serobyan
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18
Artur Garibyan
Prediction
Riga won't see a goal fest. Both attacks look completely toothless right now, with Armenia netting just once across their last five competitive road trips while Latvia managed only two goals in their last four home outings. Even without injured captain Eduard Spertsyan, I still trust Armenia's superior quality in this matchup after winning four of their last five meetings against the hosts. Expect a cagey battle. Back Armenia to grind out a 1-0 win.
Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game
- Armenia scored only once across their last five competitive away games.
- Latvia scored only twice in their last four home competitive encounters.
- Four of the last seven meetings between Latvia and Armenia finished with under 2.5 goals.
Main prediction Latvia - Armenia
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Latvia vs Armenia standings in UEFA Nations League
| Group 2 | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 - 5 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 - 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 | Armenia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 - 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 4 | Latvia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 - 8 | -5 | 1 |