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Finland vs San Marino prediction 15.11.2026 | Nations League

Finland

Finland

Kick off:

Date:

San Marino

San Marino

1

1.02

X

26.00

2

65.00

  • Competition: Nations League
  • Date: Sunday, 15th November 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CET
  • Venue: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Two teams with unsuccessful Nations League campaigns, Finland and San Marino, will meet on Sunday evening. No matter what happens in the upcoming clash, both sides will remain in League C. Can we expect a goal-fest in the final round? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Finland vs San Marino Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. San Marino

    0 : 7

    Finland

    UEFA Nations League

  2. San Marino

    1 : 2

    Finland

    Euro Qualification

  3. Finland

    6 : 0

    San Marino

    Euro Qualification

  4. San Marino

    0 : 1

    Finland

    Euro Qualification

  5. Finland

    8 : 0

    San Marino

    Euro Qualification

Finland have won all seven H2H matches against San Marino. The previous meeting was in September, when Jacob Friis' team won 7-0 in Serravalle. The visitors clearly dominated, but seven goals seem a little too much, as Finland finished with xG of 3.84. 

Finland

Finland team overview

Finland's only appearance at a major tournament was EURO 2020. At that point, it seemed they had a chance to step up, but they missed two World Cups and one continental tournament since then. Finland had solid expectations going into this autumn's Nations League campaign. Still, they collected only seven points after five rounds and remained without a chance to fight for promotion in the final round. Finland lost the last two matches. On Thursday, they lost 2-0 on the road against Albania. The visitors played well for most of the game, but their inefficiency cost them any chance of points.

After the defeat in Albania, Finland's head coach, Jacob Friis, was understandably disappointed. He commented, "It's difficult to blame the players for anything other than the fact that we weren't as effective as our opponent. It's an essential part of football, and it's something we definitely need to improve on."

Finland's Miro Tenho received a red card in the previous match and will serve a suspension on Sunday against San Marino. Tony Miettinen is the primary candidate instead of Djurgarden's center-back.

Last matches of Finland

  1. Albania

    2 : 0

    Finland

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Belarus

    1 : 0

    Finland

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Finland

    2 : 1

    Albania

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Finland

    0 : 0

    Belarus

    UEFA Nations League

  5. San Marino

    0 : 7

    Finland

    UEFA Nations League

Finland lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Lukas Hradecky

Defenders

  • 3

    Adam Stahl

  • 4

    Tony Miettinen

  • 21

    Ville Koski

  • 17

    Ryan Mahuta

Midfielders

  • 7

    Oliver Antman

  • 9

    Fredrik Jensen

  • 11

    Adam Markhiev

  • 10

    Leo Walta

  • 18

    Topi Keskinen

Forwards

  • 19

    Benjamin Kallman

San Marino

San Marino team overview

San Marino are one of the worst European teams. They are unlikely to ever play a major role at the continental level. This year in the Nations League, Roberto Cevoli's team lost all five games with a 1:18 goal difference. In the previous match, San Marino lost 2-0 at home against Belarus. With few chances created and limited attacking quality, San Marino never looked likely to get anything from the game and ultimately suffered another deserved defeat.

San Marino's head coach, Roberto Cevoli, said that defeat against Belarus was disappointing, considering what they could see on the pitch. However, the boss also admitted his team made too many errors. 

San Marino have some problems ahead of the game against Finland. They will be without injured Dante Rossi and Michele Cevoli, while Filippo Fabbri is suspended. 

Last matches of San Marino

  1. San Marino

    0 : 2

    Belarus

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Albania

    2 : 1

    San Marino

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Belarus

    4 : 0

    San Marino

    UEFA Nations League

  4. San Marino

    0 : 3

    Albania

    UEFA Nations League

  5. San Marino

    0 : 7

    Finland

    UEFA Nations League

San Marino lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Edoardo Colombo

Defenders

  • 2

    Giacomo Benvenuti

  • 5

    Tommaso Benvenuti

  • 15

    Marco Pasolini

  • 3

    Simone Giocondi

Midfielders

  • 10

    Samuele Zannoni

  • 21

    Lorenzo Lazzari

  • 8

    Lorenzo Capicchioni

  • 18

    Enea Della Balda

Forwards

  • 9

    Nicola Nanni

  • 7

    Gabriel Capicchioni

Prediction

Finland beat San Marino 7-0 in September, but we could expect a significantly different game on Sunday evening. Since then, Finland scored only two goals in four matches. Also, all four games finished with no more than three goals. On the other hand, San Marino conceded four goals in the previous two matches. We shouldn't expect more than three goals on Sunday evening at Bolt Arena. 

3 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than three goals in this match

  1. Finland scored only two goals in the last four matches
  2. There were three or fewer goals in each of the previous four Finland games
  3. San Marino conceded four goals in the last two matches

Main prediction Finland - San Marino

Under 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Additional predictions

Finland vs San Marino standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 1 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Albania 5 4 0 1 10 - 3 +7 12
2 Belarus 5 3 1 1 7 - 2 +5 10
3 Finland 5 2 1 2 9 - 4 +5 7
4 San Marino 5 0 0 5 1 - 18 -17 0

Finland vs San Marino – FAQ

? How much is the average xG for Finland this season?

The average xG for Finland in the Nations League this season is 1.57.

? How much is the average xG for San Marino this season?

The average xG for San Marino in the Nations League this season is 0.67.