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Spain vs England prediction 15.11.2026 | Nations League

Spain

Spain

Kick off:

Date:

England

England

1

1.73

X

4.20

2

4.66

  • Competition: UEFA Nations League A
  • Date: Sunday, 15th November, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)

In the last game of the UEFA Nations League A, two teams that secured the top two spots in Group 3, Spain and England, will face off. Spain won all five games thus far, while England won four and lost only to Spain. Now, in order for England to grab the top spot, the Three Lions need a 2+ goal win over the Spaniards. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this UEFA Nations League tie.

Spain vs England Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. England

    2 : 3

    Spain

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Spain

    2 : 1

    England

    European Championship

  3. Spain

    2 : 3

    England

    UEFA Nations League

  4. England

    1 : 2

    Spain

    UEFA Nations League

  5. England

    2 : 2

    Spain

    Friendly International

  6. Spain

    2 : 0

    England

    Friendly International

In the previous h2h game, in October, Spain won 3:2 in London. It was an exciting game where Kane missed the penalty on a 2:1 lead for England. Looking further back, over the past ten h2h games, Spain won seven times, while England won twice. 

When it comes to the number of goals, five of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (five). 

Spain

Spain team overview

Spain, the 2026 World Champions, continued with amazing results in the UEFA Nations League. They won all five games thus far, but unlike the WC, when they were dominant defensively and allowed only one goal, they seemed to have a different approach, and their only clean sheet in the UEFA Nations League came against the Czech Republic. Now, the Spaniards need only one point at home to stay in the top spot.

For the November cycle, Spain misses some key players like Rodri, Dani Olmo, Eric Garcia, Gavi, and Ander Barrenetxea. However, Lamine Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal, Nico Williams, and Aymeric Laporte, who missed the previous game against the Czech Republic due to illness or minor injuries, should be ready for the England match. 

Last matches of Spain

  1. Czech Republic

    0 : 2

    Spain

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Croatia

    1 : 2

    Spain

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Spain

    3 : 1

    Czech Republic

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Spain

    4 : 1

    Croatia

    UEFA Nations League

  5. England

    2 : 3

    Spain

    UEFA Nations League

Spain lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Unai Simón

Defenders

  • 12

    Pedro Porro

  • 5

    Pau Cubarsí

  • 4

    Dean Huijsen

  • 22

    Marc Cucurella

Midfielders

  • 8

    Fabián Ruiz

  • 9

    Fermín López

  • 20

    Pedri

Forwards

  • 19

    Lamine Yamal

  • 21

    Mikel Oyarzabal

  • 15

    Álex Baena

England

England team overview

England had a good World Cup campaign, where they were a few minutes away from reaching the Finals, but conceded two quick goals from Argentina and blew the historic opportunity. In the UEFA Nations League, they did well, losing only to Spain in five games. They had some really good performances, like an amazing 7:0 win over Croatia in Croatia! They look strong overall, and even though they are the underdog against Spain, they showed in the first duel that they can compete with them.

For the Spain game, coach Tuchel will be without Bukayo Saka, alongside Rashford, Guehi, and a few others. On the positive side, Ezri Konsa and Djed Spence, who missed the previous games against Croatia, could recover and be back.

Last matches of England

  1. England

    2 : 1

    Croatia

    UEFA Nations League

  2. England

    3 : 0

    Czech Republic

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Croatia

    0 : 7

    England

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Czech Republic

    0 : 2

    England

    UEFA Nations League

  5. England

    2 : 3

    Spain

    UEFA Nations League

England lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jordan Pickford

Defenders

  • 2

    Trent Alexander-Arnold

  • 6

    Jarell Quansah

  • 5

    Dan Burn

  • 3

    Lewis Hall

Midfielders

  • 8

    Elliot Anderson

  • 10

    Jude Bellingham

  • 4

    Declan Rice

Forwards

  • 17

    Morgan Rogers

  • 9

    Harry Kane

  • 11

    Anthony Gordon

Prediction

Spain won the previous game 3:2 in England and were objectively a better side. They had 3.12 xG, compared to England's 1.74. If we exclude the penalty Kane missed, England was under 1.0 xG! Now, in Spain, England was forced to go for all three wins and open, at least in the later parts of the game. If they open too much, Spain will definitely find a way to punish them, especially if Yamal and Oyarzabal are back in the squad.

Additionally, Spain have been a lot better in direct h2h duels. They won three of the past four h2h games. Considering all the above, we believe Spain are closer to winning the upcoming UEFA Nations League tie.

3 Reasons why Spain should win

  1. Spain won all five games in the UEFA Nations League
  2. Spain won the previous h2h game in London 3:2
  3. Spain won seven of the past ten h2h games

Main prediction Spain - England

Spain to win

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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1.73

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Spain vs England standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 3 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Spain 5 5 0 0 14 - 5 +9 15
2 England 5 4 0 1 16 - 4 +12 12
3 Croatia 5 1 0 4 5 - 16 -11 3
4 Czech Republic 5 0 0 5 2 - 12 -10 0

Spain vs England – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Spain in the UEFA Nations League?

The average xG for Spain in the UEFA Nations League this season is 2.32.

? How much is the average xG for England in the UEFA Nations League?

The average xG for England in the UEFA Nations League this season is 2.9.