Home Bookmakers Tips Bonuses

Metz vs Marseille prediction 04.10.2025 | Ligue 1

Metz

Metz

0 - 3

Elapsed: FT

Half time: 0 - 0

Full time: 0 - 3

Kick off:

Date:

Marseille

Marseille

match ended

The match has ended, you can view today's football predictions and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: 4th October, 2025
  • Kickoff: 16:00 UK / 17:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stade Saint Symphorien

On 4 October, Metz host Marseille at the Stade Saint-Symphorien in what promises to be a challenging match for the home side. Metz are languishing at the bottom of Ligue 1 (18th), still winless after six games, while Marseille come in with more momentum after an emphatic 4-0 win over Ajax in midweek and much higher expectations in their push for the Ligue 1 title. Given Metz’s poor defensive record and Marseille’s capacity to score, this fixture is shaping up to favor the visitors.

Metz vs Marseille Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Marseille

    1 : 1

    Metz

    Ligue 1

  2. Metz

    2 : 2

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  3. Metz

    1 : 2

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  4. Marseille

    0 : 0

    Metz

    Ligue 1

  5. Metz

    1 : 1

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  6. Marseille

    1 : 1

    Metz

    Ligue 1

Historically, Marseille have dominated this fixture: in recent head-to-head meetings, they are unbeaten in the last 9 matches against Metz, with 8 wins and 2 draws. More importantly, Marseille avoided defeat in 5 consecutive away meetings at the Stade Saint Symphorien.

Metz

Metz team overview

The hosts have had a horrific start to the Ligue 1 campaign and are currently bottom of the league standings with just two points in six games. Metz have played six matches in the league so far and have not won in any of them (0 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses), also posing the joint-second worst defensive record in Ligue 1 with 13 goals conceded. At home, however, their form is marginally better but still weak: from three home matches, they have drawn two and lost one, scoring less than one per game on average but also limiting opponents to few chances (2 goals conceded).

Fitness wise, among those sidelined or in doubt are: J. Mangondo, M. Mbaye, U. Mboula, and S. Sane.

Last matches of Metz

  1. Metz

    0 : 0

    Le Havre

    Ligue 1

  2. Monaco

    5 : 2

    Metz

    Ligue 1

  3. Metz

    1 : 1

    Angers

    Ligue 1

  4. Paris FC

    3 : 2

    Metz

    Ligue 1

  5. Lyon

    3 : 0

    Metz

    Ligue 1

Metz lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jonathan Fischer

Defenders

  • 39

    Koffi Kouao

  • 5

    Jean-Philippe Gbamin

  • 15

    Terry Yegbe

  • 97

    Fodé Ballo-Touré

Midfielders

  • 20

    Jessy Deminguet

  • 8

    Boubacar Traoré

  • 10

    Gauthier Hein

Forwards

  • 19

    Morgan Bokele Mputu

  • 14

    Cheick Tidiane Sabaly

  • 30

    Habib Diallo

Marseille

Marseille team overview

Marseille, meanwhile, have produced some outstanding performances both domestically and in Europe. Roberto De Zerbi’s men come into this fixture fresh from an emphatic 4-0 win over Ajax in the Champions League - their first victory of the 2025/26 campaign. In Ligue 1, they have been equally impressive and remain strong contenders for the title as things stand. The visitors have built solid momentum in recent weeks, winning three consecutive league matches to move within just three points of joint leaders PSG and Lyon. The only concern ahead of Saturday’s clash is their away record, with two defeats and just one win from three matches. However, given their current form and confidence, Marseille should still approach this contest in a strong position mentally.

Marseille are somewhat luckier in terms of squad availability, as only Geoffrey Kondogbia and Hamed Junior Traore are sidelined with injuries.

Last matches of Marseille

  1. Marseille

    4 : 0

    Ajax

    Champions League

  2. Strasbourg

    1 : 2

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  3. Marseille

    1 : 0

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  4. Real Madrid

    2 : 1

    Marseille

    Champions League

  5. Marseille

    4 : 0

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

Marseille lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gerónimo Rulli

Defenders

  • 62

    Amir Murillo

  • 5

    Leonardo Balerdi

  • 21

    Nayef Aguerd

  • 32

    Facundo Medina

Midfielders

  • 17

    Matt O'Riley

  • 23

    Pierre-Emile Højbjerg

  • 8

    Angel Gomes

  • 22

    Timothy Weah

  • 14

    Igor Paixão

Forwards

  • 9

    Amine Gouiri

Prediction

Given the data, Marseille look well poised to win this one. Metz’s defensive frailties (13 conceded in 6, no wins) make them vulnerable, especially at home where they already struggle to put away goals. Marseille’s better attacking form and higher probability of scoring - along with their strong historical record vs Metz - suggest they can manage a solid result and make it four Ligue 1 wins in a row. A plausible prediction is Marseille to Win.

Three reasons we expect Marseille to Win

  1. Marseille have won 3 successive Ligue 1 matches in recent weeks. 
  2. Metz are bottom of the Ligue 1 standings and are yet to win this season.
  3. Marseille are undefeated in 9 consecutive H2H fixtures against Metz.

Main prediction Metz - Marseille

Marseille to win

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

Metz vs Marseille standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 27 20 3 4 61 - 23 +38 63
2 Lens 28 19 2 7 54 - 27 +27 59
3 LOSC Lille 28 15 5 8 45 - 34 +11 50
4 Olympique Marseille 28 15 4 9 55 - 37 +18 49
5 Monaco 28 15 4 9 49 - 39 +10 49
6 Olympique Lyonnais 28 14 6 8 41 - 29 +12 48
7 Rennes 28 13 8 7 47 - 40 +7 47
8 Strasbourg 28 12 7 9 46 - 34 +12 43
9 Lorient 28 9 11 8 38 - 42 -4 38
10 Toulouse 28 10 7 11 39 - 35 +4 37
11 Brest 28 10 6 12 37 - 43 -6 36
12 Angers SCO 28 9 6 13 24 - 37 -13 33
13 Paris 28 7 11 10 33 - 44 -11 32
14 Le Havre 28 6 10 12 23 - 36 -13 28
15 Nice 28 7 6 15 33 - 55 -22 27
16 Auxerre 28 5 8 15 23 - 37 -14 23
17 Nantes 27 4 6 17 24 - 45 -21 18
18 Metz 28 3 6 19 25 - 60 -35 15

Metz vs Marseille – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Metz take on Marseille on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Metz have won in the Ligue 1 2025/26 season?

6.3

? What is the average number of corners Marseille have won in the Ligue 1 2025/26 season?

5.7