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Palmeiras vs Junior prediction 28.05.2026 | Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Kick off:

Date:

Junior FC

Junior FC

1

1.29

X

5.90

2

10.50

  • Competition: Copa Libertadores
  • Date: Thursday, 28th May, 2026
  • Kickoff: 23:00 UK / 00:00 CEST
  • Venue: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

The final game of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage brings us a super interesting duel between Palmeiras and Junior. The hosts are trying to secure the 1/8 Finals with a positive result in this game, while the visitors desperately need a win to have a chance of climbing to 3rd place and qualify for the Copa Sudamericana 1/16 Finals. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Copa Libertadores tie.

Palmeiras vs Junior FC Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Junior FC

    1 : 1

    Palmeiras

    Copa Libertadores

  2. Palmeiras

    3 : 0

    Junior FC

    Copa Libertadores

  3. Junior FC

    0 : 2

    Palmeiras

    Copa Libertadores

  4. Palmeiras

    3 : 1

    Junior FC

    Copa Libertadores

  5. Junior FC

    0 : 3

    Palmeiras

    Copa Libertadores

In the first H2H game, we saw a 1:1 draw in Colombia, in which Palmeiras were the better team and probably deserved all three points. In total, these teams have met five times, with the Brazilian side winning four times and the remaining match finished as a draw.

When it comes to the number of goals, three out of the past five games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored twice.

Palmeiras

Palmeiras team overview

Palmeiras, an 11-time Brazilian champ, have pretty much been constantly among the very best teams in Brazil in the previous decade. Last two seasons, the Green and White finished second, just three and six points away from winning the title. This season, they are looking like the best team in the league, and the latest 3:0 win over the reigning champs, Flamengo, is proof of that. Now, they sit at the top spot with a seven-point advantage over the second-placed Flamengo, although with a game played more. However, they are under pressure to beat Junior because a potential elimination from the Copa Libertadores would be considered a major flop. Still, even with a loss, they can secure the next phase if Cerro Porteno beats Sporting Cristal.

After a 3:0 win over Flamengo, coach Abel Ferreira spoke to the media. He said it was a strong collective performance in which they showed maturity. He also noted this was an important win because of recent criticisms of some parts of their fanbase. 

The team should have no new injuries, but the ones who missed the previous games should remain sidelined - Benedetti, Bruno Fuchs, Joaquin Piquerez, Ramon Sosa, and Vitor Roque.

Last matches of Palmeiras

  1. Flamengo

    0 : 3

    Palmeiras

    Serie A

  2. Palmeiras

    0 : 1

    Cerro Porteño

    Copa Libertadores

  3. Palmeiras

    1 : 1

    Cruzeiro

    Serie A

  4. Jacuipense

    1 : 4

    Palmeiras

    Copa do Brasil

  5. Remo

    1 : 1

    Palmeiras

    Serie A

Palmeiras lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Carlos Miguel

Defenders

  • 4

    Agustín Giay

  • 26

    Murilo

  • 15

    Gustavo Gómez

  • 56

    Arthur Gabriel

Midfielders

  • 17

    Marlon Freitas

  • 8

    Andreas Pereira

  • 32

    Emiliano Martínez

Forwards

  • 40

    Allan

  • 42

    José Manuel López

  • 11

    Jhon Arias

Junior FC

Junior team overview

Junior, an 11-time Colombian champ, won the Clausura title in December and have reached the Apertura Finals this time. There, they will face Atlético Nacional after the Palmeiras game. So, we can safely say the upcoming two weeks will pretty much decide the outcome of their season. In the Copa Libertadores, they lost a mathematical chance to reach 2nd place and the knockout phase. Still, they have a chance to reach the 3rd place and the Copa Sudamericana knockout phase. However, they need a win here and also a win for Cerro Porteno over Sporting Cristal. We can safely say the chances aren't too great.

After a 1:0 over Santa Fe and reaching the Apertura Finals, coach Alfredo Arias was very satisfied. He praised the team for their discipline and defensive effort. He said the players showed the attitude and commitment that had been missing earlier in the season. 

Last matches of Junior FC

  1. Junior FC

    5 : 4

    Santa Fe

    Liga BetPlay

  2. Junior FC

    3 : 2

    Sporting Cristal

    Copa Libertadores

  3. Santa Fe

    1 : 1

    Junior FC

    Liga BetPlay

  4. Junior FC

    2 : 2

    Once Caldas

    Liga BetPlay

  5. Junior FC

    0 : 1

    Cerro Porteño

    Copa Libertadores

Junior FC lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Mauro Silveira

Defenders

  • 3

    Edwin Herrera

  • 5

    Daniel Rivera

  • 98

    Jermein Peña

  • 26

    Yeison Suárez

Midfielders

  • 14

    Juan David Ríos

  • 20

    Jannenson Sarmiento

  • 80

    Fabián Ángel

Forwards

  • 77

    Cristian Barrios

  • 9

    Guillermo Paiva

  • 88

    Bryan Castrillón

Prediction

Palmeiras have gone under 2.5 goals in seven of the past nine games. The only times they have gone over were against Flamengo, when they had one player more for almost the entire game, and in the Cup against a Serie D side, Jacuipense. 

Junior played their best games at home. On the road, they are not even remotely as good. In the past five road games across competitions, they scored just three goals. Due to their poor offensive production, they went under 2.5 goals in each match. 

Additionally, these teams have gone under 2.5 goals in four of their five Copa Libertadores games thus far. Considering all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this Copa Libertadores tie.

3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Palmeiras went under 2.5 goals in seven of the past nine games across competitions
  2. Junior went under 2.5 goals in the past five road matches
  3. These teams were under 2.5 goals in four of their five games in the Copa Libertadores thus far

Main prediction Palmeiras - Junior FC

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.17

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Palmeiras vs Junior FC standings in Copa Libertadores

Group F P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Cerro Porteño 5 3 1 1 4 - 2 +2 10
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 6 - 4 +2 8
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 6 - 7 -1 6
4 Junior FC 5 1 1 3 4 - 7 -3 4

Palmeiras vs Junior – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Palmeiras this season?

The average xG for Palmeiras in the Copa Libertadores this season is 1.96.

? How much is the average xG for Junior this season?

The average xG for Junior in the Copa Libertadores this season is 1.2.