Home Bookmakers Tips Bonuses

Iceland vs Luxembourg prediction 16.11.2026 | Nations League

Iceland

Iceland

Kick off:

Date:

Luxembourg

Luxembourg

1

1.33

X

5.46

2

10.60

  • Competition: Nations League
  • Date: Monday, 16th November 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CET
  • Venue: Laugardalsvöllur (Reykjavík)

On Monday night, Iceland will welcome Luxembourg in another intriguing Nations League tie. The hosts have a great opportunity to return to League B, while the guests are preparing for another EURO qualification campaign. Can Iceland dominate Luxembourg and secure another easy victory? Let's find the best betting option for the upcoming tie. 

Iceland vs Luxembourg Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Luxembourg

    0 : 3

    Iceland

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Iceland

    1 : 1

    Luxembourg

    Euro Qualification

  3. Luxembourg

    3 : 1

    Iceland

    Euro Qualification

  4. Luxembourg

    1 : 1

    Iceland

    Friendly International

Iceland won three of the last six H2H matches against their next opponent. On the other hand, Luxembourg have triumphed once in the same period, with two draws. In the last meeting, in September, Iceland won 3-0 at Stade de Luxembourg. 

Iceland

Iceland team overview

After eight years without a major tournament, Iceland seems to be on the rise again. They were excellent so far in the Nations League and, after five rounds, are very close to promotion to League B. Iceland are unbeaten so far in the competition. In the most recent outing, Arnar Gunnlaugsson's team won 5-0 on the road against Bulgaria. The visitors dominated throughout the game, and there was never a doubt about who would take the points on Friday in Plovdiv.

Iceland's head coach, Arnar Gunnlaugsson, was thrilled after his team trashed Bulgaria. He commented, "Of course it's 5-0 away, but I know exactly what my countrymen will say; they talk about how bad the Bulgarians are and stuff like that. I just want to remind people that Spain beat them 3-0 here last year. So we just try to praise our boys for that, for a great game and a very professional performance."

Stefan Teitur Thordarson and Kristall Mani Ingason suffered injuries in the previous game and will not play on Monday against Luxembourg. Also, Hordur Bjorgvin Magnusson is suspended.

Last matches of Iceland

  1. Bulgaria

    0 : 5

    Iceland

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Estonia

    0 : 0

    Iceland

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Iceland

    3 : 0

    Bulgaria

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Luxembourg

    0 : 3

    Iceland

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Iceland

    1 : 1

    Estonia

    UEFA Nations League

Iceland lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Hakon Valdimarsson

Defenders

  • 4

    Victor Palsson

  • 17

    Aron Gunnarsson

  • 3

    Daniel Leo Gretarsson

  • 2

    Logi Tomasson

Midfielders

  • 19

    Mikael Egill Ellertsson

  • 8

    Isak Johannesson

  • 7

    Hakon Arnar Haraldsson

  • 21

    Arnor Sigurdsson

Forwards

  • 9

    Orri Oskarsson

  • 22

    Andri Gudjohnsen

Luxembourg

Luxembourg team overview

Luxembourg's Nations League campaign this year is disappointing. They opened the competition with three points against Bulgaria, but since then, Jeff Strasser's team has lost all four matches. Even more worrying, Luxembourg haven't scored in those four games. In the previous match, Strasser's team lost 1-0 at home against Estonia. The teams were pretty even, but the visitors' better efficiency was enough to leave the hosts empty-handed.

Luxembourg's head coach, Jeff Strasser, was disappointed after another Nations League defeat. He stated, "Even the more technically skilled players gave the ball away too easily. Physically, the Estonians were superior to us. That's the reality, and it hurts. We couldn't translate what we had seen in training onto the pitch."

Tim Hall and Dick Carlson are injured and will likely skip Monday's game, while Omar Natami is suspended.

Last matches of Luxembourg

  1. Luxembourg

    0 : 1

    Estonia

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Luxembourg

    0 : 2

    Bulgaria

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Estonia

    1 : 0

    Luxembourg

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Luxembourg

    0 : 3

    Iceland

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Bulgaria

    1 : 2

    Luxembourg

    UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Anthony Moris

Defenders

  • 18

    Laurent Jans

  • 5

    Vahid Selimovic

  • 3

    Enes Mahmutovic

  • 4

    Florian Bohnert

Midfielders

  • 11

    Vincent Thill

  • 21

    Sebastien Thill

  • 19

    Mathias Olesen

  • 6

    Tomas Cruz

  • 17

    Hamza Kadamani

Forwards

  • 7

    Aiman Dardari

Prediction

There is a big difference between the two teams at the moment. Iceland are unbeaten after five Nations League matches, while Luxembourg lost the previous four games. Also, Iceland won 3-0 in September against their next opponent. We should expect the hosts to again dominate on Monday evening. Our prediction: Iceland to win and cover the AH -1.5 spread. 

Reasons why Iceland should win and cover AH -1.5 spread

  1. Iceland are unbeaten in five Nations League matches
  2. Iceland have a 11:0 goal difference in the previous four rounds
  3. Luxembourg lost the last four games
  4. Luxembourg didn't score in the previous four matches
  5. Iceland won 3-0 in September against Luxembourg

Main prediction Iceland - Luxembourg

AH1 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.96

Bet here

Iceland vs Luxembourg standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 4 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Iceland 5 3 2 0 12 - 1 +11 11
2 Estonia 5 2 3 0 3 - 1 +2 9
3 Bulgaria 5 1 1 3 3 - 10 -7 4
4 Luxembourg 5 1 0 4 2 - 8 -6 3

Iceland vs Luxembourg – FAQ

? How much is the average xG for Iceland this season?

The average xG for Iceland in the Nations League this season is 1.63.

? How much is the average xG for Luxembourg this season?

The average xG for Luxembourg in the Nations League this season is 1.28.