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Greece vs Serbia prediction 16.11.2026 | Nations League

Greece

Greece

Kick off:

Date:

Serbia

Serbia

1

1.49

X

4.70

2

6.83

  • Competition: UEFA Nations League A
  • Date: Monday, 16th November, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Panthessaliko Stadium (Volos)

The last game of the UEFA Nations League A, Group 2 will see Greece welcome Serbia. Both teams suffered massive losses in their previous games, as Greece lost 7:0 to the Netherlands, while Serbia lost 3:1 against Germany. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this UEFA Nations League tie.

Greece vs Serbia Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Serbia

    1 : 2

    Greece

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Greece

    0 : 2

    Serbia

    Friendly International

  3. Serbia

    0 : 1

    Greece

    Friendly International

In the previous h2h game in October, Greece won 2:1 in Serbia with a goal from Anastasios Douvikas in the 95th minute. In total, these teams met three times; Greece won twice, and Serbia won once.

When it comes to the number of goals, one out of three games ended with three or more goals, with an average of 2.0 goals per game. Meanwhile, both teams scored in one out of their three h2h games. 

Greece

Greece team overview

Greece had a pretty bad World Cup qualifiers campaign and continued to play poorly in friendlies. However, the UEFA Nations League campaign has been a pure success, at least in October. After winning eight points in four rounds, they came into this November cycle with high hopes. Many football fans expected them to do well on the road against the Netherlands, but that couldn't be further from the truth, as they got hammered 7:0. 

Despite a massive loss in the last round, the Greeks are sitting in 8th place with better H2H stats than 3rd-placed Germany. So, a win over Serbia guarantees them 2nd place and the League A Playoffs. 

Manolis Saliakas and Christos Zafeiris served their suspension in the previous game against the Netherlands and will be available. We expect them back in the starting lineup. 

Last matches of Greece

  1. Netherlands

    7 : 0

    Greece

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Greece

    0 : 0

    Germany

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Greece

    2 : 2

    Netherlands

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Germany

    0 : 1

    Greece

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Serbia

    1 : 2

    Greece

    UEFA Nations League

Greece lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Konstantinos Tzolakis

Defenders

  • 17

    Manolis Saliakas

  • 4

    Konstantinos Mavropanos

  • 5

    Panagiotis Retsos

  • 21

    Konstantinos Tsimikas

Midfielders

  • 19

    Konstantinos Karetsas

  • 20

    Christos Zafeiris

  • 15

    Athanasios Androutsos

  • 10

    Christos Tzolis

Forwards

  • 8

    Fotis Ioannidis

  • 14

    Vangelis Pavlidis

Serbia

Serbia team overview

Serbia have been a pure disaster for a long time now. They missed the World Cup and were atrocious in the UEFA Nations League A, losing all five games thus far. Those bad results weren't really such a big surprise considering that the situation in Serbian football has been bad. There is an impression that coach Paunovic is experimenting too much, but also that there is an obvious lack of talent to compete with the teams in UEFA Nations League A. 

In the last game, Serbia is looking for a win, and despite losing all games, they can avoid direct relegation to League B. Right now, they are 2nd out of the four last-placed teams, with Turkey and Czechia being the last two teams. All have 0 points, but Serbia have a better goal difference by 3. 

Andrija Zivkovic and Vanja Dragojevic received red cards in the previous game against Germany and will serve their suspensions. Compared to the last game, two important midfielders, Nemanja Maksimovic and Sasa Lukic, should be back after serving their one-game suspensions. 

Last matches of Serbia

  1. Serbia

    1 : 3

    Germany

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Netherlands

    2 : 1

    Serbia

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Germany

    2 : 0

    Serbia

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Serbia

    1 : 2

    Netherlands

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Serbia

    1 : 2

    Greece

    UEFA Nations League

Serbia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Vanja Milinković-Savić

Defenders

  • 4

    Nikola Milenković

  • 15

    Srdjan Babic

  • 6

    Stefan Gudelj

Midfielders

  • 2

    Kosta Nedeljkovic

  • 20

    Sergej Milinković-Savić

  • 22

    Saša Lukić

  • 21

    Petar Sukacev

  • 11

    Lazar Samardžić

Forwards

  • 10

    Dusan Tadic

  • 7

    Mihajlo Cvetkovic

Prediction

Greece undoubtedly showed more in the UEFA Nations League, collecting eight points. Yes, that massive loss in the last round against the Netherlands is definitely worrying, but that shouldn't rattle them too much because they are still in a great situation, and a win will secure them second place. 

Unlike Greece, which won two, drew two, and lost one, Serbia were atrocious, losing all five games in the UEFA Nations League. Also, they are one of the teams playing much better at home. On the road, Serbia has six straight losses across competitions. In five of those six losses, they lost by two or more goals.

Considering all the above, we believe Greece are much closer to winning the upcoming game. 

3 Reasons why Greece should win and cover the -1 AH spread

  1. Greece won eight and Serbia won zero points in the competition
  2. Greece won the previous h2h game in Serbia 2:1
  3. Serbia lost the last six road games

Main prediction Greece - Serbia

AH1 (-1)

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Megapari

1.72

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Greece vs Serbia standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 2 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Netherlands 5 3 2 0 14 - 5 +9 11
2 Greece 5 2 2 1 5 - 10 -5 8
3 Germany 5 2 2 1 6 - 3 +3 8
4 Serbia 5 0 0 5 4 - 11 -7 0

Greece vs Serbia – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Greece in the UEFA Nations League?

The average xG for Greece in the UEFA Nations League this season is 1.06.

? How much is the average xG for Serbia in the UEFA Nations League?

The average xG for Serbia in the UEFA Nations League this season is 1.18.