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Burnley vs Crystal Palace prediction 03.12.2025 | Premier League

Burnley

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Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

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  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: 3rd December, 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:30 UK / 20:30 CET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

On Wednesday, Burnley host Crystal Palace at Turf Moor in what could be a crucial mid-season test for both sides. For Burnley, this represents a key opportunity to arrest a run of poor form and begin climbing out of the relegation zone. For Crystal Palace, it is a chance to get back to winning ways after a disappointing 2-1 loss to Manchester United over the weekend.

Burnley vs Crystal Palace Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Crystal Palace

    3 : 0

    Burnley

    Premier League

  2. Burnley

    0 : 2

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

  3. Crystal Palace

    1 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  4. Burnley

    3 : 3

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

  5. Crystal Palace

    0 : 3

    Burnley

    Premier League

  6. Burnley

    1 : 0

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

Historically, the rivalry between Burnley and Crystal Palace has been fairly balanced. In more recent years, however, Palace have held the upper hand, avoiding defeat in the last four meetings with Burnley, winning two and drawing two. The last time Burnley came away with a victory in this fixture was back in 2021.

Burnley

Burnley team overview

Burnley have endured a difficult run of form in recent weeks. Their latest Premier League outings include defeats to Brentford (13), Chelsea (0-2), West Ham (2-3 away), and Arsenal (0-2). Their only recent competitive victory came away at Wolves (3-2), showing that they are still capable of producing moments of attacking spark. At home, however, their vulnerability has been even more apparent: only 25% of their home matches this season have resulted in a clean sheet. That makes Turf Moor a potentially risky venue for Burnley, particularly against a Palace side capable of capitalising on defensive lapses. Despite these issues, Burnley have at least managed to limit the overall damage - each of their six Premier League home fixtures this season has finished with under 2.5 total goals.

Last matches of Burnley

  1. Brentford

    3 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  2. Burnley

    0 : 2

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  3. West Ham United

    3 : 2

    Burnley

    Premier League

  4. Burnley

    0 : 2

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  5. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    2 : 3

    Burnley

    Premier League

Burnley lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Martin Dúbravka

Defenders

  • 2

    Kyle Walker

  • 6

    Axel Tuanzebe

  • 5

    Maxime Estève

  • 3

    Quilindschy Hartman

Midfielders

  • 16

    Florentino Luís

  • 24

    Josh Cullen

  • 28

    Hannibal Mejbri

  • 17

    Loum Tchaouna

  • 9

    Lyle Foster

Forwards

  • 19

    Zian Flemming

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace team overview

Crystal Palace approach this fixture in stronger form. Across their last six matches in all competitions, they have recorded four wins, one draw, and just one defeat. In the Premier League, Oliver Glasner’s side were on a three-game unbeaten run prior to their 2-1 home loss to Manchester United at the weekend, despite taking the lead before half-time. Notably, that defeat was their first home loss of the league campaign, ending a six-match unbeaten streak at Selhurst Park. Their away form, while not flawless, has been relatively steady as well, with three wins, one draw, and two losses in their last six away games.

Last matches of Crystal Palace

  1. Crystal Palace

    1 : 2

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  2. Strasbourg

    2 : 1

    Crystal Palace

    Europa Conference League

  3. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    0 : 2

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

  4. Crystal Palace

    0 : 0

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  5. Crystal Palace

    3 : 1

    AZ Alkmaar

    Europa Conference League

Crystal Palace lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Dean Henderson

Defenders

  • 26

    Chris Richards

  • 5

    Maxence Lacroix

  • 6

    Marc Guéhi

  • 2

    Daniel Muñoz

  • 3

    Tyrick Mitchell

Midfielders

  • 18

    Daichi Kamada

  • 20

    Adam Wharton

  • 10

    Yéremy Pino

  • 7

    Ismaïla Sarr

Forwards

  • 14

    Jean-Philippe Mateta

Prediction

Given the statistical trends and the contrasting forms - Burnley losing four in a row - Palace travelling with momentum - this fixture looks like it will be competitive but leans in favour towards the visitors. Burnley’s leaky defence - 27 goals conceded in 13 league fixtures - is a major issue, but they do manage to limit the opposition’s chances at Turf Moor to some extent, as none of their first six league home matches have produced over 2.5 total goals.

Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals Total.

Three reasons we expect Under 2.5 Goals Total

  1. Under 2.5 goals have landed in six out of six Burnley’s home league fixtures.
  2. Under 2.5 goals have occurred in Crystal Palace’s back-to-back away league matches.
  3. There have been under 2.5 goals in two of the last three h2h meetings between Burnley and Crystal Palace.

Main prediction Burnley - Crystal Palace

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

Burnley vs Crystal Palace standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 11 3 2 30 - 10 +20 36
2 Manchester City 16 11 1 4 38 - 16 +22 34
3 Aston Villa 16 10 3 3 25 - 17 +8 33
4 Chelsea 16 8 4 4 27 - 15 +12 28
5 Crystal Palace 16 7 5 4 20 - 15 +5 26
6 Liverpool 16 8 2 6 26 - 24 +2 26
7 Sunderland 16 7 5 4 19 - 17 +2 26
8 Manchester United 15 7 4 4 26 - 22 +4 25
9 Everton 16 7 3 6 18 - 19 -1 24
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 16 6 5 5 25 - 23 +2 23
11 Tottenham Hotspur 16 6 4 6 25 - 21 +4 22
12 Newcastle United 16 6 4 6 21 - 20 +1 22
13 Fulham 16 6 2 8 23 - 26 -3 20
14 Brentford 16 6 2 8 22 - 25 -3 20
15 AFC Bournemouth 15 5 5 5 21 - 24 -3 20
16 Nottingham Forest 16 5 3 8 17 - 25 -8 18
17 Leeds United 16 4 4 8 20 - 30 -10 16
18 West Ham United 16 3 4 9 19 - 32 -13 13
19 Burnley 16 3 1 12 18 - 33 -15 10
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 16 0 2 14 9 - 35 -26 2

Burnley vs Crystal Palace – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Burnley take on Crystal Palace on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Burnley have won in the Premier League season 2025/26?

2.8

? What is the average number of corners Crystal Palace have won in the Premier League season 2025/26?

3.8