Contents
- Competition: AFCON Qualification
- Date: Friday, 13th, November 2026
- Kickoff: 16:00 UK / 17.00 CET
- Venue: Stade Taieb Mehiri (Sfax)
This North African derby brings forth immense stakes and the unique emotional charge that invariably accompanies clashes between neighboring nations, as Tunisia and Libya desperately hunt for their maiden victory in Group H of the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers at the Stade Taïeb Mhiri in Sfax.
Adding a distinct tactical and psychological edge to this duel is the fact that the two selections will lock horns twice during this November international window, transforming the first installment into a critical battle for early supremacy.
Tunisia vs Libya Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Libya
0 : 1
Tunisia
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
-
Tunisia
3 : 0
Libya
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
-
Libya
2 : 5
Tunisia
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
-
Tunisia
4 : 1
Libya
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
-
Libya
1 : 2
Tunisia
African Nations Championship
-
Tunisia
1 : 0
Libya
African Nations Championship
Tunisia hold an overwhelming psychological advantage in this rivalry, having registered 11 victories from 14 total head-to-head encounters against Libya, while suffering just two defeats alongside a solitary stalemate.
Tunisia team overview
Tunisia enter this qualifying cycle carrying a heavy burden of expectation, having fallen short of their favorite status in the opening two rounds to collect just two points following rather surprising and frustrating stalemates against Uganda (1-1) and Botswana (2-2).
A balanced yet underwhelming tally of three goals scored and three conceded clearly reflects the chronic inability of the Eagles of Carthage to kill off matches in which they dictate the initiative, while their rearguard is still hunting for its first clean sheet of the campaign.
Despite a serious handicap due to the forced absence of the injured Elias Achouri, the hosts boast a solid attacking arsenal featuring Sayfallah Ltaief, Elias Saad, Firas Chaouat, Hazem Mastouri, and the young Khalil Ayari, all of whom will be demanded to deliver far greater clinical edge in the final third.
Victory in Sfax stands as an absolute imperative for head coach Mouin Chaabani and the Tunisians that transcends mere three points, as it would finally shatter their psychological blockade and inject much-needed calm ahead of the return leg in this North African double-header.
Last matches of Tunisia
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Tunisia
2 : 2
Botswana
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
-
Tunisia
1 : 1
Uganda
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
-
Tunisia
0 : 4
Japan
World Cup
-
Sweden
5 : 1
Tunisia
World Cup
-
Belgium
5 : 0
Tunisia
Friendly International
Tunisia lineup
Goalkeeper
-
16
Aymen Dahmen
Defenders
-
3
Montassar Talbi
-
6
Adem Arous
-
4
Mohamed Nasraoui
Midfielders
-
12
Ali Maâloul
-
8
Aïssa Laïdouni
-
13
Ferjani Sassi
-
23
Sayfallah Ltaief
Forwards
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14
Anis Ben Slimane
-
11
Ismaël Gharbi
-
7
Hazem Mastouri
Libya team overview
While the Tunisians attempt to justify their tag as favorites, Libya arrive in Sfax carrying an even heavier competitive burden, anchored to the foot of Group H with a solitary point to their name following a 2-2 draw against Botswana and a narrow 1-0 away defeat at Uganda.
Although a respectable defensive organization prevents heavy thrashings, Youssoupha Dabo’s selection suffers from a chronic lack of offensive continuity and struggles immensely to retain ball possession once the opposition establishes dominance in the engine room.
In a desperate bid to find the ideal tactical equilibrium, Dabo handed out 27 call-ups for this November double-header spearheaded by the experienced Ahmad Benali in the heart of midfield, while Muaid Ellafi, Hamdou Elhouni, and Ismael Tajouri-Shradi will be tasked with driving penetrations down the flanks.
Historical trends also represent a monumental weight on the shoulders of the Mediterranean Knights, considering the Eagles of Carthage routinely dismantled them in both previous 2023 Africa Cup of Nations qualifying encounters (3-0 and 1-0), meaning the visitors will require supreme discipline and maximum courage in Sfax to avoid another costly slip-up.
Last matches of Libya
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Uganda
1 : 0
Libya
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
-
Libya
2 : 2
Botswana
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
-
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
Friendly International
-
Libya
0 : 0
Niger
Friendly International
-
Palestine
4 : 3
Libya
Arab Cup
Libya lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Ayman Al-Tihar
Defenders
-
3
Saif Jaddour
-
4
Ali Youssif
-
2
Ahmed Huwaydi
-
5
Abdelaziz Ali
Midfielders
-
8
Mahmoud Al-Shalui
-
16
Maruwan Al-Hbeishi
-
7
Mouad Eissa
-
9
Amjed Al-Gsheim
-
17
Hamdou El Houni
Forwards
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9
Ezoo El Maremi
Prediction
This North African derby presents an intriguing balance of power in which the Tunisians possess a vastly superior roster, the crucial home-turf advantage, and a ruthless head-to-head track record, yet they have still failed to validate their status as overwhelming favorites of Group H.
Conversely, Libya land in Sfax with an urgent imperative to dedicate themselves fiercely to defensive organization, fully aware that another setback after gathering just a single point would practically eliminate them from serious contention for the continental tournament.
It is precisely for this reason that one should not anticipate an expansive, wide-open contest with plenty of space from the opening whistle, as Tunisia will look to patiently construct dominance through ball possession while the visitors dig into a low block to preserve the initial scoreline for as long as possible.
Nevertheless, the hosting side boast more than enough individual class and seasoned experience in the shape of Ferjani Sassi and Aïssa Laïdouni to eventually break down their rivals' organized resistance in a fixture where the Eagles of Carthage simply have no margin for a third consecutive stumble.
Given everything outlined above, we expect a determined yet tactically cautious and gritty approach from the hosts without an excessive goal-fest, making a patient victory for Tunisia look like the most plausible scenario this Friday.
Three Reasons we expect Under 2.5 Goals
- The Tunisians have celebrated victory in six consecutive encounters against Libya across all competitions.
- Nine of the 14 total head-to-head duels between these two nations have stayed under the two-goal margin.
- Libya have failed to find the back of the opposition net across their last three matches played away from their home stadium.
Main prediction Tunisia - Libya
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Tunisia vs Libya standings in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
| Group H | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uganda | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 - 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 | Botswana | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 - 4 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 - 3 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Libya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 - 3 | -1 | 1 |