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Turkey vs Belgium prediction 12.11.2026 | UEFA Nations League

Turkey

Turkey

Kick off:

Date:

Belgium

Belgium

1

4.00

X

4.14

2

1.85

  • Competition: UEFA Nations League A
  • Date: Thursday, 12th November, 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CET
  • Venue: Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu (Izmir)

On Thursday evening, Turkey will welcome Belgium in the fifth round of the UEFA Nations League. (at home)Turkey is searching for their first point in this game, while Belgium has won six points thus far, and this game is crucial to secure the top two spots.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this UEFA Nations League tie.

Turkey vs Belgium Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Belgium

    3 : 0

    Turkey

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Belgium

    1 : 1

    Turkey

    Euro Qualification

  3. Turkey

    3 : 2

    Belgium

    Euro Qualification

  4. Belgium

    2 : 0

    Turkey

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Turkey

    1 : 1

    Belgium

    WC Qualification Europe

  6. Belgium

    3 : 3

    Turkey

    Friendly International

These teams met in October, with Belgium winning 3:0 at home with a magnificent performance by the "old heads" as Kevin De Bruyne scored two and Lukaku one goal. Looking further back, these teams faced each other ten times, with Turkey winning three and Belgium four. 

When it comes to the number of goals, six out of ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in seven of those. 

Turkey

Turkey team overview

Turkey comes into this UEFA Nations League cycle after a terrible previous period. They got eliminated from the World Cup Group Phase and then won zero points in four UEFA Nations League games. That led to the sacking of coach Vincenzo Montella and the appointment of Sergen Yalçın. The 54-year-old coach spent his entire coaching career in Turkey, with their only trophies being with Besiktas in 2020/21 when they won the domestic double. 

Considering they have zero points and 2nd-placed Italy have seven points, Turkey will pretty much use these games as an opportunity to prepare themselves for the upcoming period. They can also avoid direct relegation from League A, but first of all, they have to win against Belgium by a 4+ goal difference. And then, they also need all three points from the last game against France and Belgium to lose to Italy in their last game. So, we can safely say that it is almost an impossible task.

The biggest name missing from the squad is Kenan Yıldız. The 21-year-old winger is close to recovering from his foot injury but will need a couple more weeks to be at 100%. 

Last matches of Turkey

  1. Italy

    3 : 1

    Turkey

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Belgium

    3 : 0

    Turkey

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Turkey

    1 : 4

    Italy

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Turkey

    0 : 1

    France

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Turkey

    3 : 2

    United States

    World Cup

Turkey lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Uğurcan Çakır

Defenders

  • 2

    Zeki Çelik

  • 15

    Ozan Kabak

  • 14

    Abdülkerim Bardakcı

Midfielders

  • 20

    Ferdi Kadıoğlu

  • 10

    Hakan Çalhanoğlu

  • 5

    Salih Özcan

  • 16

    İsmail Yüksek

  • 13

    Eren Elmalı

Forwards

  • 21

    Barış Alper Yılmaz

  • 19

    Yunus Akgün

  • 8

    Arda Güler

Belgium

Belgium team overview

On the other hand, Belgium had an OK World Cup behind them and then a fairly good UEFA Nations League performance. While winning six points in four rounds isn't great, we believe they did not disappoint. Their losses came against one of the best national teams in the world, France. In one of the games against France (at home), they were in the game and deserved to secure a draw. 

For the upcoming games against Turkey and Belgium, the squad will be without Thibaut Courtois, who is taking a break from international football. Meanwhile, Amadou Onana, Alexis Saelemaekers, and Lois Openda are out due to injuries, while Zeno Debast and Matias Fernandez-Pardo are not with the squad due to fitness issues. 

Also, Roméo Lavia will miss the game due to a one-game suspension.

Last matches of Belgium

  1. France

    4 : 1

    Belgium

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Belgium

    3 : 0

    Turkey

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Belgium

    0 : 1

    France

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Italy

    0 : 2

    Belgium

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Spain

    2 : 1

    Belgium

    World Cup

Belgium lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Senne Lammens

Defenders

  • 21

    Timothy Castagne

  • 15

    Nathan Ngoy

  • 4

    Brandon Mechele

  • 5

    Maxim De Cuyper

Midfielders

  • 23

    Nicolas Raskin

  • 8

    Youri Tielemans

  • 7

    Kevin De Bruyne

Forwards

  • 14

    Dodi Lukébakio

  • 9

    Romelu Lukaku

  • 11

    Jérémy Doku

Prediction

Turkey lost all four games in the UEFA Nations League. Yes, they changed the coach, but it is unrealistic to expect immediate effects, and there is a big question of whether that coaching change will have a positive impact at all, since many football pundits have doubts about coach Sergen Yalçın.

Belgium, on the other hand, won two out of four UEFA Nations League games. Their two losses came against France, while the wins came against Italy and Turkey. Against Turkey, they won 3:0, and it was very obvious the difference in offense. Generally speaking, Turkey have massive problems with efficiency, and we doubt that would suddenly change. 

Considering all the above, we expect a close game, but we feel that Belgium are slightly closer to winning the upcoming Nations League tie.

4 Reasons why Belgium should win

  1. Turkey lost all four UEFA Nations League games
  2. Turkey lost six out of the past seven games across competitions
  3. Belgium won two of four UEFA Nations League games
  4. Belgium won 3:0 in the previous h2h game

Main prediction Turkey - Belgium

Belgium to win

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.85

Bet here

Turkey vs Belgium standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 1 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7 - 2 +5 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8 - 5 +3 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6 - 5 +1 6
4 Türkiye 4 0 0 4 2 - 11 -9 0

Turkey vs Belgium – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Turkey in the UEFA Nations League?

The average xG for Turkey in the UEFA Nations League this season is 1.77.

? How much is the average xG for Belgium in the UEFA Nations League?

The average xG for Belgium in the UEFA Nations League this season is 1.4.