Montenegro vs Latvia prediction 12.11.2026 | UEFA Nations League
Montenegro
Kick off:
Date:
Latvia
1
1.33
X
5.41
2
10.80
Contents
- Competition: UEFA Nations League C
- Date: Thursday, 12th November, 2026
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
- Venue: Podgorica City Stadium (Podgorica)
On Thursday evening, Montenegro will welcome Latvia in the fifth round of the UEFA Nations League. After the first four rounds, Montenegro sit at the top spot with 10 points, while Latvia have only collected one point.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this UEFA Nations League tie.
Montenegro vs Latvia Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Latvia
1 : 2
Montenegro
UEFA Nations League
-
Montenegro
0 : 0
Latvia
WC Qualification Europe
-
Latvia
1 : 2
Montenegro
WC Qualification Europe
-
Montenegro
1 : 1
Latvia
Friendly International
-
Montenegro
2 : 0
Latvia
Friendly International
In the previous h2h game, in October, Montenegro won 2:1 in Riga. In total, these teams have faced each other five times, with Montenegro winning four times, while the remaining game finished in a draw.
When it comes to the number of goals, two out of three h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in three of those five games.
Montenegro team overview
Montenegro had a very bad period behind them, getting relegated from the UEFA Nations League B and having pretty bad WC qualifiers, where their only points came from teams like the Faroe Islands and Gibraltar. However, they look ready to bounce back and return to League B, as they lead Group 2 with ten points, three wins, and one draw so far.
Since they are three points away from 2nd-placed Cyprus, a win here and Cyprus failing to win in their game against Armenia would seal the deal, and Montenegro would secure first place one round before the end of the competition.
For the upcoming game, Stefan Loncar is unavailable after receiving a red card in the previous game against Armenia. On the other hand, Adam Marusic (Lazio), Sead Haksabanovic (Malmo), and Milan Vikotic (Partizan) have all recovered from injuries and could be ready.
Last matches of Montenegro
-
Montenegro
0 : 0
Armenia
UEFA Nations League
-
Latvia
1 : 2
Montenegro
UEFA Nations League
-
Armenia
2 : 3
Montenegro
UEFA Nations League
-
Montenegro
2 : 1
Cyprus
UEFA Nations League
-
Slovakia
2 : 2
Montenegro
Friendly International
Montenegro lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Balsa Popovic
Defenders
-
2
Milan Roganovic
-
15
Stefan Savić
-
4
Andrej Djuric
-
16
Ognjen Gasevic
Midfielders
-
8
Marko Jankovic
-
17
Vasilije Adžić
-
21
Andrija Bulatovic
Forwards
-
20
Milutin Osmajic
-
9
Nikola Krstović
-
10
Stevan Jovetić
Latvia team overview
Latvia are #143 on the FIFA World Ranking List. In the previous UEFA Nations League cycle, they avoided relegation from League C after beating Gibraltar on a 2:0 aggregate. However, this year, they would need a miracle to avoid last place in the competition. Luckily for Latvia, due to a format change in 2026/27, no teams will get relegated. That effectively means Latvia is without a motive in this game since they cannot move to the top two spots.
For the upcoming game, coach Nicolato will have Janis Ikaunieks available. Additionally, central defender Antonijs Cernomordijs served his one-game suspension against Cyprus and will be available.
Last matches of Latvia
-
Cyprus
2 : 1
Latvia
UEFA Nations League
-
Latvia
1 : 2
Montenegro
UEFA Nations League
-
Latvia
0 : 0
Cyprus
UEFA Nations League
-
Armenia
2 : 0
Latvia
UEFA Nations League
-
Latvia
0 : 1
Faroe Islands
Baltic Cup
Latvia lineup
Goalkeeper
-
23
Rihards Matrevics
Defenders
-
13
Raivis Jurkovskis
-
5
Antonijs Cernomordijs
-
4
Oskars Vientiess
-
14
Andrejs Ciganiks
Midfielders
-
21
Deniss Melniks
-
10
Janis Ikaunieks
-
15
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
-
17
Lukass Vapne
Forwards
-
7
Eduards Daskevics
-
9
Vladislavs Gutkovskis
Prediction
Montenegro's last game against Armenia finished as a goalless draw. However, we believe Montenegro will score fairly easily at home against Latvia. On the other hand, we do not trust Latvia to score. They have scored only two goals in four matches while averaging only 0.67 xG. The only team worse than them in that department is poor San Marino!
To be fair, Latvia did score against Montenegro in the previous game, but that was in Riga. Now, on the road, and considering Latvia is without a real motive in this game, we doubt they can secure that goal. We also believe Montenegro will look to play a much more controlled game since it is a very important one that can secure them first place in the group.
Considering all the above, we believe that a BTTS - NO is the best possible bet for this UEFA Nations League tie.
3 Reasons why at least one team should fail to score
- Montenegro's last game ended in a goalless draw with Armenia
- Latvia scored two goals in four games in the competition
- Latvia averages only 0.67 xG in the competition
Main prediction Montenegro - Latvia
Both Teams to Score - NO
Best Odds:
22bet
1.58
Montenegro vs Latvia standings in UEFA Nations League
| Group 2 | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 - 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 - 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 - 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 - 6 | -4 | 1 |