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Real Madrid vs Real Oviedo prediction 14.05.2026 | La Liga

Kick off:

Date:

1

1.29

X

6.00

2

9.00

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: 14/05/2026
  • KO: 20:30 UK / 21:30 CEST
  • Venue: Bernabéu

No longer able to win the Spanish title, Real Madrid look for an improved performance when they host struggling Real Oviedo on Thursday evening.

Los Merengues return to the Bernabeu after their La Liga title hopes ended with defeat at old rivals Barcelona last weekend while Oviedo make the trip to Madrid with relegation to the Segunda Division already confirmed. 

The home side eased to a comfortable win in Oviedo earlier this season, but will need to show their professionalism if they are to claim the spoils this week.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Real Oviedo

    0 : 3

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  2. Real Oviedo

    1 : 5

    Real Madrid

    Club Friendlies 1

Real Madrid and Real Oviedo have met on just one occasion since 2001. Real Madrid claimed a comfortable 3:0 win when these sides last faced-off earlier this season.

Real Madrid team overview

Real Madrid comes into Thursday’s re-arranged La Liga contest looking to bounce back after a 2:0 defeat at Barcelona saw the Catalans crowned champions for a second consecutive season. 

Alvaro Arbeloa’s side are now all but assured of a second-place finish, with Villarreal eight points behind Real with just three games to play.

The hosts have gone off the boil in the final weeks of the season, failing to win six of eight fixtures since the start of April.

In the absence of Kylian Mbappe, Real have struggled to find much fluency in attack. Arebola's side scored just seven goals in their last six league fixtures. 

Outgoing boss Arbeloa has a lengthy list of absentees this week. Arda Güler (thigh), Dani Carvajal (leg), Dani Ceballos (thigh), Federico Valverde (head), Ferland Mendy (ligament), Rodrygo (cruciate ligament) and Éder Militão (thigh) are all ruled out through injury. Dean Huijsen and Kylian Mbappé are both doubtful to feature.

Last matches of

  1. FC Barcelona

    2 : 0

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  2. Espanyol

    0 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Real Betis

    1 : 1

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  4. Real Madrid

    2 : 1

    Alaves

    La Liga

  5. Bayern Munich

    4 : 3

    Real Madrid

    Champions League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Thibaut Courtois

Defenders

  • 12

    Trent Alexander-Arnold

  • 17

    Raul Asencio

  • 2

    Antonio Rudiger

  • 20

    Francisco Garcia

Midfielders

  • 21

    Brahim Diaz

  • 14

    Aurelien Tchouameni

  • 6

    Eduardo Camavinga

  • 5

    Jude Bellingham

Forwards

  • 16

    Gonzalo Garcia

  • 7

    Vinicius Junior

Real Oviedo team overview

Real Oviedo return to La Liga action after a hard-fought goalless draw against Getafe last weekend. In a bad-tempered contest, Javi López and Kwasi Sibo both saw red but the already-relegated visitors held on for a point at Carlos Tartiere.

A first top flight campaign in 25 years has proven a disappointment for Oviedo, with Guillermo Almada’s side rooted to the bottom of the division with just 29 points collected. 

Still, the visitors have shown some fight in the final weeks of the season, scoring three wins and losing just two of their last eight La Liga fixtures. However, with only ten points collected on their travels, Oviedo are unlikely to pick up anything from Thursday’s trip to the Bernabeu.

Head coach Almada will be forced into at least two changes to his first XI. Javi López and Kwasi Sibo are both suspended following red cards against Getafe, while Eric Bailly (broken nose) is ruled out through injury. Leander Dendoncker is doubtful with a muscle issue.

Last matches of

  1. Real Oviedo

    0 : 0

    Getafe

    La Liga

  2. Real Betis

    3 : 0

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

  3. Real Oviedo

    1 : 2

    Elche

    La Liga

  4. Real Oviedo

    1 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  5. Celta Vigo

    0 : 3

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Aaron Escandell

Defenders

  • 22

    Nacho Vidal

  • 4

    David Costas

  • 12

    Dani Calvo

  • 3

    Rahim Alhassane

Midfielders

  • 10

    Haissem Hassan

  • 8

    Santi Cazorla

  • 5

    Alberto Reina

  • 15

    Thiago Fernandez

Forwards

  • 7

    Ilyas Chaira

  • 9

    Federico Vinas

Prediction

With little to play for a low-key encounter is expected, with a high-scoring outcome unlikely.

I have my stake on less than four goals scored at what looks a generous price.

Three Reasons Why We Expect Under 3.5 Goals

  1. Real Madrid have seen under 3.5 goals in 9 of their last 11 matches (La Liga)
  2. Real Oviedo have seen under 3.5 goals in 10 of their last 11 matches (La Liga)
  3. Real Oviedo have seen under 3.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 matches against Real Madrid

Main prediction -

Under 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Originally from Scotland, Ryan is an experienced betting expert and content producer based out of Barcelona, Spain.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.84

Bet here

vs standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 35 30 1 4 91 - 31 +60 91
2 Real Madrid 35 24 5 6 70 - 33 +37 77
3 Villarreal 35 21 6 8 65 - 40 +25 69
4 Atlético Madrid 36 20 6 10 60 - 39 +21 66
5 Real Betis 36 14 15 7 56 - 44 +12 57
6 Celta de Vigo 36 13 11 12 51 - 47 +4 50
7 Getafe 35 13 6 16 28 - 36 -8 45
8 Real Sociedad 35 11 11 13 54 - 55 -1 44
9 Athletic Club 35 13 5 17 40 - 51 -11 44
10 Rayo Vallecano 35 10 13 12 36 - 42 -6 43
11 Osasuna 36 11 9 16 43 - 47 -4 42
12 Valencia 35 11 9 15 38 - 50 -12 42
13 Sevilla 35 11 7 17 43 - 56 -13 40
14 Elche 36 9 12 15 47 - 56 -9 39
15 Mallorca 35 10 9 16 43 - 52 -9 39
16 Levante 36 10 9 17 44 - 59 -15 39
17 Espanyol 35 10 9 16 38 - 53 -15 39
18 Girona 35 9 12 14 37 - 52 -15 39
19 Deportivo Alavés 35 9 10 16 41 - 54 -13 37
20 Real Oviedo 35 6 11 18 26 - 54 -28 29

Real Madrid vs Real Oviedo – FAQ

? Real Madrid Player to Watch

Vinicius Junior - The Brazilian forward has scored 15 goals in 34 La Liga appearances.

? Real Oviedo Player to Watch

 Federico Vinas - The 27-year-old has scored nine goals in 31 La Liga appearances this season.

? Where to Watch

This La Liga match can be viewed live on Premier Sports 1 HD.