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Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia prediction 23.07.2026 | Europa League Qualifiers

Qarabag FK

Qarabag FK

Kick off:

Date:

CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia

1

1.56

X

3.85

2

5.90

  • Competition: Europa League Qualifiers, 2nd Round, 1st Leg
  • Date: Thursday, 23rd July, 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CEST
  • Venue: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)

After Qarabag successfully eliminated Vestri and CSKA Sofia eliminated Derry City, these two teams will face off in the second round of the Europa League Qualifiers. Before the start of the first leg, Qarabag are a big favorite, as the bookies offer odds around 1.44 for them to reach the next stage, while the odds on the Bulgarian side are at 2.6-2.9.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this European League Qualifiers tie. 

Qarabag FK vs CSKA Sofia Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Qarabag FK

    1 : 0

    CSKA Sofia

    Club Friendlies 3

  2. CSKA Sofia

    0 : 1

    Qarabag FK

    Club Friendlies 1

  3. CSKA Sofia

    5 : 2

    Qarabag FK

    Club Friendlies 1

These two teams have met three times, each time in a friendly match. Qarabag won twice, while CSKA Sofia won once. 

When it comes to the number of goals, just one out of three matches ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored just once, as well. 

Qarabag FK

Qarabag team overview

Qarabag have been the best team in Azerbaijan as they managed to win 11 league titles in the past 13 years. However, one of those years was last year, as they finished 2nd, nine points behind 1st-placed Sabah Baku. However, last season, they did a magnificent job in the Champions League, reaching the knockout phase where Newcastle stopped them.

Over the offseason, the club left Kevin Medina, their best center-back, and Leandro Andrade and Camilo Duran, their two top goalscorers. However, they added replacements for those players who left, and they have done well in the first two games against Vestri. Even though it is still early to judge, we believe they are at least at the same level of quality as last season.

Last matches of Qarabag FK

  1. Vestri

    0 : 3

    Qarabag FK

    Europa League

  2. Qarabag FK

    3 : 0

    Vestri

    Europa League

  3. Qarabag FK

    1 : 0

    Ferencvarosi TC

    Club Friendlies 3

  4. Qarabag FK

    2 : 6

    Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. Sumqayıt

    3 : 4

    Qarabag FK

    Premier League

Qarabag FK lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 99

    Mateusz Kochalski

Defenders

  • 2

    Matheus Silva

  • 55

    Badavi Hüseynov

  • 4

    Bence Várkonyi

  • 5

    Bruno Langa

Midfielders

  • 8

    Marko Jankovic

  • 20

    Kady Borges

  • 35

    Pedro Bicalho

Forwards

  • 7

    Jaly Mouaddib

  • 11

    Zakaria Sawo

  • 10

    Abdellah Zoubir

CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia team overview

CSKA Sofia, the Bulgarian 31-time champions, are without a league title for almost two decades. Last year, they finished 4th, the worst team in the Championship Group behind Levski Sofia, CSKA Sofia and Ludogorets. However, by winning the cup title, they can probably be satisfied with how things ended. 

This season, they managed to win both games in the EL Qualifiers against Derry City, but it was probably harder than many football pundits expected. They also drew 0:0 with Slavia Sofia in the first game of the Bulgarian league, which is far from ideal, but to be fair, they did rotate the squad in that match. However, the impression is that the start to the season hasn't been spectacular, even though they recorded two wins and one draw. 

When it comes to transfers, the team hasn't made big moves and has kept pretty much all of their key players. The departure of center back Lumbardh Dellova is probably the biggest change to the team. 

Last matches of CSKA Sofia

  1. Slavia Sofia

    0 : 0

    CSKA Sofia

    First League

  2. Derry City

    1 : 2

    CSKA Sofia

    Europa League

  3. CSKA Sofia

    3 : 2

    Derry City

    Europa League

  4. CSKA Sofia

    3 : 0

    Marek

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. CSKA Sofia

    0 : 4

    Polissya Zhytomyr

    Club Friendlies 3

CSKA Sofia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Dimitar Evtimov

Defenders

  • 14

    Teodor Ivanov

  • 30

    Petko Panayotov

  • 32

    Facundo Rodriguez

Midfielders

  • 2

    Pastor

  • 94

    Isaac Solet

  • 6

    Bruno Jordao

  • 8

    Stefano Sensi

  • 17

    Angelo Martino

Forwards

  • 28

    Ioannis Pittas

  • 9

    Leandro Godoy

Prediction

In the first round of the Europa League, Qarabag showed a lot more. Even though they faced a weaker opponent than CSKA Sofia, the difference in performance was pretty big in our opinion. Also, Qarabag have been amazing last season in Europe. In the Qualifiers, they won five out of six games, while facing solid competition (Shelbourne, Shkendija, and Ferencvaros). Then, in the main phase, they had magnificent results, winning against Benfica, Copenhagen, and Eintracht Frankfurt, and drawing with Chelsea. We firmly believe they are capable of winning against teams like CSKA Sofia. 

CSKA Sofia won seven points in the first three games across competitions, but they did not look great doing so. Allowing three goals to Derry City in two games is definitely not something to be ecstatic about. If they struggled against Derry City, we believe they will have massive problems against Qarabag, especially on the road.

Considering all the above, we believe that the hosts should secure a win in the upcoming tie. 

3 Reasons why Qarabag should win

  1. Qarabag won both games in the Qualifiers against Vestri (6:0 combined)
  2. Qarabag won five of six European Qualifier games last season
  3. CSKA Sofia allowed three goals to Derry City in the first two Qualifier games

Main prediction Qarabag FK - CSKA Sofia

Qarabag FK to win

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

20Bet

1.56

Bet here

Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? Who could be the goalscorer for Qarabag?

Zakaria Sawo, who scored two goals in two previous games against Vestri.

? Who could be the goalscorer for CSKA Sofia?

Ioannis Pittas, who scored three goals in two games against Derry City.