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Atalanta vs Parma prediction 02.11.2026 | Serie A

Atalanta

Atalanta

Kick off:

Date:

Parma

Parma

1

1.52

X

4.68

2

6.85

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Monday, 2nd November, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: New Balance Arena (Bergamo)

On Monday evening, the 10th Serie A round will finish with a duel between two struggling teams, Atalanta and Parma. Both teams drew in their last games, extending their winless streak to four across competitions.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Serie A tie.

Atalanta vs Parma Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Atalanta

    4 : 0

    Parma

    Serie A

  2. Parma

    1 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  3. Parma

    1 : 3

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  4. Parma

    4 : 1

    Atalanta

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. Parma

    2 : 5

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  6. Atalanta

    3 : 0

    Parma

    Serie A

Last season, these teams have met twice, with Atalanta winning their home game and the other game finishing as a 1:1 draw. Looking further back, over the past ten h2h games, Atalanta won seven times, and Parma only once.

When it comes to the number of goals, nine of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals. Meanwhile, both teams scored in seven out of those ten h2h games.

Atalanta

Atalanta team overview

Atalanta had a minor setback last season in Serie A, finishing 7th, barely securing a spot in Europe. This season, popular La Dea opened well in the first four games across competitions. However, since then, their performances have dropped massively, and they are not even remotely as good as expected. Their defensive performances have been particularly worrying. At the moment, they are in 12th place with 11 points. Incredibly, they are six points from Europe but also from the danger zone! That is probably something very few football pundits expected before the start of the season. 

A big part of Atalanta's problems are injuries. Three central backs (Hien, Kossounou, and Kolasinac) are out, and now another one, Thomas Kristensen, has suffered an injury and will be sidelined. That will mean Relja Obric from the U23 squad will get the opportunity to start alongside Giorgio Scalvini. Additionally, Raoul Bellanova, Franck Kessie, Giacomo Raspadori, and Gianluca Scamacca should remain sidelined with their injuries. 

Last matches of Atalanta

  1. Fiorentina

    2 : 2

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  2. Atalanta

    4 : 4

    Frosinone

    Serie A

  3. Ajax

    2 : 0

    Atalanta

    Europa Conference League

  4. AC Milan

    3 : 2

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  5. Atalanta

    3 : 1

    Pafos

    Europa Conference League

Atalanta lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 29

    Marco Carnesecchi

Defenders

  • 77

    Davide Zappacosta

  • 42

    Giorgio Scalvini

  • 40

    Relja Obrić

  • 47

    Lorenzo Bernasconi

Midfielders

  • 13

    Éderson

  • 17

    Charles De Ketelaere

  • 70

    Gianluca Gaetano

  • 99

    Eljif Elmas

  • 59

    Nicola Zalewski

Forwards

  • 90

    Nikola Krstović

Parma

Parma team overview

Parma finished 13th last season, fairly easily securing survival. However, this season doesn't look easy, as they won just five points in nine rounds while scoring five goals! Their offensive record has been atrocious, but the game against injury-affected Atalanta could be an opportunity to get on the scoresheet. With a positive result here, Parma could escape the danger zone, at least temporarily. But that won't be easy given the fact that they lost all four road games this season.

Interestingly, the club tried to change the negative momentum by replacing the coach. They added Alberto Gilardino, but that did not pay off since they won one point in four rounds! 

When it comes to injuries, the team should have no new ones, but Nesta Elphege and Lautaro Valenti should remain sidelined. Also, El Bilal Touré is on a loan deal from Atalanta and should be unavailable.

Last matches of Parma

  1. Parma

    0 : 0

    Udinese

    Serie A

  2. Lazio

    2 : 1

    Parma

    Serie A

  3. Parma

    0 : 3

    Torino

    Serie A

  4. Inter Milan

    3 : 0

    Parma

    Serie A

  5. Parma

    2 : 1

    Genoa

    Serie A

Parma lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 30

    Giovanni Daffara

Defenders

  • 15

    Enrico Delprato

  • 37

    Mariano Troilo

  • 72

    Dominik Drobnic

Midfielders

  • 27

    Sascha Britschgi

  • 16

    Mandela Keita

  • 10

    Adrián Bernabé

  • 4

    Vincent Sierro

  • 29

    Franco Carboni

Forwards

  • 9

    David Romero

  • 20

    Matija Frigan

Prediction

Atalanta have been excellent for this type of bet, going over 2.5 goals in five of the past six games across competitions. Their defense really struggled, and it seems it is only getting worse as the season progresses. In the past two games vs Fiorentina and Frosinone, they allowed six goals! 

Parma aren't among the best offensive teams, but they should be capable of scoring against Atalanta, which has shown massive problems and also has a lot of injured players at the back. Additionally, mostly due to a bad defense, they went over 2.5 goals in four of the past five games! So, it is hard to expect a great defensive performance from either side. 

Moreover, nine of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals. Considering all the above, we expect a high-scoring game, likely with both teams scoring. 

3 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Atalanta went over 2.5 goals in five of the past six games
  2. Parma went over 2.5 goals in five of the past six games
  3. Nine of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals

Main prediction Atalanta - Parma

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.73

Bet here

Atalanta vs Parma standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Lazio 9 8 1 0 22 - 7 +15 25
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 26 - 13 +13 25
3 Roma 10 7 3 0 28 - 10 +18 24
4 AC Milan 10 6 3 1 21 - 12 +9 21
5 Como 9 6 2 1 17 - 8 +9 20
6 Frosinone 9 5 2 2 22 - 14 +8 17
7 Napoli 9 4 2 3 17 - 11 +6 14
8 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14 - 13 +1 14
9 Juventus 9 4 2 3 11 - 10 +1 14
10 Torino 9 4 1 4 14 - 14 0 13
11 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 8 - 13 -5 13
12 Atalanta 9 3 2 4 16 - 17 -1 11
13 Genoa 9 3 1 5 8 - 13 -5 10
14 Lecce 9 3 0 6 10 - 19 -9 9
15 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 14 - 22 -8 8
16 Monza 10 2 1 7 17 - 24 -7 7
17 Fiorentina 9 1 2 6 11 - 21 -10 5
18 Parma 9 1 2 6 5 - 15 -10 5
19 Udinese 10 1 2 7 11 - 23 -12 5
20 Venezia 9 1 0 8 6 - 19 -13 3

Atalanta vs Parma – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Atalanta this season?

The average xG for Atalanta in Serie A this season is 1.43.

? How much is the average xG for Parma this season?

The average xG for Parma in Serie A this season is 0.82.