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Bulgaria vs Iceland prediction 13.11.2026 | Nations League

Bulgaria

Bulgaria

Kick off:

Date:

Iceland

Iceland

1

4.38

X

3.60

2

1.90

  • Competition: Nations League
  • Date: 13th November 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Hristo Botev Stadium

A high-stakes battle for survival takes center stage in Group C4 this Friday as Bulgaria welcomes a soaring Iceland team to Plovdiv. The hosts are desperate for a revenge victory to revive their campaign, while the visitors need points to maintain their grasp at the very top of the table. Honestly, watching Bulgaria struggle under pressure at home is tough, but this fixture usually delivers drama. Let’s break down the data to uncover the best betting value.

Bulgaria vs Iceland Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Iceland

    3 : 0

    Bulgaria

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Bulgaria

    3 : 2

    Iceland

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Iceland

    1 : 3

    Bulgaria

    WC Qualification Europe

Across their last 3 meetings, Bulgaria managed two victories while Iceland secured a one win. Their last clash ended in a dominant 3-0 home victory for Iceland back in October. These competitive international encounters have averaged a highly entertaining 4.0 goals per game.

Bulgaria

Bulgaria team overview

Bulgaria enters this one on the back of a highly inconsistent continental phase, having entirely missed out on the 2026 World Cup before picking up four points from their four opening matches in the Nations League group stage.

The Lions look to seek direct revenge in Group C4 after suffering a bruising 3-0 defeat against Iceland in Reykjavik last month.

Atanas Ribarski’s men have endured a completely miserable winless slump on home soil in competitive fixtures, picking up only one win across their last eight competitive home games and failing to score a goal on three occasions in front of their Plovdiv supporters.

Up front, teenage midfielder Kristiyan Balov has been a major shining light after scoring a crucial goal during their recent 2-0 away triumph in Luxembourg.

However, the roster takes a severe hit as superstar winger Kiril Despodov remains completely dropped from the squad due to a long-term injury.

Last matches of Bulgaria

  1. Luxembourg

    0 : 2

    Bulgaria

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Iceland

    3 : 0

    Bulgaria

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Bulgaria

    0 : 0

    Estonia

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Bulgaria

    1 : 2

    Luxembourg

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Moldova

    2 : 2

    Bulgaria

    Friendly International

Bulgaria lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Dimitar Mitov

Defenders

  • 2

    Viktor Popov

  • 5

    Alex Petkov

  • 3

    Zhivko Atanasov

  • 13

    Hristiyan Petrov

Midfielders

  • 4

    Ilia Gruev

  • 7

    Georgi Kostadinov

  • 18

    Ivaylo Chochev

Forwards

  • 11

    Georgi Rusev

  • 9

    Aleksandar Kolev

  • 10

    Martin Minchev

Iceland

Iceland team overview

Iceland enter this one on the back of an exceptional string of results, bouncing back from a group-stage exit at their last major qualification attempt to sit at the top of the group standings with eight points.

Our Strákarnir okkar have been absolutely flawless at the back recently, keeping three consecutive clean sheets during their undefeated tournament run. Arnar Gunnlaugsson’s men have also lost only one of their last four competitive away games.

In the final third, forward Orri Óskarsson has been an absolute nightmare for opposing defenders, bagging three goals in this campaign, including a lethal brace to sink Bulgaria in their previous meeting.

Unfortunately, the traveling squad must cope without regular midfielder Mikael Anderson, who was ruled out of this trip due to an injury.

Last matches of Iceland

  1. Estonia

    0 : 0

    Iceland

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Iceland

    3 : 0

    Bulgaria

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Luxembourg

    0 : 3

    Iceland

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Iceland

    1 : 1

    Estonia

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Argentina

    3 : 0

    Iceland

    Friendly International

Iceland lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Hákon Valdimarsson

Defenders

  • 2

    Alfons Sampsted

  • 5

    Sverrir Ingi Ingason

  • 6

    Hjörtur Hermannsson

  • 3

    Logi Tómasson

Midfielders

  • 4

    Victor Pálsson

  • 8

    Arnór Ingvi Traustason

  • 10

    Gylfi Sigurðsson

Forwards

  • 7

    Johann Berg Guðmundsson

  • 9

    Orri Óskarsson

  • 11

    Jón Dagur Þorsteinsson

Prediction

This matchup screams chaotic goals. Expect a thrilling 2-2 draw in Plovdiv. Bulgaria's leaky defense has shipped multiple goals in nine of their last 12 competitive outings, but their desperate need for revenge on home soil will force them to attack aggressively from the opening whistle. Iceland's offense is dangerous enough to punish them repeatedly.

Three reasons we expect over 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Bulgari shipped two or more goals in nine of their last 12 competitive games.
  2. Iceland scored 2+ goals in six of their last 10 competitive encounters.
  3. All last three meetings between Bulgaria finished with over 2.5 goals.

Main prediction Bulgaria - Iceland

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

59% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.13

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Bulgaria vs Iceland standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 4 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7 - 1 +6 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2 - 1 +1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3 - 5 -2 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2 - 7 -5 3

Bulgaria vs Iceland – FAQ

? Where can I watch this match?

Amazon Prime Video is broadcasting the game via pay-per-view in the UK, making it the primary live option for Friday’s Nations League encounter between Bulgaria and Iceland.

? How many corners do Bulgaria on average per game in the Nations League group stage?

Around 4.0 per match, which showcases their struggles to build sustained attacking pressure and generate set-pieces during group fixtures.

? What about bookings for Iceland in this competition?

Around 2.0 yellow cards on average per match, as they frequently rely on high-intensity defensive structures to protect their clean sheets under heavy pressure.