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Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona prediction 08.11.2026 | La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Kick off:

Date:

FC Barcelona

FC Barcelona

1

3.82

X

4.41

2

1.90

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Sunday, 8th November, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)

On Sunday evening, the two first-place teams, Atlético Madrid and Barcelona, will face off in the 12th La Liga round. Atlético Madrid are coming into the game after a 2:0 loss to Bayern Munich in the Champions League, while Barcelona won their UCL game 3:0 against Aston Villa.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this La Liga tie.

Atletico Madrid vs FC Barcelona Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 2

    FC Barcelona

    Champions League

  2. FC Barcelona

    0 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    Champions League

  3. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 2

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

  4. FC Barcelona

    3 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    Copa Del Rey

  5. Atletico Madrid

    4 : 0

    FC Barcelona

    Copa Del Rey

  6. FC Barcelona

    3 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

Last season, these teams met an incredible six times - twice in the league, twice in the Copa del Rey and twice in the Champions League. While Barcelona dominated in the league, winning both duels, the duels in the Cup competitions were split, but Atlético Madrid advanced due to a better goal difference. 

Looking at the past ten h2h games, Atlético Madrid won three times, while Barcelona won six times.

When it comes to the number of goals, eight out of ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in six of them. 

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid team overview

Atlético Madrid had an awesome start to the La Liga campaign as they collected 28 points from 11 rounds (9-1-1 W/L/D) and are only two points away from the top spot. With a possible win here, they would secure the top spot! However, in the Champions League, they weren't as good, as they won three points in three matches. Still, they had one of the hardest schedules, if not the hardest, facing Liverpool, Manchester United, and Bayern Munich. However, they will now have a lot easier games, and we expect them to do better in that competition.

After a 2:0 loss to Bayern Munich, coach Diego Simeone spoke to the media. He said Bayern are simply a better team at the moment and that they have to give 120% to secure a positive result. The coach said they competed well until Bayern scored the opening goal in the second half. From that point, they struggled to respond. 

When it comes to injuries, the team shouldn't have new ones, but Johnny Cardoso and Cristian Romero should remain sidelined with theirs.

Last matches of Atletico Madrid

  1. Atletico Madrid

    0 : 2

    Bayern Munich

    Champions League

  2. Levante

    0 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 0

    Deportivo A Coruña

    La Liga

  4. Stuttgart

    1 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    Champions League

  5. Espanyol

    0 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

Atletico Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Jan Oblak

Defenders

  • 18

    Marc Pubill

  • 24

    Robin Le Normand

  • 17

    Dávid Hancko

  • 22

    Alejandro Grimaldo

Midfielders

  • 20

    Giuliano Simeone

  • 14

    Marcos Llorente

  • 8

    Pablo Barrios

  • 10

    Álex Baena

Forwards

  • 19

    Julián Álvarez

  • 11

    Ademola Lookman

FC Barcelona

Barcelona team overview

Barcelona have been outstanding this season, especially on offense. However, even though they dominated most teams, losses to PSG and Real Madrid in late October are definitely worrying. With Atlético being relatively close to these teams' quality, this is another big test for the Catalan team to prove they can beat the good teams as well. After those losses to PSG and Real Madrid, Barcelona recovered with big wins over Alaves (6:1) and in-form Aston Villa (3:0). 

After the Villa game, coach Hansi Flick said they defended well and stayed compact, praising their defensive line and goalkeeper Joan Garcia. The coach was most satisfied with keeping a clean sheet against Aston Villa. The coach also added that Rodri was subbed due to a muscular problem. However, there is no news about whether the midfielder is ready for the Atlético game. 

Besides the questionable Rodri, the team should miss a few players due to previous injuries: Andreas Christensen, Xavi Espart, Eric Garcia, Jules Kounde, Dani Olmo, and Roony Bardghji.

Last matches of FC Barcelona

  1. FC Barcelona

    3 : 0

    Aston Villa

    Champions League

  2. FC Barcelona

    6 : 1

    Alaves

    La Liga

  3. FC Barcelona

    1 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  4. PSG

    4 : 2

    FC Barcelona

    Champions League

  5. Real Betis

    2 : 5

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

FC Barcelona lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Joan García

Defenders

  • 4

    Brian Fariñas

  • 18

    Gerard Martín

  • 5

    Pau Cubarsí

  • 2

    João Cancelo

Midfielders

  • 8

    Pedri

  • 7

    Fermín López

  • 6

    Gavi

Forwards

  • 10

    Lamine Yamal

  • 11

    Raphinha

  • 17

    Anthony Gordon

Prediction

Atlético Madrid went under 3.5 goals in the last seven games, and under this line in 11 out of 15 games across competitions - 73%. They are also a very good defensive team, especially at home, where they kept a clean sheet in four out of seven games. While that will be almost impossible against Barcelona, we still do expect them to somewhat limit Barcelona's attacking potential.

On the other hand, Barcelona haven't been great for this bet, but they still went under 3.5 goals in the previous game against Aston Villa. Coach Flick also called the team to improve defensively, and they delivered by keeping a clean sheet after five games where they failed to do so. So, we should expect another good defensive performance.

Moreover, the last four h2h games ended with fewer than four goals. Considering all the above, an under 3.5 goals bet seems like the best possible bet for this La Liga tie. 

3 Reasons why we should see fewer than four goals

  1. Atlético Madrid went under 3.5 goals in the last seven games
  2. Barcelona kept a clean sheet in the previous game against Aston Villa
  3. The last four h2h games ended with fewer than four goals

Main prediction Atletico Madrid - FC Barcelona

Under 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

2.06

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Atletico Madrid vs FC Barcelona standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 11 10 0 1 46 - 12 +34 30
2 Atlético de Madrid 11 9 1 1 22 - 8 +14 28
3 Real Madrid 11 9 0 2 28 - 10 +18 27
4 Real Betis 11 7 2 2 18 - 15 +3 23
5 Real Sociedad 11 6 1 4 20 - 20 0 19
6 Sevilla 12 5 3 4 17 - 19 -2 18
7 Athletic Club 10 4 3 3 14 - 10 +4 15
8 Deportivo A Coruña 11 3 5 3 15 - 14 +1 14
9 Deportivo Alavés 12 3 4 5 15 - 17 -2 13
10 Villarreal 11 3 3 5 15 - 15 0 12
11 Celta de Vigo 11 2 6 3 10 - 10 0 12
12 Rayo Vallecano 10 3 3 4 15 - 20 -5 12
13 Getafe 11 3 3 5 8 - 16 -8 12
14 Espanyol 11 3 2 6 13 - 14 -1 11
15 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 11 - 22 -11 11
16 Racing Santander 11 3 2 6 15 - 29 -14 11
17 Elche 11 2 4 5 14 - 18 -4 10
18 Levante 11 2 4 5 16 - 21 -5 10
19 Valencia 11 2 3 6 8 - 17 -9 9
20 Málaga 11 0 5 6 8 - 21 -13 5

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Atlético Madrid this season?

The average xG for Atlético Madrid in La Liga this season is 1.61.

? How much is the average xG for Barcelona this season?

The average xG for Barcelona in La Liga this season is 3.45.