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Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad prediction 01.11.2026 | La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

Kick off:

Date:

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

1

2.16

X

3.76

2

3.50

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: 1st November 2026
  • Kick-off: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: San Mamés

La Liga action returns this Sunday as Athletic Club host fierce rivals Real Sociedad in a fascinating Basque derby highlighting two top-tier sides fighting for European position. Remember Real Sociedad’s dramatic 1-0 cup victory in their last competitive encounter back in March? Mikel Oyarzabal converted a penalty in the 87th minute to turn the away crowd completely silent. The Lions will be desperate for a vastly improved result this week to kickstart a proper climb up the domestic table. Whether they can actually dismantle Real Sociedad's resilient away setup or completely overwhelm their defensive block remains to be seen. Let's look at the best betting angles.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Real Sociedad

    1 : 0

    Athletic Bilbao

    Copa Del Rey

  2. Athletic Bilbao

    0 : 1

    Real Sociedad

    Copa Del Rey

  3. Athletic Bilbao

    1 : 1

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  4. Real Sociedad

    3 : 2

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

  5. Athletic Bilbao

    1 : 0

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  6. Athletic Bilbao

    2 : 1

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

Historically, Real Sociedad owns this fixture with five wins to Athletic Club's three over their last ten matchups. Two games finished level. However, all of the previous league meetings at this ground have shown incredibly tight margins. The average number of goals per game in this fierce regional rivalry stands at a modest 2.2.

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Club team overview

Athletic Club enters this one on the back of a resounding 6-1 away win against AE Prat in the Copa del Rey. Los Leones look confident right now.

Edin Terzić’s men are finding life a bit of a roller-coaster in their domestic campaign, pulling off stellar offensive displays but also dropping points like a heavy 3-1 away defeat to Levante. They sit in 8th position, having gathered varied results over their first 8 league fixtures this season.

Their home record is a formidable weapon. Los Leones are currently riding a four-game unbeaten streak at stadium, anchored by a 3-0 dismantling of Atlético and a 4-0 crushing of Getafe.

Oihan Sancet remains a rare bright spark, though he's rushing back from a calf injury to make the bench. Up front, Alex Berenguer is a man in form after scoring 3 goals and 3 assists in eight appearances this season.

Defensively, they look vulnerable after losing midfielder Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta to a moderate hamstring tear, but thankfully center-back Aymeric Laporte is fully back from suspension to shore up the backline.

Last matches of Athletic Bilbao

  1. Prat

    1 : 6

    Athletic Bilbao

    Copa Del Rey

  2. Athletic Bilbao

    4 : 0

    Getafe

    La Liga

  3. Levante

    3 : 1

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

  4. Valencia

    0 : 0

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

  5. Athletic Bilbao

    0 : 0

    Alaves

    La Liga

Athletic Bilbao lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Unai Simón

Defenders

  • 15

    Hugo Rincón

  • 14

    Aymeric Laporte

  • 4

    Aitor Paredes

  • 17

    Yuri Berchiche

Midfielders

  • 28

    Peio Canales

  • 24

    Beñat Gerenabarrena

  • 9

    Iñaki Williams

Forwards

  • 7

    Álex Berenguer

  • 10

    Nico Williams

  • 11

    Maroan Sannadi

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad team overview

Real Sociedad prepares for this one on the back of a 2-1 home victory against Levante. Txuri-Urdin are definitely riding an emotional wave.

Pellegrino Matarazzo’s men have pulled off a brilliant run of consistency, balancing domestic duties with a roaring 6-0 thrashing of Lillestrøm in Europe. Despite scoring 13 times in their last three matches, recent games have exposed some defensive cracks with the club boasting just one clean sheet in nine competitive games.

Their away form is a bit terrifying for opponents, though. They are currently undefeated in their last five matches on the road, including four wins and a draw.

Luka Sučić remains their undisputed talisman in the middle, netting three La Liga goals this season to spearhead the attack. Fortunately, Matarazzo's squad has no major new injury concerns with Pablo Marín back from suspension, though they must manage squad rotation to maintain consistency ahead of upcoming European ties.

Last matches of Real Sociedad

  1. Real Sociedad

    2 : 1

    Levante

    La Liga

  2. Lillestrom

    0 : 6

    Real Sociedad

    Europa League

  3. Malaga

    2 : 5

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  4. Union Saint-Gilloise

    1 : 1

    Real Sociedad

    Europa League

  5. Real Sociedad

    3 : 2

    Deportivo A Coruña

    La Liga

Real Sociedad lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Álex Remiro

Defenders

  • 2

    Jon Aramburu

  • 6

    Jon Martín

  • 19

    Mamadou Sarr

  • 17

    Sergio Gómez

Midfielders

  • 24

    Luka Sučić

  • 4

    Jon Gorrotxategi

  • 18

    Carlos Soler

Forwards

  • 11

    Gonçalo Guedes

  • 22

    Orri Óskarsson

  • 10

    Mikel Oyarzabal

Prediction

Derbies are completely unpredictable, but defense wins matches. Athletic Club's incredible record of six clean sheets in their last eight league games means they don't break easily under pressure. It's an iron wall. Furthermore, historical data heavily favors a low-scoring battle since four of their last five meetings here stayed under the 2.5-goal threshold. Expect a real tactical grind. A 1-1 draw feels entirely right.

Three reasons we expect Under 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Four of the last five meetings between Athletic Club and Real Sociedad here finished with under 2.5 goals.
  2. Athletic Club have kept a clean sheet in six of their last eight La Liga games.
  3. Real Sociedad conceded just three goals in their last three away encounters.

Main prediction Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

59% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.22

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Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 10 9 0 1 40 - 11 +29 27
2 Atlético de Madrid 10 8 1 1 20 - 8 +12 25
3 Real Madrid 10 8 0 2 25 - 10 +15 24
4 Real Betis 10 6 2 2 16 - 14 +2 20
5 Real Sociedad 10 6 1 3 19 - 18 +1 19
6 Sevilla 10 5 2 3 16 - 16 0 17
7 Deportivo Alavés 10 3 3 4 14 - 11 +3 12
8 Celta de Vigo 10 2 6 2 10 - 7 +3 12
9 Athletic Club 9 3 3 3 12 - 9 +3 12
10 Villarreal 11 3 3 5 15 - 15 0 12
11 Deportivo A Coruña 10 2 5 3 13 - 13 0 11
12 Espanyol 11 3 2 6 13 - 14 -1 11
13 Osasuna 10 3 2 5 10 - 20 -10 11
14 Racing Santander 10 3 2 5 15 - 26 -11 11
15 Levante 10 2 4 4 16 - 19 -3 10
16 Elche 10 2 4 4 14 - 17 -3 10
17 Rayo Vallecano 9 2 3 4 12 - 20 -8 9
18 Getafe 10 2 3 5 5 - 15 -10 9
19 Valencia 10 1 3 6 7 - 17 -10 6
20 Málaga 10 0 5 5 7 - 19 -12 5

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad – FAQ

? Where can I actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Sunday’s La Liga encounter between Athletic Club and Real Sociedad.

? How many corners do Real Sociedad win on average per game in this season?

Around 7.00 per match, which is a strong number and reflects their relentless attacking pressure and dominance in the opposition half.

? What about bookings for Athletic Club at home this season?

Around 1.80 yellow cards on average, as the hosts have actually maintained a highly disciplined defensive setup to break up play at home.