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Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund prediction 16.05.2026 | Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

Kick off:

Date:

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

3.53

X

4.21

2

2.02

  • Competition: Bundesliga 
  • Date: Saturday, 16th May, 2026
  • Kickoff: 14:30 UK / 15:30 CEST
  • Venue: Weserstadion (Bremen)

The Bundesliga is almost over. On Saturday afternoon, all 18 teams will play in the 34th round. We will be focused on the duel between Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund. These two teams have had very different seasons and have almost nothing to gain in this final game.

Let's break down the match and find the best possible bet for this Bundesliga tie. 

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Borussia Dortmund

    3 : 0

    Werder Bremen

    Bundesliga

  2. Borussia Dortmund

    2 : 2

    Werder Bremen

    Bundesliga

  3. Werder Bremen

    0 : 0

    Borussia Dortmund

    Bundesliga

  4. Werder Bremen

    1 : 2

    Borussia Dortmund

    Bundesliga

  5. Borussia Dortmund

    1 : 0

    Werder Bremen

    Bundesliga

  6. Werder Bremen

    0 : 2

    Borussia Dortmund

    Bundesliga

In the first H2H game this season, Borussia Dortmund won 3:0 at Signal Iduna Park. Looking further back, over the past 10 H2H games, Werder Bremen secured only one win, while Borussia won seven times. 

When it comes to goals, six of the past 10 H2H games ended with three or more goals, and both teams scored in five of them. 

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen team overview

After two years in which they finished 9th and 8th, most people thought Werder Bremen could finally return to the battle for European spots. However, that couldn't be further from the truth as the Green-Whites found themselves just one spot above the danger zone. At the moment, they are in 15th place with a mere 32 points in 33 rounds. That is around 0.5 points per game fewer than last year! 

Right full-back Yukinari Sugawara received a red card in the previous game against Hoffenheim and will not be available for the last game of the season. His absence is a massive blow for Werder, as he has been one of their best players over the past few games. 

Julian Malatini, Keke Topp, Mitchell Weiser, Leonardo Bittencourt, and Karl Hein should remain sidelined with their injuries, while Isaac Schmid is listed as questionable after sustaining an injury in the previous game vs Hoffenheim.

Last matches of Werder Bremen

  1. Hoffenheim

    1 : 0

    Werder Bremen

    Bundesliga

  2. Werder Bremen

    1 : 3

    Augsburg

    Bundesliga

  3. Stuttgart

    1 : 1

    Werder Bremen

    Bundesliga

  4. Werder Bremen

    3 : 1

    Hamburger SV

    Bundesliga

  5. FC Koln

    3 : 1

    Werder Bremen

    Bundesliga

Werder Bremen lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 30

    Mio Backhaus

Defenders

  • 5

    Amos Pieper

  • 32

    Marco Friedl

  • 31

    Karim Coulibaly

  • 2

    Olivier Deman

Midfielders

  • 18

    Cameron Puertas

  • 14

    Senne Lynen

  • 6

    Jens Stage

Forwards

  • 11

    Justin Njinmah

  • 17

    Marco Grüll

  • 20

    Romano Schmid

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund team overview

Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, had a pretty good season overall. Maybe they could have better campaigns in the DFB-Pokal and the Champions League, but their run in the Bundesliga was fantastic. Throughout the season, they were fairly close to Bayern Munich, which had an amazing season. However, after losing three of the past five Bundesliga games, it became clear the title is out of question. Still, with 70 points in 33 rounds, the Prussians have to be satisfied. Regardless of what happens in the last game of the season, they will finish in 2nd place. 

According to German media reports, Ramy Bensebaini will most likely miss the upcoming match with a foot injury. In one interview, coach Niko Kovac said the season is probably over for Ramy and that he will most likely return for the World Cup. Moreover, Emre Can is ruled out with a knee injury. 

Last matches of Borussia Dortmund

  1. Borussia Dortmund

    3 : 2

    Eintracht Frankfurt

    Bundesliga

  2. Borussia M`gladbach

    1 : 0

    Borussia Dortmund

    Bundesliga

  3. Borussia Dortmund

    4 : 0

    SC Freiburg

    Bundesliga

  4. Hoffenheim

    2 : 1

    Borussia Dortmund

    Bundesliga

  5. Borussia Dortmund

    0 : 1

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gregor Kobel

Defenders

  • 4

    Nico Schlotterbeck

  • 49

    Luca Reggiani

  • 3

    Waldemar Anton

Midfielders

  • 26

    Julian Ryerson

  • 20

    Marcel Sabitzer

  • 7

    Jobe Bellingham

  • 24

    Daniel Svensson

Forwards

  • 9

    Serhou Guirassy

  • 10

    Julian Brandt

  • 14

    Maximilian Beier

Prediction

Werder Bremen have lost back-to-back games against Augsburg and scored just one goal. They have generally struggled offensively, and with 37 goals in 33 rounds, they have the second-worst offense in the league. Lately, they have scored one or zero goals in seven of the past eight matches, and we do not expect a great offensive display. 

Borussia Dortmund have had some great offensive displays, but most of those came at home. On the road, they weren't even remotely as good. At home, they averaged 2.35 goals per game, compared to "only" 1.75 on the road in the Bundesliga. Also, they are one of the best teams in the league for this type of bet, going under 3.5 goals in 22 out of 33 games. Only St. Pauli had more such games in the Bundesliga. 

Additionally, five of the past six H2H games ended with fewer than four goals. Considering the trend in the previous H2H games and all the above, an under 3.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this Bundesliga tie.

4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Werder Bremen have scored one or zero goals in five of the past six games
  2. Werder Bremen have the second-worst offense with 37 goals in 33 Bundesliga rounds
  3. Borussia Dortmund have gone under 3.5 goals in the past four road games
  4. These teams went under 3.5 goals in five of the past six H2H games

Main prediction Werder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund

Under 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.90

Bet here

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund standings in Bundesliga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 33 27 5 1 117 - 35 +82 86
2 Borussia Dortmund 33 21 7 5 68 - 34 +34 70
3 RB Leipzig 33 20 5 8 65 - 43 +22 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 33 18 7 8 69 - 47 +22 61
5 TSG Hoffenheim 33 18 7 8 65 - 48 +17 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 33 17 7 9 67 - 46 +21 58
7 SC Freiburg 33 12 8 13 47 - 56 -9 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 33 11 10 12 59 - 63 -4 43
9 FC Augsburg 33 12 7 14 45 - 57 -12 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 33 9 10 14 42 - 53 -11 37
11 Hamburger SV 33 9 10 14 39 - 53 -14 37
12 FC Union Berlin 33 9 9 15 40 - 58 -18 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 8 11 14 38 - 53 -15 35
14 FC Köln 33 7 11 15 48 - 58 -10 32
15 Werder Bremen 33 8 8 17 37 - 58 -21 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 33 6 8 19 42 - 68 -26 26
17 Heidenheim 33 6 8 19 41 - 70 -29 26
18 St. Pauli 33 6 8 19 28 - 57 -29 26

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Werder Bremen this season?

The average xG for Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga this season is 1.46.

? How much is the average xG for Borussia Dortmund this season?

The average xG for Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga this season is 1.56.