Aston Villa vs Liverpool prediction 15.05.2026 | Premier League
Aston Villa
Kick off:
Date:
Liverpool
1
3.06
X
3.82
2
2.34
Contents
- Competition: Premier League
- Date: Friday, 15th May, 2026
- Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
- Venue: Villa Park (Birmingham)
Before the Europa League Finals on 20th May, Aston Villa will welcome Liverpool in the 37th round of the English Premier League. These teams are on 59 points each and can mathematically secure a top-five finish and a Champions League appearance after this round.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Premier League tie.
Aston Villa vs Liverpool Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Liverpool
2 : 0
Aston Villa
Premier League
-
Aston Villa
2 : 2
Liverpool
Premier League
-
Liverpool
2 : 0
Aston Villa
Premier League
-
Aston Villa
3 : 3
Liverpool
Premier League
-
Liverpool
3 : 0
Aston Villa
Premier League
-
Liverpool
1 : 1
Aston Villa
Premier League
In the first H2H game this season, Liverpool deservedly won 2:0 at Anfield. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, Liverpool were a lot better, winning seven times, while the remaining three games ended in draws. The last time Aston Villa secured a win over Liverpool was in October 2020.
When it comes to the number of goals, six of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals. Meanwhile, both teams scored in the same number of games (six).
Aston Villa team overview
Aston Villa established itself as one of the most stable teams in England under coach Unai Emery. This season, the Villans have been great and have put themselves in a really good position. They are four points away from 6th-placed Bournemouth and from dropping out of the Champions League spots. Even with a potential loss here, the Villans could secure the desired top-five finish if Bournemouth loses to Manchester City.
Besides their excellent PL campaign, the Villans reached the Europa League Finals, where they will face Freiburg after the Liverpool game. Along the way, they eliminated some really good teams, including Lille, Bologna, and Nottingham.
For the upcoming game, the team should have no new injuries, but Boubacar Kamara, Alysson, and Amadou Onana should remain sidelined. Additionally, Harvey Elliott should miss the game as he is on a loan deal from Liverpool.
Last matches of Aston Villa
-
Burnley
2 : 2
Aston Villa
Premier League
-
Aston Villa
4 : 0
Nottingham Forest
Europa League
-
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Tottenham Hotspur
Premier League
-
Nottingham Forest
1 : 0
Aston Villa
Europa League
-
Fulham
1 : 0
Aston Villa
Premier League
Aston Villa lineup
Goalkeeper
-
23
Emiliano Martínez
Defenders
-
2
Matty Cash
-
4
Ezri Konsa
-
14
Pau Torres
-
12
Lucas Digne
Midfielders
-
8
Youri Tielemans
-
7
John McGinn
-
6
Ross Barkley
Forwards
-
11
Ollie Watkins
-
27
Morgan Rogers
-
10
Emiliano Buendía
Liverpool team overview
After Liverpool won the title last season under Arne Slot, everyone expected another good season for the Reds. Unfortunately, that did not happen, and as the season progressed, Liverpool started playing worse and worse. Losses to Manchester City (4:0) in the FA Cup Finals and to PSG (4:0 in two legs) in the Champions League Quarter-Finals proved they are simply not on the level of the best European teams. Many football pundits believe coach Slot is the main reason for it and already speculate who could replace him on the bench. Now, with two rounds to go, their only goal is to secure that top-five finish and the Champions League appearance next season.
Ibrahima Konate suffered an injury in the previous game against Chelsea and had to leave the field after 77 minutes. According to English media reports, it shouldn't be a serious one, and the defender might be ready for the Aston Villa game. Additionally, Florian Wirtz should return after dealing with an illness in recent days.
Mohammed Salah is listed as questionable due to thigh problems, while Conor Bradley, Hugo Ekitike, Giovanni Leoni, Wataru Endo, and Alisson should remain sidelined with their injuries.
Last matches of Liverpool
-
Liverpool
1 : 1
Chelsea
Premier League
-
Manchester United
3 : 2
Liverpool
Premier League
-
Liverpool
3 : 1
Crystal Palace
Premier League
-
Everton
1 : 2
Liverpool
Premier League
-
Liverpool
0 : 2
PSG
Champions League
Liverpool lineup
Goalkeeper
-
25
Giorgi Mamardashvili
Defenders
-
17
Curtis Jones
-
4
Virgil van Dijk
-
5
Ibrahima Konaté
-
6
Milos Kerkez
Midfielders
-
38
Ryan Gravenberch
-
10
Alexis Mac Allister
-
8
Dominik Szoboszlai
Forwards
-
18
Cody Gakpo
-
9
Alexander Isak
-
7
Florian Wirtz
Prediction
Aston Villa went over 3.5 goals in back-to-back games against Nottingham (in the Europa League) and Burnley. While they have had some bad games lately, those ones mainly came on the road. At Villa Park, they have been amazing, scoring four goals in three of the past four games! We believe they would continue with great offensive performances against struggling Liverpool.
Meanwhile, Liverpool went over 3.5 goals in two of the past three games. Despite evident talent at the back, Liverpool have massive defensive problems. The Reds have had just one clean sheet in the past nine games and were simply atrocious on the road, allowing 2+ goals in three of the past four. On the other hand, with 60 scored goals thus far, they are among the best in the league in that department.
Additionally, at Villa Park, we almost exclusively saw high-scoring games. These teams went over 2.5 goals in the past seven H2H games, and were over 3.5 goals in six of those seven. Considering the trend in the previous H2H games at Villa Park and all the above, we expect a high-scoring game, likely with both teams scoring.
3 Reasons why we should see four or more goals
- Aston Villa scored four goals per game in three of the past four home games
- Liverpool went over 3.5 goals in two of the past three games
- Six of the past seven H2H games ended with four or more goals
Main prediction Aston Villa - Liverpool
Over 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
Megapari
2.41
Aston Villa vs Liverpool standings in Premier League
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 68 - 26 | +42 | 79 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 75 - 32 | +43 | 77 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 63 - 48 | +15 | 65 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 60 - 48 | +12 | 59 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 50 - 46 | +4 | 59 |
| 6 | AFC Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 56 - 52 | +4 | 55 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 52 - 42 | +10 | 53 |
| 8 | Brentford | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 52 - 49 | +3 | 51 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 55 - 49 | +6 | 49 |
| 10 | Everton | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 46 - 46 | 0 | 49 |
| 11 | Fulham | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 44 - 50 | -6 | 48 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 37 - 46 | -9 | 48 |
| 13 | Newcastle United | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 50 - 52 | -2 | 46 |
| 14 | Leeds United | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 48 - 53 | -5 | 44 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 38 - 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 45 - 47 | -2 | 43 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 46 - 55 | -9 | 38 |
| 18 | West Ham United | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 42 - 62 | -20 | 36 |
| 19 | Burnley | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 - 73 | -36 | 21 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 25 - 66 | -41 | 18 |