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Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction 14.11.2026 | UEFA Nations League

Sweden

Sweden

Kick off:

Date:

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina

1

1.55

X

4.60

2

5.96

  • Competition: UEFA Nations League B
  • Date: Saturday, 14th November, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Strawberry Arena (Solna)

On Saturday evening, two World Cup 2026 participants, Sweden and Bosnia and Herzegovina, will face off against each other in the fifth round of the UEFA Nations League B. Sweden comes into the game with ten points, while Bosnia and Herzegovina comes to the match having collected eight points. Interestingly, both teams are yet to lose their first game in the competition.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this UEFA Nations League tie.

Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Bosnia and Herzegovina

    1 : 1

    Sweden

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Sweden

    4 : 2

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    Friendly International

These teams met in October in Bosnia, with the match finishing in a 1:1 draw. That was a game without too many goalscoring chances where Sweden probably deserved to win all three points. Interestingly, that game was Dzeko's last game for the national team. He did manage to score the goal, but it was disallowed by VAR.

Before the October match, these teams met once more in a friendly game in 2010, with Sweden winning 4:2. 

Sweden

Sweden team overview

Sweden had a pretty strange period behind them. They were atrocious in the World Cup Qualifiers, but managed to secure the WC appearance by winning the UEFA Nations League and eventually the Playoffs. Then in the WC, they once again had mixed results despite reaching the 1/16 Finals. Throughout that period, it was obvious they had the potential up front but lacked quality at the back.

In the UEFA Nations League, Sweden did great, especially on the back, collecting 10 points in four rounds and allowing only three goals. Now, with a possible win over Bosnia and Herzegovina, they would claim the top spot regardless of the result in the last game of the competition. 

For the upcoming game, three crucial offensive players should return after injuries: Alexander Isak, Dejan Kulusevski, and Anthony Elanga. On the other hand, there are several important absences, especially at the back. Among the most important ones are Isak Hien, Carl Starfelt, Emil Holm, Lucas Bergall, etc.

Last matches of Sweden

  1. Romania

    0 : 1

    Sweden

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Bosnia and Herzegovina

    1 : 1

    Sweden

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Sweden

    3 : 1

    Poland

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Sweden

    2 : 1

    Romania

    UEFA Nations League

  5. France

    3 : 0

    Sweden

    World Cup

Sweden lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Viktor Johansson

Defenders

  • 2

    Felix Beijmo

  • 3

    Victor Lindelöf

  • 14

    Hjalmar Ekdal

  • 5

    Gabriel Gudmundsson

Midfielders

  • 19

    Sebastian Nanasi

  • 18

    Yasin Ayari

  • 16

    Jesper Karlström

  • 11

    Anthony Elanga

Forwards

  • 17

    Viktor Gyökeres

  • 9

    Alexander Isak

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina team overview

Bosnia and Herzegovina had a great WC qualification campaign, when they eventually secured a WC appearance by beating Wales and Italy in the Playoffs. In the World Cup, they proved they belong there by reaching 1/16 Finals, where one of the co-hosts, the USA, eventually eliminated them 2:0. 

In the UEFA Nations League, Bosnia and Herzegovina are doing fine and are in a great position to at least secure the second spot, as they are four points away from 3rd-placed Poland. However, a win here would put them in first place, and they could return to League A directly. 

Bosnia and Herzegovina will miss their best central defender, Tarik Muharemovic, who will serve a one-game suspension. Besides him, another key absence is Nikola Vasilj. The 30-year-old has been impressive for Bosnia, and his absence will definitely be a massive factor. 

Last matches of Bosnia and Herzegovina

  1. Bosnia and Herzegovina

    1 : 0

    Poland

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Bosnia and Herzegovina

    1 : 1

    Sweden

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Romania

    2 : 4

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Poland

    0 : 0

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    UEFA Nations League

  5. United States

    2 : 0

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    World Cup

Bosnia and Herzegovina lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Martin Zlomislic

Defenders

  • 7

    Zinedin Smajlović

  • 18

    Nikola Katic

  • 2

    Nihad Mujakic

  • 5

    Sead Kolasinac

Midfielders

  • 15

    Amar Dedic

  • 13

    Ivan Basic

  • 8

    Armin Gigovic

Forwards

  • 10

    Ermedin Demirovic

  • 23

    Haris Tabakovic

  • 19

    Kerim Alajbegovic

Prediction

Two out of Sweden's four UEFA Nations League matches ended with three or more goals. Looking further back, ten of their last 15 games finished with three or more goals. Sweden definitely have the firepower to do great offensively, and with Bosnia's absences at the back, we believe we could see a high-scoring affair. 

Bosnia and Herzegovina, on the other hand, weren't as great for this type of bet in the UEFA Nations League. Still, we believe Sweden will control the game and force this game into a high-scoring one. Moreover, if Sweden scores on time, Bosnia will have to open, which should further help us win this bet.

Considering all the above, we believe that an over 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this UEFA Nations League tie.

3 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Both sides will miss key players in their defensive lines
  2. Sweden went over 2.5 goals in ten out of their 15 games across competitions
  3. Bosnia and Herzegovina scored at least one goal in three out of their four UEFA Nations League games

Main prediction Sweden - Bosnia and Herzegovina

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.63

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Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 4 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7 - 3 +4 10
2 Bosnia and Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6 - 3 +3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7 - 4 +3 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3 - 13 -10 0

Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Sweden in the UEFA Nations League?

The average xG for Sweden in the UEFA Nations League this season is 1.67.

? How much is the average xG for Bosnia and Herzegovina in the UEFA Nations League?

The average xG for Bosnia and Herzegovina in the UEFA Nations League this season is 1.05.