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Norway vs Wales prediction 14.11.2026 | UEFA Nations League

Norway

Norway

Kick off:

Date:

Wales

Wales

1

1.25

X

6.00

2

10.50

  • Competition: UEFA Nations League A
  • Date: Saturday, 14th November, 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CET
  • Venue: Ullevaal Stadion (Oslo)

On Saturday evening, Norway will welcome Wales in the fifth round of the UEFA Nations League A. Both teams have won only three points, but Wales have an edge since they won the H2H duel. At this moment, due to better H2H stats, Wales are in 3rd, and Norway in 4th place.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this UEFA Nations League tie.

Norway vs Wales Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Wales

    2 : 1

    Norway

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Wales

    4 : 1

    Norway

    Friendly International

  3. Wales

    3 : 0

    Norway

    Friendly International

In the previous h2h game, in October, Wales surprisingly won 2:1 at home. However, it was 1:1 before Norway received a red card in the 46th minute. In total, these teams have met eight times, with Wales winning four times and Norway only once. 

When it comes to the number of goals, four of those eight H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (four).

Norway

Norway team overview

Norway had an amazing World Cup campaign, reaching the quarter-finals, before being eliminated by England in extra time. Even before the WC, the Vikings were amazing in the Qualifiers, pretty much looking like one of the best European teams. However, in the UEFA Nations League, they haven't been as good. To be fair, they started great, winning 3:2 against Denmark, but then lost the following three games. Now, they are in a must-win situation because this win could mean the difference between finishing last and facing relegation, or potentially finishing 2nd. 

Torbjørn Heggem served his suspension in the previous match and is available. Also, Julian Ryerson and Alexander Sorloth missed the previous NT games due to injuries, but are ready for the upcoming game. However, coach Solbakken said Sorloth isn't ready to play the full 90 minutes. The most important absences are Fredrik Aursnes and Jørgen Strand Larsen, who are out due to injuries. 

Last matches of Norway

  1. Portugal

    2 : 1

    Norway

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Wales

    2 : 1

    Norway

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Norway

    1 : 2

    Portugal

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Norway

    3 : 2

    Denmark

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Norway

    0 : 1

    England

    World Cup

Norway lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Ørjan Nyland

Defenders

  • 14

    Julian Ryerson

  • 17

    Torbjørn Heggem

  • 3

    Kristoffer Ajer

  • 5

    David Møller Wolfe

Midfielders

  • 6

    Patrick Berg

  • 10

    Martin Ødegaard

  • 8

    Sander Berge

Forwards

  • 21

    Andreas Schjelderup

  • 9

    Erling Haaland

  • 20

    Antonio Nusa

Wales

Wales team overview

Wales failed to reach the previous World Cup, being eliminated in the World Cup semi-finals by Bosnia and Herzegovina. After the Qualifiers, they have been pretty bad, having won only once in the following seven games. However, that win came against Norway, and the Dragons will be eager to repeat that success. If they avoid defeat, the Dragons will pretty much avoid direct relegation. Depending on the results, Wales could move up to 2nd place. However, they are the big underdogs in both the Norway game and in the last game against Portugal. So, reaching that 2nd place won't be an easy task.

Benjamin Cabango and Sorba Thomas both received second yellow cards in the previous game against Denmark and will serve their one-game suspension. Additionally, midfielder Jordan James is out due to injury. On the positive side, Harry Wilson, Joe Rodon, and Karl Darlow are back in the squad after recovering from their injuries.

Last matches of Wales

  1. Wales

    0 : 1

    Denmark

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Wales

    2 : 1

    Norway

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Denmark

    2 : 0

    Wales

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Portugal

    1 : 0

    Wales

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Romania

    2 : 1

    Wales

    Friendly International

Wales lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Karl Darlow

Defenders

  • 3

    Neco Williams

  • 4

    Ben Davies

  • 6

    Joe Rodon

  • 15

    Jay Dasilva

Midfielders

  • 22

    Josh Sheehan

  • 10

    Liam Cullen

  • 5

    Ethan Ampadu

Forwards

  • 11

    Brennan Johnson

  • 9

    Lewis Koumas

  • 8

    Harry Wilson

Prediction

Norway have been atrocious in this UEFA Nations League campaign, but they are too good a team to struggle for much longer. In the World Cup, they beat teams like Brazil, Ivory Coast, and Senegal, and were good in the England game as well. Overall, their squad is one of the most complete and balanced, and with Haaland up front, they are capable of beating anyone in the World, especially at home.

 Wales won their last h2h game against Norway, but that was mainly due to a red card Norway received. Looking through their recent games, they only won once in the past eight games across competitions. In the UEFA Nations League, they scored just two goals in four matches and zero in two road games!

Considering all the above, we believe Norway should dominate the game and win by at least two goals.

3 Reasons why Norway should win and cover the -1.5 AH spread

  1. Norway won one of their two home games in the competition
  2. Wales won once in the past eight games across competitions
  3. Wales failed to score in three out of four games in the Nations League

Main prediction Norway - Wales

AH1 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.68

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Norway vs Wales standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 4 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9 - 4 +5 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7 - 7 0 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2 - 5 -3 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6 - 8 -2 3

Norway vs Wales – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Norway in the UEFA Nations League?

The average xG for Norway in the UEFA Nations League this season is 1.42.

? How much is the average xG for Wales in the UEFA Nations League?

The average xG for Wales in the UEFA Nations League this season is 0.7.