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Sevilla vs Real Madrid prediction 17.05.2026 | La Liga

Sevilla

Sevilla

Kick off:

Date:

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

3.35

X

3.56

2

2.30

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: 17th May 2026
  • Kick-off: 18:00 UK / 19:00 CEST
  • Venue: Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla head into Sunday’s clash knowing a win would all but secure another season in the Spanish top flight. That alone gives the evening a certain tension. The gap between these sides is massive on paper, 37 points, yet the mood around both clubs feels oddly similar. One is fighting to avoid embarrassment near the bottom half, the other drifting toward the end of another frustrating campaign without silverware.

The bookmakers seem unsure which version of either side will show up. That hesitation makes sense, honestly. Sevilla have suddenly found rhythm at exactly the right moment, while Madrid, despite sitting second, still look vulnerable away from home. There is enough quality on the pitch for goals and probably a bit of chaos too.

Sevilla vs Real Madrid Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Real Madrid

    2 : 0

    Sevilla

    La Liga

  2. Real Madrid

    4 : 2

    Sevilla

    La Liga

  3. Real Madrid

    1 : 0

    Sevilla

    La Liga

  4. Sevilla

    1 : 1

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  5. Sevilla

    1 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  6. Real Madrid

    3 : 1

    Sevilla

    La Liga

These clubs have faced each other 12 times since 2020 and Real Madrid have largely controlled the fixture with 10 victories. The remaining two matches ended level. Goals also tend to arrive regularly in this matchup, with an average of 3.0 per game across that stretch.

Sevilla

Sevilla team overview

Sevilla FC suddenly look like a different side. A few weeks ago, the mood around Los Nervionenses felt tense and slightly flat. Now, after three straight league victories, confidence has clearly returned. Coming back from two goals down to beat Villarreal CF away last weekend probably revealed more about belief than tactics, honestly.

Luis García’s side now sit four points above danger, and talk of a late push toward the European places has quietly started again. That may still sound optimistic, sure, but momentum can change seasons quickly. Sevilla have also won the last three home matches, so Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán should feel lively.

Akor Adams scored his 10th league goal against Villarreal and is expected to partner Neal Maupay in attack. Marcão and Manu Bueno remain injured, although Sevilla avoid any suspension problems this time.

Last matches of Sevilla

  1. Villarreal

    2 : 3

    Sevilla

    La Liga

  2. Sevilla

    2 : 1

    Espanyol

    La Liga

  3. Sevilla

    1 : 0

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  4. Osasuna

    2 : 1

    Sevilla

    La Liga

  5. Levante

    2 : 0

    Sevilla

    La Liga

Sevilla lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Odysseas Vlachodimos

Defenders

  • 12

    Gabriel Suazo

  • 4

    Kike Salas

  • 3

    César Azpilicueta

  • 2

    José Ángel Carmona

Midfielders

  • 36

    Oso

  • 20

    Djibril Sow

  • 18

    Lucien Agoumé

  • 11

    Rubén Vargas

Forwards

  • 17

    Neal Maupay

  • 9

    Akor Adams

Real Madrid

Real Madrid team overview

Real Madrid CF responded reasonably well after the frustrating 2-0 loss to FC Barcelona in El Clásico. Los Blancos beat Real Oviedo 2-0 in midweek, with Gonzalo García opening the scoring before Jude Bellingham added another after the break.

Still, the atmosphere around the club feels a little flat. Arbeloa’s side are already certain to finish second, and after ending the season without a major trophy, supporters expected something more convincing.

Away form has become another concern. Madrid won only once in the last five away matches and, strangely enough, looked open defensively in several of those games.

There was also fresh talk surrounding Kylian Mbappé after the Oviedo win. Reports claimed the French forward was unhappy with limited minutes despite scoring 24 league goals this season. Even so, he is expected to start here. Rodrygo, Éder Militão, Ferland Mendy, Federico Valverde and Dean Huijsen remain sidelined through injury.

Last matches of Real Madrid

  1. Real Madrid

    2 : 0

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

  2. FC Barcelona

    2 : 0

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Espanyol

    0 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  4. Real Betis

    1 : 1

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  5. Real Madrid

    2 : 1

    Alaves

    La Liga

Real Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Thibaut Courtois

Defenders

  • 12

    Trent Alexander-Arnold

  • 22

    Antonio Rüdiger

  • 4

    David Alaba

  • 18

    Álvaro Carreras

Midfielders

  • 14

    Aurélien Tchouaméni

  • 5

    Jude Bellingham

  • 6

    Eduardo Camavinga

Forwards

  • 21

    Brahim Díaz

  • 10

    Kylian Mbappé

  • 7

    Vinícius Júnior

Prediction

Real Madrid CF still feel like the more dependable side here, even if recent away performances have looked slightly unconvincing. Los Blancos won 10 of the last 12 meetings with Sevilla FC and usually create chances in this fixture. Sevilla’s improvement lately should make things competitive at home, though Madrid’s attacking quality, especially with Kylian Mbappé likely returning, may just prove decisive. A narrow 2-1 away win seems fairly believable.

Three reasons we expect over 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Sevilla finished only one of their last eleven games without conceding.
  2. Real Madrid boast just one clean sheet from their last eight away matches.
  3. Bets on over 2.5 goals won in five of the last eight away games of Real Madrid.

Main prediction Sevilla - Real Madrid

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.81

Bet here

Sevilla vs Real Madrid standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 36 30 1 5 91 - 32 +59 91
2 Real Madrid 36 25 5 6 72 - 33 +39 80
3 Villarreal 36 21 6 9 67 - 43 +24 69
4 Atlético Madrid 36 20 6 10 60 - 39 +21 66
5 Real Betis 36 14 15 7 56 - 44 +12 57
6 Celta de Vigo 36 13 11 12 51 - 47 +4 50
7 Getafe 36 14 6 16 31 - 37 -6 48
8 Real Sociedad 36 11 12 13 55 - 56 -1 45
9 Rayo Vallecano 36 10 14 12 37 - 43 -6 44
10 Athletic Club 36 13 5 18 40 - 53 -13 44
11 Sevilla 36 12 7 17 46 - 58 -12 43
12 Valencia 36 11 10 15 39 - 51 -12 43
13 Osasuna 36 11 9 16 43 - 47 -4 42
14 Espanyol 36 11 9 16 40 - 53 -13 42
15 Deportivo Alavés 36 10 10 16 42 - 54 -12 40
16 Girona 36 9 13 14 38 - 53 -15 40
17 Elche 36 9 12 15 47 - 56 -9 39
18 Mallorca 36 10 9 17 44 - 55 -11 39
19 Levante 36 10 9 17 44 - 59 -15 39
20 Real Oviedo 36 6 11 19 26 - 56 -30 29

Sevilla vs Real Madrid – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Sunday’s La Liga game.

? How many corners do Real Madrid usually win on the road this season?

Around 6.13 per La Liga away match, which feels huge. 

? What about bookings for Luis García’s men at home?

About 2.61 yellow cards on average in their La Liga home games.