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RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction 04.11.2026 | Champions League

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Kick off:

Date:

Manchester City

Manchester City

1

5.54

X

4.93

2

1.58

  • Competition: Champions League
  • Date: Wednesday, 4th November, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)

On Wednesday evening, RB Leipzig will welcome Manchester City in the 4th round of the Champions League. RB Leipzig come to the game with great momentum, winning three in a row. On the other hand, the Citizens are in bad form as they failed to win in three games across competitions, at least in regular time.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Champions League tie.

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Manchester City

    3 : 2

    RB Leipzig

    Champions League

  2. RB Leipzig

    1 : 3

    Manchester City

    Champions League

  3. Manchester City

    7 : 0

    RB Leipzig

    Champions League

  4. RB Leipzig

    1 : 1

    Manchester City

    Champions League

  5. RB Leipzig

    2 : 1

    Manchester City

    Champions League

  6. Manchester City

    6 : 3

    RB Leipzig

    Champions League

These teams last met in the Champions League group stage in 2023, with Manchester City winning 3:1 in Germany and 3:2 in England. Looking further back, these teams have met a total of six times, with RB Leipzig winning once and MC winning four times.

When it comes to the number of goals, five out of six h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (five).

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig team overview

RB Leipzig have been excellent last season, finishing 3rd in the Bundesliga, only behind Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund. This season, they are once again doing a solid job in the domestic competitions as they are in 4th place with 15 points after the first eight rounds and are only three points away from the top spot. 

However, in the Champions League, they lost two out of three games, with their win coming against PSV. They have a really challenging schedule in the Champions League, and every game feels super important. Even though they are a big underdog in this game against MC, they are probably facing them at the right moment, considering they are winless in the last three games. 

Marc Guiu and Assan Ouedraogo should remain sidelined with injuries, while Maxime Esteve is questionable due to a knock. 

Last matches of RB Leipzig

  1. Schalke 04

    0 : 2

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  2. Rot-Weiss Essen

    1 : 2

    RB Leipzig

    DFB Pokal

  3. RB Leipzig

    4 : 0

    Elversberg

    Bundesliga

  4. Real Madrid

    4 : 1

    RB Leipzig

    Champions League

  5. Bayern Munich

    6 : 1

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

RB Leipzig lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 26

    Maarten Vandevoordt

Defenders

  • 17

    Ridle Baku

  • 4

    Willi Orbán

  • 23

    Castello Lukeba

  • 22

    David Raum

Midfielders

  • 21

    Neil El Aynaoui

  • 13

    Nicolas Seiwald

  • 6

    Ezechiel Banzuzi

Forwards

  • 10

    Brajan Gruda

  • 40

    Rômulo

  • 7

    Antonio Nusa

Manchester City

Manchester City team overview

Manchester City entered the season with eight wins in a row after losing the Community Shield to Arsenal. However, since then, the Citizens seemed to slow down, and their defensive performances were particularly worrisome. In the past six games across competitions, they won only against Ipswich and AEK while failing to keep a clean sheet each time. Overall, they looked great at times, but they need to be a lot more consistent, especially on defense, if they want to be considered one of the main favorites for the titles.

In the Champions League, they earned six points by beating FC Porto and AEK Athens, but lost 4:2 to PSG, proving their defensive issues are real. Their remaining schedule is pretty challenging, but they are still (probably) one win away from securing the next stage. 

When it comes to injuries, the Citizens should be almost complete, with only Antoine Semenyo missing with a knee injury.

Last matches of Manchester City

  1. Manchester City

    0 : 1

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  2. Manchester City

    4 : 3

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Carabao Cup

  3. Aston Villa

    2 : 1

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  4. Manchester City

    5 : 1

    AEK Athens

    Champions League

  5. Manchester City

    3 : 2

    Ipswich Town

    Premier League

Manchester City lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 45

    Abdukodir Khusanov

  • 3

    Rúben Dias

  • 6

    Marc Guéhi

  • 24

    Josko Gvardiol

Midfielders

  • 5

    Elliot Anderson

  • 17

    Enzo Fernández

  • 10

    Rayan Cherki

Forwards

  • 11

    Jérémy Doku

  • 9

    Erling Haaland

  • 7

    Iliman Ndiaye

Prediction

RB Leipzig are in good form, winning three in a row with eight goals scored - 2.7 per game. Therefore, we firmly believe they will get on the scoresheet and help us win the bet. Also, in the Champions League, they went over 3.5 goals in two out of three games. 

Manchester City also went over the mentioned line in two of their three Champions League games. Lately, they have played high-scoring games almost constantly, given their serious defensive issues and their strong offensive potential. Due to that combination, they went over 3.5 goals in four of the past six games. 

Additionally, these teams went over 3.5 goals in the past three h2h games. Considering all the above, we expect a high-scoring game, likely with both teams scoring. 

4 Reasons why we should see four or more goals

  1. Both teams went over 3.5 goals in two of their three Champions League games
  2. RB Leipzig scored eight goals in the last three games
  3. Manchester City went over 3.5 goals in four out of the last six games across competitions
  4. The last three h2h games ended with four or more goals

Main prediction RB Leipzig - Manchester City

Over 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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1.98

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RB Leipzig vs Manchester City standings in Champions League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 3 3 0 0 14 - 5 +9 9
2 Aston Villa 3 3 0 0 12 - 3 +9 9
3 Liverpool 3 3 0 0 12 - 7 +5 9
4 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 10 - 5 +5 9
5 Real Betis 3 3 0 0 7 - 4 +3 9
6 VfB Stuttgart 3 2 1 0 7 - 2 +5 7
7 Arsenal 3 2 1 0 6 - 2 +4 7
8 FC Barcelona 3 2 0 1 11 - 6 +5 6
9 Como 3 2 0 1 10 - 5 +5 6
10 Manchester City 3 2 0 1 9 - 5 +4 6
11 Club Brugge 3 2 0 1 9 - 6 +3 6
12 Sporting CP 3 2 0 1 7 - 4 +3 6
13 Borussia Dortmund 3 2 0 1 5 - 4 +1 6
14 FC Bayern München 3 1 2 0 10 - 5 +5 5
15 Roma 3 1 1 1 8 - 5 +3 4
16 Atlético de Madrid 3 1 1 1 4 - 3 +1 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk 3 1 1 1 4 - 3 +1 4
18 PSV 3 1 1 1 2 - 2 0 4
19 Villarreal 3 1 0 2 8 - 8 0 3
20 Inter 3 1 0 2 5 - 6 -1 3
21 Manchester United 3 1 0 2 5 - 6 -1 3
22 Napoli 3 1 0 2 5 - 7 -2 3
23 Galatasaray 3 1 0 2 6 - 9 -3 3
24 LASK 3 1 0 2 6 - 9 -3 3
25 Sabah 3 1 0 2 3 - 6 -3 3
26 Feyenoord 3 1 0 2 4 - 8 -4 3
27 Lens 3 1 0 2 3 - 7 -4 3
28 Bodø / Glimt 3 1 0 2 4 - 9 -5 3
29 AEK Athens 3 1 0 2 3 - 8 -5 3
30 RB Leipzig 3 1 0 2 3 - 8 -5 3
31 Fenerbahçe 3 0 2 1 3 - 9 -6 2
32 Slavia Praha 3 0 1 2 4 - 7 -3 1
33 Viking 3 0 1 2 5 - 9 -4 1
34 Porto 3 0 0 3 2 - 6 -4 0
35 LOSC Lille 3 0 0 3 4 - 10 -6 0
36 Slovan Bratislava 3 0 0 3 1 - 13 -12 0

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for RB Leipzig in the Champions League?

The average xG for RB Leipzig in the Champions League this season is 1.53.

? How much is the average xG for Manchester City in the Champions League?

The average xG for Manchester City in the Champions League this season is 2.57.