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Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol prediction 23.04.2026 | La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Kick off:

Date:

Espanyol

Espanyol

1

2.19

X

3.25

2

3.96

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Thursday, 23rd April, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:00 UK / 20:00 CEST
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid)

Despite losing 3:1 to AEK in the last game, Rayo Vallecano secured the Conference League Semi-Finals on 5:3 aggregate. While waiting for their duel with Strasbourg, they will turn their attention to La Liga, where they desperately need points to avoid dropping into the relegation zone. We will be focused on their La Liga game against Espanyol, which currently sits in 10th place but are on a terrible 14-game winless streak. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this La Liga tie.

Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Espanyol

    1 : 0

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  2. Rayo Vallecano

    0 : 4

    Espanyol

    La Liga

  3. Espanyol

    2 : 1

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  4. Rayo Vallecano

    1 : 2

    Espanyol

    La Liga

  5. Espanyol

    0 : 2

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  6. Espanyol

    0 : 1

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

In the first H2H game this season, Espanyol won 1:0 in a very close game. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, Rayo Vallecano won six, while Espanyol secured four victories. 

Regarding the number of goals, four of the past five H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in three of them. 

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano team overview

Rayo Vallecano came to this year after a magnificent last season in La Liga, where they finished 8th! This year, they are not even remotely close to that. That is maybe the price of playing on multiple fronts and their success in the Conference League. In La Liga, they are in 13th place but only three points away from dropping down to 18th and the relegation zone. They are on very thin ice, but we still believe they are good enough not to get too involved in the relegation battle.

Florian Lejeune and Nobel Mendy will serve their one-game suspension due to yellow card accumulation. An additional problem for Rayo is that two important players (Luiz Felipe and Alvaro Garcia) suffered injuries in the previous game against AEK and will most likely miss the upcoming game. Moreover, Diego Mendez and Fran Perez should remain sidelined with their injuries. 

Last matches of Rayo Vallecano

  1. AEK Athens

    3 : 1

    Rayo Vallecano

    Europa Conference League

  2. Mallorca

    3 : 0

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  3. Rayo Vallecano

    3 : 0

    AEK Athens

    Europa Conference League

  4. Rayo Vallecano

    1 : 0

    Elche

    La Liga

  5. FC Barcelona

    1 : 0

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

Rayo Vallecano lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Augusto Batalla

Defenders

  • 2

    Andrei Rațiu

  • 24

    Florian Lejeune

  • 15

    Gerard Gumbau

  • 3

    Pep Chavarría

Midfielders

  • 17

    Unai López

  • 6

    Pathé Ciss

  • 23

    Óscar Valentín

  • 4

    Pedro Díaz

Forwards

  • 19

    Jorge de Frutos

  • 7

    Isi Palazón

Espanyol

Espanyol team overview

Espanyol have been amazing in the first part of the season, and it looked like they would easily secure Europe. Unfortunately, they failed to win in this calendar year and are currently on a 14-game winless streak. After 31 rounds, they sit in 10th place with 38 points. Even though that is not too bad, their current form is definitely a reason for concern. At the moment, they are a bit closer to Europe than to the relegation zone, but we highly doubt they can move up, and finishing around the middle of the table seems the most realistic. 

Midfielder Urko Gonzalez collected his fifth yellow card in the previous game and will serve his one-game suspension. However, that might be a good thing since he has been atrocious in recent matches. Moreover, Javi Puado will remain sidelined with his injury.

Last matches of Espanyol

  1. FC Barcelona

    4 : 1

    Espanyol

    La Liga

  2. Real Betis

    0 : 0

    Espanyol

    La Liga

  3. Espanyol

    1 : 2

    Getafe

    La Liga

  4. Mallorca

    2 : 1

    Espanyol

    La Liga

  5. Espanyol

    1 : 1

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

Espanyol lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Marko Dmitrovic

Defenders

  • 23

    Omar El Hilali

  • 5

    Fernando Calero

  • 6

    Leandro Cabrera

  • 22

    Carlos Romero

Midfielders

  • 10

    Pol Lozano

  • 8

    Edu Expósito

  • 14

    Ramón Terrats

Forwards

  • 16

    Cyril Ngonge

  • 19

    Kike García

  • 24

    Tyrhys Dolan

Prediction

Rayo Vallecano have struggled to score in recent matches, scoring one or zero goals in six of the past five games across competitions. They have generally struggled offensively in La Liga, scoring only 29 goals in 31 rounds. Only the last-placed Real Oviedo and Getafe have scored fewer goals than Rayo. Primarily due to their poor offense, Rayo Vallecano are the second-best team in the league for this bet, with 61% of their La Liga games going under 2.5 goals. 

Espanyol are in atrocious form, having failed to win in the past 14 games. In the recent five games, they have scored a total of four goals - a mere 0.8 goals per game. So, we do not expect a great offensive performance.

Additionally, the first H2H game finished with only one goal in a match without too many chances. Considering the previous HH2 game and both teams' offensive struggles, we believe that an under 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this La Liga tie.

3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. The first H2H game ended as a 1:0 win for Espanyol
  2. Rayo Vallecano went under 2.5 goals in 61% of their La Liga games
  3. Espanyol scored four goals in the past five games

Main prediction Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.77

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Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 31 26 1 4 84 - 30 +54 79
2 Real Madrid 32 23 4 5 67 - 30 +37 73
3 Villarreal 31 19 4 8 56 - 36 +20 61
4 Atlético Madrid 31 17 6 8 51 - 32 +19 57
5 Real Betis 32 12 13 7 48 - 40 +8 49
6 Celta de Vigo 31 11 11 9 44 - 40 +4 44
7 Real Sociedad 31 11 9 11 49 - 48 +1 42
8 Getafe 31 12 5 14 27 - 32 -5 41
9 Athletic Club 32 12 5 15 34 - 45 -11 41
10 Osasuna 32 10 9 13 37 - 39 -2 39
11 Espanyol 31 10 8 13 37 - 48 -11 38
12 Girona 32 9 11 12 35 - 48 -13 38
13 Valencia 32 9 9 14 35 - 47 -12 36
14 Mallorca 32 9 8 15 40 - 49 -9 35
15 Rayo Vallecano 31 8 11 12 29 - 38 -9 35
16 Sevilla 31 9 7 15 39 - 51 -12 34
17 Deportivo Alavés 32 8 9 15 36 - 48 -12 33
18 Elche 31 7 11 13 39 - 47 -8 32
19 Levante 31 7 8 16 35 - 50 -15 29
20 Real Oviedo 31 6 9 16 24 - 48 -24 27

Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Rayo Vallecano this season?

The average xG for Rayo Vallecano in La Liga this season is 1.52.

? How much is the average xG for Espanyol this season?

The average xG for Espanyol in the La Liga this season is 1.40.