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Burnley vs Manchester City prediction 22.04.2026 | English Premier League

Burnley

Burnley

Kick off:

Date:

Manchester City

Manchester City

1

19.50

X

9.75

2

1.16

  • Competition: English Premier League
  • Date: 22nd April, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Round 34 of the 2025/26 Premier League season brings a classic mismatch on paper as Burnley host title-chasing Manchester City at Turf Moor. With just a handful of games remaining, the stakes are dramatically different: Burnley are battling near the relegation zone, while City are pushing to overtake league leaders following a crucial win over Arsenal at the weekend.

Burnley vs Manchester City Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Manchester City

    5 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  2. Manchester City

    3 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  3. Burnley

    0 : 3

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  4. Manchester City

    6 : 0

    Burnley

    FA Cup

  5. Burnley

    0 : 2

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  6. Manchester City

    2 : 0

    Burnley

    Premier League

Recent head-to-head data heavily favors Manchester City. They have won 19 of the last 23 meetings, with Burnley managing just one victory in that span. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in a dominant 5-1 win for City, continuing a trend of high-margin victories. Crucially, Pep Guardiola’s side have beaten Burnley in the last three head-to-head meetings in the Premier League at Turf Moor.

Burnley

Burnley team overview

Burnley enter this fixture in 19th place with just 20 points from 33 matches, highlighting a campaign defined by inconsistency and defensive fragility. Things are looking particularly bleak for the Clarets, as they have endured a seven-game winless run in the league in recent weeks; worse still, they have suffered three consecutive league defeats since late March. Burnley’s last league win came away at Crystal Palace, more than two months ago.

From a squad perspective, Burnley are dealing with multiple absences. Key players such as Josh Cullen (cruciate ligament), Hannibal Mejbri (hamstring), and Benson (Achilles) are sidelined, significantly weakening both midfield balance and attacking transitions. Additional injuries across defense further disrupt continuity, which is problematic against a high-possession opponent like City.

Last matches of Burnley

  1. Nottingham Forest

    4 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  2. Burnley

    0 : 2

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  3. Fulham

    3 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  4. Burnley

    0 : 0

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  5. Everton

    2 : 0

    Burnley

    Premier League

Burnley lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Martin Dúbravka

Defenders

  • 2

    Kyle Walker

  • 18

    Hjalmar Ekdal

  • 5

    Maxime Estève

  • 3

    Quilindschy Hartman

Midfielders

  • 16

    Florentino Luís

  • 20

    James Ward-Prowse

  • 8

    Lesley Ugochukwu

  • 11

    Jaidon Anthony

  • 10

    Marcus Edwards

Forwards

  • 19

    Zian Flemming

Manchester City

Manchester City team overview

Manchester City come into this match in second place with 67 points after claiming a crucial 2-1 win over Arsenal at the weekend. Following this win, Pep Guardiola’s side are now firmly in contention to win the league title, cutting the gap at the top to just three points with a game in hand (vs Burnley). 

Three wins in their last four Premier League away fixtures also provide a major confidence boost for City heading into this game - the last time they came away empty-handed on the road was in the opening weeks of the new year, when they lost to Manchester United. Erling Haaland, now on 23 league goals, remains the focal point of their attack and continues to deliver in decisive moments.

In terms of availability, City also have defensive concerns. Rúben Dias is a major doubt due to an ankle injury, while Joško Gvardiol and John Stones are also sidelined. However, their squad depth - particularly in midfield and attack - allows them to maintain structural dominance even with rotations.

Last matches of Manchester City

  1. Manchester City

    2 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  2. Chelsea

    0 : 3

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  3. Manchester City

    4 : 0

    Liverpool

    FA Cup

  4. Arsenal

    0 : 2

    Manchester City

    Carabao Cup

  5. Manchester City

    1 : 2

    Real Madrid

    Champions League

Manchester City lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 27

    Matheus Nunes

  • 45

    Abdukodir Khusanov

  • 15

    Marc Guéhi

  • 33

    Nico O'Reilly

Midfielders

  • 20

    Bernardo Silva

  • 16

    Rodri

  • 10

    Rayan Cherki

Forwards

  • 42

    Antoine Semenyo

  • 11

    Jérémy Doku

  • 9

    Erling Haaland

Prediction

Burnley’s defensive vulnerabilities - especially against high-quality positional attacks - are likely to be exposed, while City’s scoring reliability should translate into multiple goals. Given City’s motivation in the title race, intensity levels are expected to remain high, while Burnley’s struggles to score against top-level opposition are likely to continue.

Prediction: Both Teams to Score - NO.

Three reasons we expect BTTS - NO

  1. Burnley have failed to score in three of their last four Premier League home matches.
  2. Burnley have failed to score in three consecutive home matches vs Manchester City at Turf Moor.
  3. Manchester City have kept a clean sheet in two of their last three Premier League away games.

Main prediction Burnley - Manchester City

Both Teams to Score - NO

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

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Burnley vs Manchester City standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 33 21 7 5 63 - 26 +37 70
2 Manchester City 32 20 7 5 65 - 29 +36 67
3 Manchester United 33 16 10 7 58 - 45 +13 58
4 Aston Villa 33 17 7 9 47 - 41 +6 58
5 Liverpool 33 16 7 10 54 - 43 +11 55
6 Chelsea 33 13 9 11 53 - 42 +11 48
7 Brentford 33 13 9 11 48 - 44 +4 48
8 AFC Bournemouth 33 11 15 7 50 - 50 0 48
9 Brighton & Hove Albion 33 12 11 10 45 - 39 +6 47
10 Everton 33 13 8 12 40 - 39 +1 47
11 Sunderland 33 12 10 11 36 - 40 -4 46
12 Fulham 33 13 6 14 43 - 46 -3 45
13 Crystal Palace 32 11 10 11 35 - 36 -1 43
14 Newcastle United 33 12 6 15 46 - 49 -3 42
15 Leeds United 33 9 12 12 42 - 49 -7 39
16 Nottingham Forest 33 9 9 15 36 - 45 -9 36
17 West Ham United 33 8 9 16 40 - 57 -17 33
18 Tottenham Hotspur 33 7 10 16 42 - 53 -11 31
19 Burnley 33 4 8 21 34 - 67 -33 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 33 3 8 22 24 - 61 -37 17

Burnley vs Manchester City – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Burnley take on Manchester City on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Burnley have won in the English Premier League 2025/26?

3.7

? What is the average number of corners Manchester City have won in the English Premier League 2025/26?

5.9