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Poland vs Romania prediction 02.10.2026 | Nations League

Poland

Poland

Kick off:

Date:

Romania

Romania

1

1.57

X

4.35

2

6.12

  • Competition: Nations League - League B
  • Date: Friday, 2nd October 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: PGE Narodowy (Warsaw)

Two teams in danger of relegation from League B, Poland and Romania, will meet on Friday night in another intriguing Nations League tie. Neither side has impressed so far, and the upcoming clash offers a chance to get back on track and separate themselves in the standings. Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Poland vs Romania Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Poland

    3 : 1

    Romania

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Romania

    0 : 3

    Poland

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Poland

    0 : 1

    Romania

    Friendly International

Poland are usually doing well against their next opponents, winning the last three H2H matches. The previous meeting was nine years ago, when the hosts triumphed 3-1 in Warsaw. Also, it is worth mentioning that the previous three H2H games between Poland and Romania featured at least three goals. 

Poland

Poland team overview

It seems that Poland is in decline. After four campaigns in the Nations League - League A, regular participation in EUROs, and occasional trips to World Cups, Poland is not far from relegation to League C. Jan Urban's team lost in the World Cup qualifiers in March, and since then they haven't won. Currently, Poland are winless in the last five matches, across all competitions. At the start of the Nations League, Urban's team drew 0-0 at home with Bosnia and Herzegovina, while three days later, Poland lost 3-1 on the road against Sweden.

After Poland's defeat in the previous match, the head coach Jan Urban was realistic about the problems they faced. He stated, "We lost 1-3 to a very good team. It wasn't that we couldn't shoot, but that we were forced into a deep defensive position and were completely helpless. We had our chances, scored a goal, and could have made much more of the chances we created. We didn't."

Poland have significant problems with missing players. Jakub Kaminski suffered an injury against Bosnia and Herzegovina, and after skipping the game against Sweden, he left the national team and returned to Benfica. Besides the left winger, Poland are also missing Kamil Grabara, Filip Rozga, Adrian Benedyczak, and Bartlomiej Dragowski.

Last matches of Poland

  1. Sweden

    3 : 1

    Poland

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Poland

    0 : 0

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Poland

    2 : 2

    Nigeria

    Friendly International

  4. Poland

    0 : 2

    Ukraine

    Friendly International

  5. Sweden

    3 : 2

    Poland

    WC Qualification Europe

Poland lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Marcin Bulka

Defenders

  • 3

    Przemyslaw Wisniewski

  • 5

    Jan Bednarek

  • 14

    Jakub Kiwior

Midfielders

  • 2

    Matty Cash

  • 10

    Piotr Zielinski

  • 16

    Wiktor Nowak

  • 15

    Tymoteusz Puchacz

Forwards

  • 20

    Sebastian Szymanski

  • 13

    Mateusz Zukowski

  • 21

    Nicola Zalewski

Romania

Romania team overview

Romania also have too many problems. They constantly move between League B and C, and at major tournaments, Romania are far from consistent. Gheorghe Hagi's team won only once in the last six matches. They are again in danger of relegation with two defeats in the first two Nations League rounds. In the first match, Romania lost 2-1 in Sweden, and a few days later, Hagi's team lost 4-2 in Bucharest to Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Romania's head coach, Gheorghe Hagi, was disappointed after a defeat against Bosnia and Herzegovina. He commented, "I was confident that we would play a good game; we wanted to win. We had two days to prepare, but Bosnia showed us a lesson tonight. They looked like a team that was at the World Cup, with courage in the game. Starting with me, unfortunately, we didn't pass the exam. It's painful, but that's football, and I think that's all we could do."

Romania also have some problems with missing players. Denis Dragus and Florinel Coman are out for all four national team matches during this international break, while Dennis Man is questionable for the upcoming tie in Warsaw.

Last matches of Romania

  1. Romania

    2 : 4

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Sweden

    2 : 1

    Romania

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Romania

    2 : 1

    Wales

    Friendly International

  4. Georgia

    1 : 1

    Romania

    Friendly International

  5. Slovakia

    2 : 0

    Romania

    Friendly International

Romania lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Ionut Radu

Defenders

  • 5

    Virgil Ghita

  • 4

    Andrei Coubis

  • 3

    Radu Dragusin

Midfielders

  • 2

    Andrei Ratiu

  • 18

    Razvan Marin

  • 14

    Ianis Hagi

  • 6

    Tudor Baluta

  • 11

    Nicusor Bancu

Forwards

  • 19

    Florin Tanase

  • 9

    Louis Munteanu

Prediction

Both teams have terrible defenses. Poland conceded ten goals in the last five matches, while Romania allowed at least one goal in the previous eight games. With both teams struggling at the back, we are likely to see goals on both sides on Friday night. 

4 Reasons why we should expect goals on both sides

  1. Poland scored at least one goal in 18 of the last 20 matches
  2. Poland conceded at least one goal in seven of the previous eight games
  3. Romania scored in the last four matches
  4. Romania allowed goals in the previous eight games

Main prediction Poland - Romania

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

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1.84

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Poland vs Romania standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 4 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Sweden 2 2 0 0 5 - 2 +3 6
2 Bosnia and Herzegovina 2 1 1 0 4 - 2 +2 4
3 Poland 2 0 1 1 1 - 3 -2 1
4 Romania 2 0 0 2 3 - 6 -3 0

Poland vs Romania – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Poland in the Nations League?

The average xG for Poland in the Nations League is 1.85.

? How much is the average xG for Romania in the Nations League?

The average xG for Romania in the Nations League is 1.15.