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Wales vs Norway prediction 01.10.2026 | Nations League

Wales

Wales

Kick off:

Date:

Norway

Norway

1

6.50

X

4.50

2

1.50

  • Competition: Nations League
  • Date: 1st October 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff is ready to rock. Wales welcomes Norway in a massive Group D showdown. It’s been 15 years since they last met. Fifteen! I still vividly remember that 4-1 Wales masterclass in 2011 when Bale was just unplayable. Now, a new generation takes center stage. The Dragons love a raucous home crowd and will rely on intense, high-pressing energy to disrupt the visitors. Meanwhile, Norway brings devastating attacking power that can punish any tiny mistake in a heartbeat. Expect pure, unadulterated drama. Let's dig into the best bets.

Wales vs Norway Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Wales

    4 : 1

    Norway

    Friendly International

  2. Wales

    3 : 0

    Norway

    Friendly International

Norway holds a slight edge here. Four wins from eleven matches. Wales trails closely with three victories. It's always incredibly tight. Honestly, that 4-1 Wales masterclass back in 2011 was an absolute clinic. Pure entertainment. These physical clashes average a robust 2.64 goals per game.

Wales

Wales team overview

Wales prepares for this one on the back of a tough spell. The Dragons are desperately seeking their footing after failing to reach Euro 2024 and crashing out of their opening fixtures.

Craig Bellamy’s men have run into a brutal wall, losing both of their matches so far against Portugal and Denmark. They sit rock-bottom of Group A4.

Thankfully, their home form remains an absolute saving grace. They have suffered just one defeat in ten competitive home matches, racking up five wins and three clean sheets along the way.

To spark something new, teenage forward Lewis Koumas has earned crucial senior minutes to inject some dynamic pace into their sputtering attack.

Unfortunately, things are complicated with defensive cornerstone Joe Rodon missing from the squad due to a nagging hamstring injury. I honestly believe their formidable record on home soil gives them a fighting chance to stymie the visitors.

Last matches of Wales

  1. Denmark

    2 : 0

    Wales

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Portugal

    1 : 0

    Wales

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Romania

    2 : 1

    Wales

    Friendly International

  4. Wales

    1 : 1

    Ghana

    Friendly International

  5. Wales

    1 : 1

    Northern Ireland

    Friendly International

Wales lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Danny Ward

Defenders

  • 14

    Connor Roberts

  • 2

    Chris Mepham

  • 4

    Ben Davies

  • 3

    Neco Williams

Midfielders

  • 11

    Brennan Johnson

  • 7

    Charlie Savage

  • 5

    Ethan Ampadu

Forwards

  • 19

    Sorba Thomas

  • 20

    Daniel James

  • 13

    Kieffer Moore

Norway

Norway team overview

Norway enters this one looking to recapture their blistering summer magic. Løvene are eager to steady the ship after bouncing back and forth with a 3-2 victory over Denmark and a tight 2-1 defeat to Portugal.

Ståle Solbakken’s men structurally turned heads at the 2026 World Cup by storming all the way to the quarter-finals, a stellar tournament run that perfectly set up their return to League A.

Now, they take their talents on the road. Norway are currently boasting an incredible five match winning run when playing away from home in competitive matches, spanning back through their perfect World Cup qualifying campaign.

To keep that momentum rolling, talisman Erling Haaland continues to be a cheat code up top, racking up another vital goal against Portugal to build on his immense international tally.

Last matches of Norway

  1. Norway

    1 : 2

    Portugal

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Norway

    3 : 2

    Denmark

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Norway

    0 : 1

    England

    World Cup

  4. Brazil

    1 : 2

    Norway

    World Cup

  5. Ivory Coast

    1 : 2

    Norway

    World Cup

Norway lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Ørjan Nyland

Defenders

  • 14

    Julian Ryerson

  • 3

    Kristoffer Ajer

  • 17

    Torbjørn Heggem

  • 7

    Fredrik Aursnes

Midfielders

  • 10

    Martin Ødegaard

  • 8

    Sander Berge

  • 6

    Patrick Berg

Forwards

  • 20

    Antonio Nusa

  • 9

    Erling Haaland

  • 21

    Andreas Schjelderup

Prediction

Cardiff will be loud, but Norway's firepower is just too scary right now. I don't see Wales keeping them quiet. With Erling Haaland in this kind of ruthless mood, the visitors will hunt for blood early. Wales always fights hard at home and should grab a consolation goal, but their depleted defense won't survive. Honestly, a 3-1 Norway win feels spot on. It's going to be a thrilling, high-scoring beatdown.

Four reasons we expect over 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Norway kept just one clean sheet in their last 15 games across all competitions.
  2. Wales finished only one of their last eleven games without conceding.
  3. Five of the last six competitive home games of Wales produced 3+ goals.
  4. Bets on over 2.5 goals won in all the last eight games of Norway.

Main prediction Wales - Norway

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.53

Bet here

Wales vs Norway standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 4 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Portugal 2 2 0 0 3 - 1 +2 6
2 Norway 2 1 0 1 4 - 4 0 3
3 Denmark 2 1 0 1 4 - 3 +1 3
4 Wales 2 0 0 2 0 - 3 -3 0

Wales vs Norway – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Thursday’s Nations League encounter.

? How many corners do Norway win on average per game on the road?

Around 6.00 per away match, which remains a strong attacking indicator for the visitors.

? What about bookings for Craig Bellamy’s side at home?

About 2.25 yellow cards on average in their home games.