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Germany vs Serbia prediction 01.10.2026 | Nations League

Germany

Germany

Kick off:

Date:

Serbia

Serbia

1

1.26

X

5.80

2

10.00

  • Competition: UEFA Nations League A
  • Date: Thursday, 1st October, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Allianz Arena (Munich)

On Thursday evening, two teams that started the UEFA Nations League campaigns poorly, Germany and Serbia, will face off against each other. The hosts earned one point in their duels against Greece and the Netherlands, while Serbia lost both games to the same opponents. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this UEFA Nations League tie.

Germany vs Serbia Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Germany

    1 : 1

    Serbia

    Friendly International

  2. Germany

    0 : 1

    Serbia

    World Cup

  3. Germany

    2 : 1

    Serbia

    Friendly International

These teams last met in a friendly match in 2019 when the game ended in a 1:1 draw. In total, these teams met three times throughout their history, with each team winning once. 

When it comes to the number of goals, only one of those three h2h games ended with three or more goals. Meanwhile, both teams scored in two out of three h2h games.

Germany

Germany team overview

Germany had another poor World Cup, exiting in the 1/16 Finals after losing to Paraguay 2:1. After another bad WC campaign, NT turned a new page by appointing Liverpool legend Jurgen Klopp. However, the new era under the famous coach started terribly as they won one point in the first two games against the Netherlands and Greece. Now, they are under pressure to win points, and Serbia looks like a perfect opponent to grab a much-needed win. 

Jamal Musiala and Kai Havertz, who were originally called to the national team, are ruled out with injuries and have already missed the game against Greece. Both will miss the upcoming game.

After a 1:0 loss to Greece, coach Jurgen Klopp spoke to the media. He wasn't too worried, saying it's part of the process and that he is completely unbothered. The coach said they failed to break the opposition's low block but also noted they cannot lose games like that.

Last matches of Germany

  1. Germany

    0 : 1

    Greece

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Netherlands

    1 : 1

    Germany

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Germany

    3 : 4

    Paraguay

    World Cup

  4. Ecuador

    2 : 1

    Germany

    World Cup

  5. Germany

    2 : 1

    Ivory Coast

    World Cup

Germany lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 21

    Alexander Nübel

Defenders

  • 14

    Josha Vagnoman

  • 4

    Jonathan Tah

  • 2

    Yann Bisseck

  • 18

    Nathaniel Brown

Midfielders

  • 8

    Felix Nmecha

  • 17

    Florian Wirtz

  • 6

    Joshua Kimmich

Forwards

  • 19

    Karim Adeyemi

  • 23

    Younes Ebnoutalib

  • 9

    Kevin Schade

Serbia

Serbia team overview

Serbia made a coaching change mid-Qualifiers but still failed to reach the World Cup. Unfortunately, they had very little success under coach Veljko Paunovic since his appointment across competitions, losing six out of nine games, with their only positive results coming against poor teams. 

In the UEFA Nations League, they lost to Greece and the Netherlands 2:1, while looking pretty bad in the process. For many football pundits, this Serbia squad is simply not good enough to compete with teams in UEFA Nations League A, with many calling this generation one of the weakest in a long time. 

Three key players are missing from the squad due to injuries - Aleksandar Mitrovic, Dusan Vlahovic, and Nikola Milenkovic. That is a massive blow for an already struggling Serbia side.

Last matches of Serbia

  1. Serbia

    1 : 2

    Netherlands

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Serbia

    1 : 2

    Greece

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Mexico

    5 : 1

    Serbia

    Friendly International

  4. Cape Verde Islands

    3 : 0

    Serbia

    Friendly International

  5. Serbia

    2 : 1

    Saudi Arabia

    Friendly International

Serbia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Vanja Milinković-Savić

Defenders

  • 2

    Kosta Nedeljkovic

  • 15

    Srdjan Babic

  • 3

    Strahinja Pavlović

  • 6

    Nemanja Gudelj

  • 17

    Aleksa Terzić

Midfielders

  • 14

    Andrija Zivkovic

  • 22

    Saša Lukić

  • 7

    Aleksandar Stanković

  • 20

    Sergej Milinković-Savić

Forwards

  • 8

    Luka Jović

Prediction

Germany started the competition poorly, winning one point in the first two games against Greece and the Netherlands. However, we can safely say they deserved more, especially in their 1:0 loss to Greece, but were unlucky. Also, even though they haven't had a great World Cup, they weren't as bad as many people say. Also, looking at the period before the WC, they won nine in a row, beating good teams like Switzerland, USA, Ghana, Slovakia, etc...

On the other hand, Serbia lost four in a row, while allowing 12 goals! Moreover, they lost eight of the past 11 games, with 2+ goals in five of those. Also, away from home, Serbia plays much worse than at home. Looking at the last 11 road games, they won only against Andorra and Latvia.

Considering all the above, we believe that Germany should secure a comfortable home win over Serbia in this UEFA Nations League tie.

3 Reasons why Germany should win and cover the -1.5 AH spread

  1. Germany won five of the past six home games
  2. Serbia lost both UEFA Nations League games
  3. Serbia lost four in a row, while allowing 12 goals

Main prediction Germany - Serbia

AH1 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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1.82

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Germany vs Serbia standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 2 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Greece 2 2 0 0 3 - 1 +2 6
2 Netherlands 2 1 1 0 3 - 2 +1 4
3 Germany 2 0 1 1 1 - 2 -1 1
4 Serbia 2 0 0 2 2 - 4 -2 0

Germany vs Serbia – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? Who could be the goalscorer for Germany?

Kevin Schade, who scored three goals in six appearances for Brentford. 

? Who could be the goalscorer for Serbia?

Luka Jovic, who scored a goal in the previous game against the Netherlands.