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Denmark vs Portugal prediction 01.10.2026 | UEFA Nations League

Denmark

Denmark

Kick off:

Date:

Portugal

Portugal

1

3.60

X

3.45

2

1.98

  • Competition: UEFA Nations League
  • Date: 1st October, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Parken Stadium

Denmark take on Portugal in Copenhagen on Thursday for the third round of UEFA Nations League League A Group 4. Portugal lead the group with six points after two wins, while Denmark sit on three points following a win over Wales and an opening-day defeat to Norway.

Denmark vs Portugal Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Portugal

    2 : 0

    Denmark

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Denmark

    1 : 0

    Portugal

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Portugal

    1 : 0

    Denmark

    Euro Qualification

  4. Denmark

    0 : 1

    Portugal

    Euro Qualification

  5. Denmark

    2 : 3

    Portugal

    European Championship

  6. Denmark

    2 : 1

    Portugal

    Euro Qualification

Their most recent competitive meeting was the 2025 Nations League quarter-final. Denmark won the first leg 1-0, but Portugal responded with a 5-2 extra-time victory in Lisbon to advance 5-3 on aggregate. That tie showed Denmark can frustrate Portugal, though the Portuguese side’s depth and attacking quality ultimately proved decisive. Other than that, it has been 15 years since Denmark last beat Portugal on home soil: the Danes won 2-1 during the EURO 2012 qualifying campaign.

Denmark

Denmark team overview

Brian Riemer’s side have shown resilience after losing 3-2 away to Norway: they controlled much of the Wales match and won 2-0. Denmark recorded 20 shots and 62% possession in that game, suggesting they can create sustained pressure at home. Rasmus Højlund gives Denmark a direct threat up front, while Morten Hjulmand anchors the midfield. The team can also create chances from several positions, as shown by the four goals they have scored in this Nations League campaign.

The main concern is Patrick Dorgu. The wing-back went off injured against Wales, and coach Riemer said he had to leave the squad; Denmark are expected to call up a replacement. His absence would remove an energetic option on the flank.

Last matches of Denmark

  1. Denmark

    2 : 0

    Wales

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Norway

    3 : 2

    Denmark

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Congo DR

    0 : 0

    Denmark

    Friendly International

  4. Czech Republic

    3 : 1

    Denmark

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Denmark

    4 : 0

    North Macedonia

    WC Qualification Europe

Denmark lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Filip Jørgensen

Defenders

  • 13

    Rasmus Kristensen

  • 2

    Joachim Andersen

  • 3

    Oliver Provstgaard

  • 5

    Joakim Mæhle

Midfielders

  • 23

    Pierre-Emile Højbjerg

  • 21

    Morten Hjulmand

  • 14

    Mikkel Damsgaard

Forwards

  • 20

    Mohamed Daramy

  • 8

    Gustav Isaksen

  • 9

    Rasmus Højlund

Portugal

Portugal team overview

Jorge Jesus’s Portugal have started with two wins, both featuring a goal from João Félix. They beat Wales 1-0, then defeated Norway 2-1 in Oslo, with Gonçalo Ramos scoring the winner, although the hosts dominated throughout the majority of the match. Against Norway, Portugal had only 38% possession and nine shots to the hosts’ 20, but defended under pressure and made their chances count.

Bruno Fernandes missed the Norway match with a physical issue, but Portuguese reports say he returned to full training on Monday and was available for selection against Denmark. His status and readiness remain worth monitoring. Cristiano Ronaldo, who was an unused substitute in Oslo, is another possible change to the attack.

Last matches of Portugal

  1. Norway

    1 : 2

    Portugal

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Portugal

    1 : 0

    Wales

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Portugal

    0 : 1

    Spain

    World Cup

  4. Portugal

    5 : 0

    Uzbekistan

    World Cup

  5. Portugal

    1 : 1

    Congo DR

    World Cup

Portugal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Diogo Costa

Defenders

  • 20

    João Cancelo

  • 3

    Rúben Dias

  • 13

    Renato Veiga

  • 19

    Nuno Mendes

Midfielders

  • 6

    João Palhinha

  • 15

    João Neves

  • 18

    Pedro Neto

  • 14

    Francisco Conceição

Forwards

  • 11

    João Félix

  • 9

    Gonçalo Ramos

Prediction

Parken venue should make this a close contest, and Denmark’s pressure and home support could trouble Portugal. But Portugal have started the group perfectly and showed they can win without dominating possession, as they did against Norway on Sunday.

Prediction: Portugal to Win.

Three reasons we expect Portugal to Win

  1. Portugal’s excellent start, with two wins from two, makes them favourites. 
  2. Denmark can be vulnerable at the back, as Norway’s 3-2 win in Round 1 showed.
  3. Portugal have also dominated this fixture in recent years, although Denmark have occasionally managed to win.

Main prediction Denmark - Portugal

Portugal to win

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

Best Odds:

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2.09

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Denmark vs Portugal standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 4 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Portugal 2 2 0 0 3 - 1 +2 6
2 Norway 2 1 0 1 4 - 4 0 3
3 Denmark 2 1 0 1 4 - 3 +1 3
4 Wales 2 0 0 2 0 - 3 -3 0

Denmark vs Portugal – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Denmark take on Portugal on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Denmark have won in the UEFA Nations League 2026/27?

4.5

? What is the average number of corners Portugal have won in the UEFA Nations League 2026/27?

6.0