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Greece vs Netherlands prediction 01.10.2026 | Nations League

Greece

Greece

Kick off:

Date:

Netherlands

Netherlands

1

3.60

X

3.40

2

2.00

  • Competition: Nations League - League A
  • Date: Thursday, 1st October 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki)

One of the most intriguing Nations League matches this week will be between Greece and the Netherlands. Both teams have played well so far, but one bad result could keep them out of the knockout phase. Can the Netherlands take points from Thessaloniki? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Greece vs Netherlands Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Greece

    0 : 1

    Netherlands

    Euro Qualification

  2. Netherlands

    3 : 0

    Greece

    Euro Qualification

  3. Netherlands

    1 : 2

    Greece

    Friendly International

Netherlands are usually dominant against their next opponent, having won six of the last seven H2H matches, while Greece triumphed only once. The previous meeting was three years ago in the EURO qualifications, when Oranje won 1-0 in Athens. 

Greece

Greece team overview

Greece haven't had a significant result since their shocking EURO title in 2004. They even failed to qualify for the last six major tournaments, but it seems Greece now has a generation that could bring glory to the national team. After another unimpressive World Cup qualifying campaign, Ivan Jovanovic's team also struggled in the 2026 friendlies. However, at the start of the Nations League, they secured six points in their first two matches, and the knockout phase now feels closer. In the opening round, Greece beat Serbia 2-1, while three days later, they stunned Germany in Augsburg with a narrow 1-0 victory.

Greece's head coach, Ivan Jovanovic, was very impressed with a victory against Germany. He commented, "I would give the players the highest possible marks for everything — both for their ability to suffer when necessary and for their ability to change things during the game, to take something that wasn't working well and make it much better, regardless of the opponent. We mustn't forget that we were playing against a very strong team."

Georgios Vagiannidis suffered an injury in the previous round, and he is doubtful for the upcoming tie in Thessaloniki. Ivan Jovanovic even called up Panathinaikos' Triantafyllos Tsapras as a replacement. Charalampos Kostoulas missed the previous round due to a minor injury, but reports say he should be ready for the game against the Netherlands.

Last matches of Greece

  1. Germany

    0 : 1

    Greece

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Serbia

    1 : 2

    Greece

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Greece

    0 : 1

    Italy

    Friendly International

  4. Sweden

    2 : 2

    Greece

    Friendly International

  5. Hungary

    0 : 0

    Greece

    Friendly International

Greece lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Konstantinos Tzolakis

Defenders

  • 17

    Manolis Saliakis

  • 5

    Panagiotis Retsos

  • 4

    Konstantinos Mavropanos

  • 21

    Konstantinos Tsimikas

Midfielders

  • 19

    Konstantinos Karetsas

  • 15

    Athanasios Androutsos

  • 20

    Christos Zafeiris

  • 10

    Christos Tzolis

Forwards

  • 11

    Charalampos Kostoulas

  • 14

    Vangelis Pavlidis

Netherlands

Netherlands team overview

Netherlands are one of the best European teams. However, at the previous World Cup, they lost in the 1/32 final to Morocco and are now hoping to get back on track with a strong result in the Nations League. In the opening round, the Netherlands played 1-1 at home against Germany, while a few days later, they beat Serbia 2-1 in Belgrade. In both matches, Xavi's team was better, and they probably deserved all six points after two rounds.

After a victory against Serbia, Netherlands' head coach, Xavi, was satisfied with three points, but also with his first week with the team. He stated, "It is always the most important thing to get the three points. I am happy that we managed that. But we do need to start playing better, because especially in the first half, we didn't do well in terms of pressing. Still, I am very satisfied after a week of work."

Cody Gakpo suffered an injury against Serbia and will miss the next two matches for the national team. In his absence, Ruben van Bommel, who was excellent as a substitute in the previous round, should get a chance in the starting lineup on Thursday night.

Last matches of Netherlands

  1. Serbia

    1 : 2

    Netherlands

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Netherlands

    1 : 1

    Germany

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Netherlands

    2 : 3

    Morocco

    World Cup

  4. Netherlands

    5 : 1

    Sweden

    World Cup

  5. Netherlands

    2 : 2

    Japan

    World Cup

Netherlands lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Bart Verbruggen

Defenders

  • 22

    Denzel Dumfries

  • 4

    Virgil van Dijk

  • 6

    Jan Paul van Hecke

  • 15

    Micky van de Ven

Midfielders

  • 18

    Joey Veerman

  • 8

    Ryan Gravenberch

  • 14

    Tijjani Reijnders

Forwards

  • 7

    Crysencio Summerville

  • 17

    Mexx Meerdink

  • 21

    Ruben van Bommel

Prediction

Both teams are scoring goals pretty regularly. Greece scored at least one goal in three of the last four matches, while the Netherlands found the net in the previous seven consecutive games. We should expect both teams to score on Thursday night in Thessaloniki. 

3 Reasons why we should expect both teams to score in this match

  1. Greece scored at least one goal in three of the last four matches
  2. Netherlands scored in the previous seven games in a row
  3. Netherlands conceded at least one goal in every one of the last ten matches

Main prediction Greece - Netherlands

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.57

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Greece vs Netherlands standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 2 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Greece 2 2 0 0 3 - 1 +2 6
2 Netherlands 2 1 1 0 3 - 2 +1 4
3 Germany 2 0 1 1 1 - 2 -1 1
4 Serbia 2 0 0 2 2 - 4 -2 0

Greece vs Netherlands – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Greece in the Nations League?

The average xG for Greece in the Nations League is 1.26.

? How much is the average xG for the Netherlands in the Nations League?

The average xG for the Netherlands in the Nations League is 2.54.