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Guinea vs Kenya prediction 01.10.2026 | Africa Cup of Nations

Guinea

Guinea

Kick off:

Date:

Kenya

Kenya

1

1.72

X

3.12

2

5.60

  • Competition: Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers
  • Date: Thursday, 1st October, 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CET
  • Venue: Stade 28 Septembre (Conakry)

The second game of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers brings us the duel between Guinea and Kenya. The hosts suffered a 2:1 loss against South Africa in the first game, while Kenya secured a point against Eritrea in the final moments of their first game.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this AFCON Qualifiers tie.

Guinea vs Kenya Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Kenya

    2 : 0

    Guinea

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

  2. Guinea

    1 : 0

    Kenya

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

  3. Kenya

    2 : 1

    Guinea

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

These teams last met in 2008 in the World Cup Qualifiers, with both teams winning their home games - Guinea 3:2 and Kenya 2:0. In total, these teams met eight times, with each team winning four times.

When it comes to the number of goals, four of those eight h2h games ended with three or more goals. Meanwhile, both teams scored in three of those. 

Guinea

Guinea team overview

Guinea are still waiting for their first World Cup appearance. They did fairly well in the previous Qualifiers, finishing 4th with 15 points - three points away from having a chance as one of the best second-placed teams in the Qualifiers. 

They also had a rough period in the previous AFCON Qualifiers, failing to secure the main phase of the tournament after three consecutive appearances. Looking at their squad, we firmly believe they have to at least appear in the AFCON, and we would be shocked if they failed to secure one of the top two spots in Group D. However, after losing the first game, they are now in a must-win situation. 

Last matches of Guinea

  1. South Africa

    2 : 1

    Guinea

    Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

  2. Northern Ireland

    1 : 0

    Guinea

    Friendly International

  3. Guinea

    0 : 1

    Benin

    Friendly International

  4. Togo

    2 : 2

    Guinea

    Friendly International

  5. Niger

    1 : 1

    Guinea

    Friendly International

Guinea lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Soumaïla Sylla

Defenders

  • 6

    Ibrahima Fofana

  • 4

    Saïdou Sow

  • 3

    Aboubacar Keita

  • 21

    Sekou Sylla

Midfielders

  • 15

    Seydouba Cissé

  • 12

    Lass Kourouma

  • 7

    Ilaix Moriba

Forwards

  • 10

    Aliou Baldé

  • 9

    Serhou Guirassy

  • 8

    Abdoul Karim Traoré

Kenya

Kenya team overview

Kenya are #109 on the FIFA World Ranking List and a team that hasn't appeared in the previous three competitions. They are generally not among the teams that often qualify for the main phase, only having seven appearances in 37 tournaments. However, this time, even though they are playing in the Qualifiers, they automatically secured the main phase as one of the co-hosts, regardless of the results. 

In the first game of the AFCON Qualifiers, Kenya barely secured a draw with a late equalizer against Eritrea. After the game, coach Benni McCarthy spoke to the media. He was satisfied with the performance, saying he doesn't have a single complaint despite securing only a draw. The coach said they had enough chances and were by far the better team. 

Last matches of Kenya

  1. Kenya

    1 : 1

    Eritrea

    Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

  2. Kenya

    4 : 0

    Lesotho

    Friendly International

  3. Lesotho

    1 : 1

    Kenya

    Friendly International

  4. Grenada

    0 : 3

    Kenya

    Friendly International

  5. Kenya

    1 : 1

    Estonia

    Friendly International

Kenya lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Bryne Odhiambo

Defenders

  • 16

    Ronney Onyango

  • 2

    Haniff Wesonga

  • 5

    Frank Odhiambo

  • 3

    Abud Omar

Midfielders

  • 10

    Timothy Ouma

  • 20

    Manzur Okwaro

  • 8

    Duke Abuya

Forwards

  • 22

    Micah Obiero

  • 15

    Ryan Ogam

  • 19

    Job Ochieng

Prediction

Guinea lost the first game of the Qualifiers, losing 2:1 to South Africa. They also haven't had a win in the past five games across competitions. So, expecting a 2-goal difference win against anyone at this moment seems pretty unrealistic.

On the other hand, Kenya haven't had a loss in the past five games. Yes, those were mostly against poor teams, but it is still a solid unbeaten run before the upcoming game against Guinea. 

Also, in the previous four h2h games, each team had two wins, while Guinea failed to win by a 2-goal margin in both of their wins. Considering all the above, we believe we will see a much closer game than the current odds suggest. Therefore, Kenya to cover the +1 AH spread seems like the best possible bet for this AFCON Qualifiers tie.

3 Reasons why Kenya should cover the +1 AH spread

  1. Guinea lost the last three games
  2. Guinea failed to win in the past five games
  3. Kenya are on a five-game unbeaten run

Main prediction Guinea - Kenya

AH2 (+1)

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.51

Bet here

Guinea vs Kenya standings in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

Group D P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 South Africa 1 1 0 0 2 - 1 +1 3
2 Eritrea 1 0 1 0 1 - 1 0 1
3 Kenya 1 0 1 0 1 - 1 0 1
4 Guinea 1 0 0 1 1 - 2 -1 0

Guinea vs Kenya – FAQ

? Who could be the goalscorer for Guinea?

Serhou Guirassy, who scored four goals in six appearances for Borussia Dortmund this season.

? Who could be the goalscorer for Kenya?

Ryan Ogam, who scored a goal in the previous game against Eritrea.