Contents
- Competition: Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers
- Date: Thursday, 1st October, 2026
- Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CET
- Venue: Stade 28 Septembre (Conakry)
The second game of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers brings us the duel between Guinea and Kenya. The hosts suffered a 2:1 loss against South Africa in the first game, while Kenya secured a point against Eritrea in the final moments of their first game.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this AFCON Qualifiers tie.
Guinea vs Kenya Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Kenya
2 : 0
Guinea
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
-
Guinea
1 : 0
Kenya
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
-
Kenya
2 : 1
Guinea
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
These teams last met in 2008 in the World Cup Qualifiers, with both teams winning their home games - Guinea 3:2 and Kenya 2:0. In total, these teams met eight times, with each team winning four times.
When it comes to the number of goals, four of those eight h2h games ended with three or more goals. Meanwhile, both teams scored in three of those.
Guinea team overview
Guinea are still waiting for their first World Cup appearance. They did fairly well in the previous Qualifiers, finishing 4th with 15 points - three points away from having a chance as one of the best second-placed teams in the Qualifiers.
They also had a rough period in the previous AFCON Qualifiers, failing to secure the main phase of the tournament after three consecutive appearances. Looking at their squad, we firmly believe they have to at least appear in the AFCON, and we would be shocked if they failed to secure one of the top two spots in Group D. However, after losing the first game, they are now in a must-win situation.
Last matches of Guinea
-
South Africa
2 : 1
Guinea
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
-
Northern Ireland
1 : 0
Guinea
Friendly International
-
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
Friendly International
-
Togo
2 : 2
Guinea
Friendly International
-
Niger
1 : 1
Guinea
Friendly International
Guinea lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Soumaïla Sylla
Defenders
-
6
Ibrahima Fofana
-
4
Saïdou Sow
-
3
Aboubacar Keita
-
21
Sekou Sylla
Midfielders
-
15
Seydouba Cissé
-
12
Lass Kourouma
-
7
Ilaix Moriba
Forwards
-
10
Aliou Baldé
-
9
Serhou Guirassy
-
8
Abdoul Karim Traoré
Kenya team overview
Kenya are #109 on the FIFA World Ranking List and a team that hasn't appeared in the previous three competitions. They are generally not among the teams that often qualify for the main phase, only having seven appearances in 37 tournaments. However, this time, even though they are playing in the Qualifiers, they automatically secured the main phase as one of the co-hosts, regardless of the results.
In the first game of the AFCON Qualifiers, Kenya barely secured a draw with a late equalizer against Eritrea. After the game, coach Benni McCarthy spoke to the media. He was satisfied with the performance, saying he doesn't have a single complaint despite securing only a draw. The coach said they had enough chances and were by far the better team.
Last matches of Kenya
-
Kenya
1 : 1
Eritrea
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
-
Kenya
4 : 0
Lesotho
Friendly International
-
Lesotho
1 : 1
Kenya
Friendly International
-
Grenada
0 : 3
Kenya
Friendly International
-
Kenya
1 : 1
Estonia
Friendly International
Kenya lineup
Goalkeeper
-
23
Bryne Odhiambo
Defenders
-
16
Ronney Onyango
-
2
Haniff Wesonga
-
5
Frank Odhiambo
-
3
Abud Omar
Midfielders
-
10
Timothy Ouma
-
20
Manzur Okwaro
-
8
Duke Abuya
Forwards
-
22
Micah Obiero
-
15
Ryan Ogam
-
19
Job Ochieng
Prediction
Guinea lost the first game of the Qualifiers, losing 2:1 to South Africa. They also haven't had a win in the past five games across competitions. So, expecting a 2-goal difference win against anyone at this moment seems pretty unrealistic.
On the other hand, Kenya haven't had a loss in the past five games. Yes, those were mostly against poor teams, but it is still a solid unbeaten run before the upcoming game against Guinea.
Also, in the previous four h2h games, each team had two wins, while Guinea failed to win by a 2-goal margin in both of their wins. Considering all the above, we believe we will see a much closer game than the current odds suggest. Therefore, Kenya to cover the +1 AH spread seems like the best possible bet for this AFCON Qualifiers tie.
3 Reasons why Kenya should cover the +1 AH spread
- Guinea lost the last three games
- Guinea failed to win in the past five games
- Kenya are on a five-game unbeaten run
Main prediction Guinea - Kenya
AH2 (+1)
Best Odds:
Guinea vs Kenya standings in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
| Group D | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Africa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 - 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 | Eritrea | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 - 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Kenya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 - 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 - 2 | -1 | 0 |