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Nigeria vs Mozambique prediction 05.01.2026 | Africa Cup of Nations

Nigeria

Nigeria

4 - 0

Elapsed: FT

Half time: 2 - 0

Full time: 4 - 0

Kick off:

Date:

Mozambique

Mozambique

match ended

The match has ended, you can view today's football predictions and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: Africa Cup of Nations, 1/8 Finals
  • Date: Monday, 5th January, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:00 UK / 20:00 CET
  • Venue: Complexe sportif de Fès (Fès)

The knockout phase of the 35th AFCON has begun. In one of the 1/8 Finals duels, one of the leading title contenders, Nigeria, will face one of the weakest teams in the knockout phase, Mozambique. While Mozambique secured their place in the last 16 with only three points and thanks to the ranking of the best third-placed teams, Nigeria were dominant, winning all three of their group matches.

Let's break down the match and find the best possible bet for this interesting AFCON tie.

Nigeria vs Mozambique Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Mozambique

    2 : 3

    Nigeria

    Friendly International

  2. Nigeria

    4 : 2

    Mozambique

    African Nations Championship

  3. Nigeria

    3 : 0

    Mozambique

    Africa Cup of Nations

  4. Nigeria

    1 : 0

    Mozambique

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

  5. Mozambique

    0 : 0

    Nigeria

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

These teams have met a total of five times thus far, with Nigeria winning the last four games. The remaining game ended as a goalless draw, but that was a very long time ago, in 2009. 

Regarding the number of goals, the last three games ended with three or more goals, and both teams scored in the past two games. 

Nigeria

Nigeria team overview

Nigeria, three-time AFCON winner and runner-up in the previous tournament, have been one of the teams that pretty much always make deep runs, having three titles, five second-place finishes, and eight third-place finishes. However, on the global stage, their results have been underwhelming, as they failed to qualify for the last World Cup and the upcoming one in North America. The popular Super Eagles finished second in the Group and eventually got eliminated from the Playoffs by DR Congo. 

In the ongoing AFCON, the Super Eagles did well, winning all three games. However, they were the favorites in each, and good results were expected. After securing the knockout phase, coach Éric Chelle spoke to the media. He was very pleased with the squad's performance and depth. However, despite all three wins, the coach stressed that they have areas where they need to improve. "The round of 16 is a lot of pressure, for sure, but I am fascinated by that. Since I arrived, I have had a lot of pressure, and I feel good," the coach added.

Last matches of Nigeria

  1. Uganda

    1 : 3

    Nigeria

    Africa Cup of Nations

  2. Nigeria

    3 : 2

    Tunisia

    Africa Cup of Nations

  3. Nigeria

    2 : 1

    Tanzania

    Africa Cup of Nations

  4. Egypt

    2 : 1

    Nigeria

    Friendly International

  5. Nigeria

    3 : 4

    Congo DR

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

Nigeria lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Stanley Nwabali

Defenders

  • 2

    Bright Osayi-Samuel

  • 6

    Semi Ajayi

  • 3

    Calvin Bassey

  • 13

    Bruno Onyemaechi

Midfielders

  • 8

    Raphael Onyedika

  • 4

    Wilfred Ndidi

  • 17

    Alex Iwobi

Forwards

  • 22

    Akor Adams

  • 11

    Ademola Lookman

  • 9

    Victor Osimhen

Mozambique

Mozambique team overview

Mozambique have never qualified for a World Cup and are appearing at only their sixth AFCON. They have never progressed beyond the group stage before, so reaching the knockout phase already represents a major success and they can be satisfied with how things are going so far. However, we cannot say they were too impressive in the group stage, and are a big underdog in this match for a reason. 

After securing a spot in the knockout phase of AFCON, the coach was delighted. He highlighted the commitment and fighting spirit of his squad. The coach added that they are entering the knockout phase without pressure, stressing that they have to stay calm and confident ahead of the next challenge against Nigeria.

Last matches of Mozambique

  1. Mozambique

    1 : 2

    Cameroon

    Africa Cup of Nations

  2. Gabon

    2 : 3

    Mozambique

    Africa Cup of Nations

  3. Ivory Coast

    1 : 0

    Mozambique

    Africa Cup of Nations

  4. Chad

    2 : 2

    Mozambique

    Friendly International

  5. Morocco

    1 : 0

    Mozambique

    Friendly International

Mozambique lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Ernan Siluane

Defenders

  • 23

    Diogo Calila

  • 17

    Mexer

  • 15

    Reinildo Mandava

  • 5

    Bruno Langa

Midfielders

  • 6

    Manuel Kambala

  • 16

    Alfonso Amade

  • 21

    Ricardo Guimarães

Forwards

  • 10

    Geny Catamo

  • 13

    Stanley Ratifo

  • 19

    Witiness Quembo

Prediction

Nigeria went over 2.5 goals in all three games at AFCON. They were really good offensively, scoring eight goals - 2.7 per game. That was the most in the group stage by any team. However, looking at their offensive talent - Osimhen, Lookman, Iwobi, and a few others - that is hardly a surprise. Another good thing for this bet is the fact that they also failed to keep a clean sheet in six consecutive games across the competitions.

Meanwhile, Mozambique went over 2.5 goals in two out of the first three games. Looking further back, they went over the mentioned line in four of the past five matches across the competitions. Having watched their games, we believe they will have massive problems stopping Nigeria's offense, which could eventually lead this game to a high-scoring match.

Also, the last three h2h games ended with three or more goals and an average of 4.7 goals per game. Considering all the above, we believe that an over 2.5 goals bet is a very good option for the upcoming tie between Nigeria and Mozambique.

4 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Nigeria went over 2.5 goals in all three games at AFCON
  2. Nigeria scored eight goals in the first three games - the most in the tournament
  3. Mozambique went over 2.5 goals in two out of three AFCON games
  4. The last three h2h games ended with three or more goals

Main prediction Nigeria - Mozambique

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

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winrate

54% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Nigeria vs Mozambique – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Nigeria this AFCON?

The average xG for Nigeria in the AFCON this year is 1.88.

? How much is the average xG for Mozambique this AFCON?

The average xG for Mozambique in the AFCON this year is 0.96.